The Other McCain

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UPDATE: GOP’s Dan Bishop Wins Special Election in North Carolina’s 9th District

Posted on | September 10, 2019 | No Comments

UPDATE 11:25 p.m. ET: In addition to Bishop’s win in the Ninth District, the GOP also picked up a victory in a special election in the Third District, where Republican Greg Murphy beat Democrat Allen Thomas by 19 points, 59%-40%. What went wrong for Democrats? As the Daily Caller notes: “McCready came under fire after he accused Bishop of having no faith in public schools, however, the North Carolina Democrat sends his children to an $18,000 a year private school.” Oops.

When early polls showed Bishop trailing, the media began calling the Ninth District a “bellwether” of prospects for the 2020 election, but now we can expect them to forget NC-9 ever happened. Except of course, Trump will just rubbing salt in their wounds:

UPDATE 10:20 p.m. ET: Republican Dan Bishop has apparently won the 9th District special election in North Carolina. With all but two precincts reporting, Bishop has a margin of more than 4,000 votes over Democrat Dan McCready. With 99% of precincts (208 of 210) reporting:

Dan Bishop ………. 94,984 ….. 50.81%
Dan McReady ……. 90,824 ….. 48.59%

UPDATE 10:05 p.m. ET: With 92% of precincts (193 of 210) reporting:

Dan Bishop ……. 89,941 ….. 50.78%%
Dan McReady ………….. 86,120 ….. 48.62%

With only 17 precincts still to be counted, and Bishop leading by nearly 4,000 votes, this is starting to look like a win for the Republican.

UPDATE 9:30 p.m. ET: With 67% of precincts (140 of 210) reporting:

Dan Bishop ……. 72,682 ….. 50.27%
Dan McCready ………….. 71,082 ….. 49.16%

Still too close to call, but encouraging.

UPDATE 9:15 p.m. ET: Bishop takes the lead with 58% of precincts (122 of 210) reporting:

Dan Bishop ………….. 66,956 ….. 50.05%
Dan McCready ……. 66,074 ….. 49.39%

UPDATE 9:10 p.m. ET: With 55% of precincts (115 of 210) reporting:

Dan McCready ……. 65,673 ….. 49.92%
Dan Bishop ………….. 65,138 ….. 49.51%

OK, now we have legitimate good news. McReady’s lead is now barely 500 points. Bishop might pull this out yet. Cross your fingers.

UPDATE 9 p.m. ET: With 40% of precincts reporting:

Dan McCready ……. 56,921 ….. 50.39%
Dan Bishop ………….. 55,415 ….. 49.05%

You see that Bishop is closing the gap, but without knowing which precincts are still unreported, we don’t know if this trend will continue.

UPDATE 8:20 p.m. ET: With 14% of precincts reporting:

Dan McCready ……. 47,439 ….. 54.15%
Dan Bishop ………….. 39,727 ….. 45.35%

I’m informed that this reflects a surge of absentee ballots being reported from precincts in urban Mecklenburg County.

UPDATE 8 p.m. ET: With 3% of precincts reporting:

Dan McCready ……… 23,526 ….. 50.44%
Dan Bishop ………….. 22,895 ….. 49.09%

PREVIOUSLY (7:32 p.m. ET)

Polls closed at 7:30 p.m. ET in North Carolina’s 9th District special election, where Republican Dan Bishop is facing Democrat Dan McReady. Trump carried the district by double digits in 2016, and he held a giant rally Monday night in Fayetteville, but Republican leaders were lowering expectations today in what is regarded as a toss-up.



 

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