The Other McCain

"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up." — Arthur Koestler

MSNBC and Obama Tanking Together

Two headlines: MSNBC is in serious trouble – Politico Poll: Obama’s disapproval rating hits a new high – Washington Post Hating Republicans is a poor substitute for sound policy, and it’s also not an adequate rationale for a news organization: In a world where liberals wanted to be outraged by George Bush every night, or […]

Haters Gonna Hate, Deniers Gonna Deny

Rush Limbaugh did a brilliant riff on Chris Cillizza’s claim that only “hate” can cause people to vote Republican: The Democrats always win the generic ballot, except when they don’t — and when they don’t, it causes an earthquake in Washington, and this has caused an earthquake. Just a couple of months ago the Democrats […]

Obama: Less Popular Than Syphilis

“Obama: Anatomy of a World Leader,” by Alex Gray (detail) OK, maybe the headline is exaggerating a bit, but Obama’s poll numbers have definitely cratered in the past ten weeks. These two headlines were an interesting contrast of how the polls get spun: Obama’s Current Approval Rating Is The Ugliest Since Nixon – Business Insider […]

Southern, Conservative, American

Yid With Lid points to a Gallup survey showing that conservatives (89%) are more proud to be American than are liberals (76%). Interestingly, the poll also shows that Southerners (89%) are more proud of their country than people in the Northeast (81%). Hell, yes. Freedom. ’Murka.

The Country’s Going Straight to Hell, But at Least We’ve Got a ‘Likeable’ President

Random adults: [M]ore than seven in 10 are dissatisfied with the current state of the economy, and just more than a third are either “very” or “fairly” confident in Obama’s ability to promote a strong and growing economy. And 60 percent believe the coming year will be a time to hold back and save because […]

Blame Bush, You Fools

GAHANNA, Ohio Just now waking up to the post-American era. A longtime reader e-mailed me this data from the Ohio exit polls: An outright majority of Ohio voters (51%-40% margin) consider Bush “more to blame for current economic problems” than the man who has been president for the past four years. And among the Bush-blamers, […]

Wild-Ass Scenarios? Chill.

WILMINGTON, Ohio Prudence Paine had asked me to submit an Electoral College prediction map and, while Smitty played the game, I chose to abstain. It’s just not what I do. I once won an office pool by correctly guessing the length of a Bill Clinton State of the Union speech, but I suck at election […]


Volunteers make calls at Americans for Prosperity phone bank in Ohio BLUE ASH, Ohio We’re at the center of the storm — ground zero of the entire presidential campaign — and you’d think this might provide some special insight into the ultimate outcome of the election. Not so. Ali’s spent the morning pondering the Electoral […]


BLUE ASH, Ohio Ali Akbar stayed up all night crunching numbers for an election analysis that’s going to blow some peoples’ minds later today. A few hints: 7:57 a.m. ET. After crunching more early-vote numbers, @ali says: “We’ve got Ohio.” — Robert Stacy McCain (@rsmccain) November 4, 2012 Analysis shows 40% increase in GOP early […]


Nate Silver approaches a clue and almost gets it: For Romney to Win, State Polls Must Be Statistically Biased Missed it by that much, as Maxwell Smart might say. His headline summarizes exactly what Republican poll-mongers have been saying since September, as they see poll after poll with crazy oversamples of Democrats. As for example, […]

FOUR MORE DAYS: Kid Rock Tonight in the Only County That Matters

The National Affairs Desk, Blue Ash, Ohio, Nov. 2, 2012 BLUE ASH, Ohio Six days since Ali Akbar and I arrived in Ohio, four days until Election Day, and we are right now at the epicenter of the political universe: Butler County may prove to be the key to the entire 2012 election, Ground Zero […]


CINCINNATI, Ohio Pete Da Tech guy disassembles a Quinnipiac Poll that has samples of D+7 in Florida and D+8 in both Florida and Ohio, so that while Mitt Romney handily wins independent voters in both states, he nonetheless trails Obama by 1 point in Florida, 2 points in Virginia and 5 points in Ohio. These […]

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