The Other McCain

"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up." — Arthur Koestler

Ah, Yes: The Wallet, Plus Two More Predictions For Next Year

Posted on | January 1, 2012 | 9 Comments

by Smitty

Mark Mardell at the Beebs:

The other major factor in whether or not Obama survives in office is the state of the economy. There are glints of light, indications it is getting a little better. But another set back in Europe could blow the US further off course. And whatever story of slight optimism the statistics tell, most Americans won’t be bathed in the glow of a feel-good factor.

My 2012 predictions, well, really only three:

1) Economy. Starting with late spring/early summer, the economic news thaws. The economy, itself, remains frozen in a block of ice, but the news thaws. By high summer, there is a lot of upbeat news. Some may be genuine. If you have some cash, and you really think BHO is OUT, then buying some stocks could be sensible. So the Dow will be up, a little. This will be touted as a Really Good Sign. Of course, the actual hiring of new workers, well, that won’t exactly be going on, but the last reports on jobs and the economy will be railed at the maximum favorable side of the margin for error. They always adjust them downward later, do they not?

2) Election. My crystal bollocks do not see an easy ride for Romney to the GOP nomination. In the first place, even though it sort of looks like the fix is in, behaving as though the fix is in may pop that fix right out. Romney has to appear to have earned the nomination. The Tea Party cannot and will not roll over for him, nor should he wish such. Mitt is going to have offer some detailed, specific assurances to conservatives to lure them to his banner. Buying Tim Pawlenty, Chris Christie, Christine O’Donnell and Ann Coulter, while good business, may not buy you as much as, say, Limbaugh, Levin, and Beck. We should know by Super Tuesday how things fare. It’s not clear whether Rick Santorum can play BHO to Romney’s Hilary Clinton (how is that for disparaging comparisons?) but I will be putting my money where my mouth is once I’m back to work.

Irrespective of the winner of the GOP nomination, conservatives do rally, push back upon the #Occupy weenies, and send BHO into a permanent golfing arrangement. If I’m wrong, you can have my crust of bread in the gulag.

3) CPAC. Stacy’s Rodney Dangerfield routine about listings and event panels reaches a crescendo, and Tabitha Hale goes all Jim Croce on him, Ron Paul wins the straw poll, and the network is still under-provisioned.

Comments

9 Responses to “Ah, Yes: The Wallet, Plus Two More Predictions For Next Year”

  1. Anamika
    January 1st, 2012 @ 1:03 pm

    wish your lot a sad new year

  2. Anamika
    January 1st, 2012 @ 1:52 pm

    My prediction for 2012:

    In 2012, many bad things will happen to good people, and more good things will happen to bad people than to good people, fewer bad things will happen to bad people than to good people. Poor people will multiply like rabbits, and the rich will get richer and fewer.

    So adopt the leporidae philosophy: A carrot a day, and good lay is all a rabbit needs to be contented.

  3. smitty
    January 1st, 2012 @ 1:54 pm

    Yeah, I guess if you’re a rabbit, that makes sense.
    Too, learning to find happiness where you are is important.
    Yet you should never let go your humanity, for all the fascists would strip you of that, too.

  4. Adjoran
    January 1st, 2012 @ 3:29 pm

    Nice olive branch, there:  “Buying Tim Pawlenty, Chris Christie, Christine O’Donnell and Ann Coulter” – essentially accusing them all of being sellouts, and presumably Romney as the buyer as well.

    Nice scoop, IF you had any evidence of anything untoward. 

    And, NO, to the extent it happens, there is nothing unusual, unethical, immoral, or fattening about the winner helping the losers retire campaign debt – it happens every single cycle and in both parties, and implying there is something wrong with it is a smear in itself.

    It’s understandable to lash out irrationally when things don’t go your way, but that doesn’t make it right.  Just try to remember these smears the next time you mount up the pulpit for a sermon on virtue, mmmkay?

  5. smitty
    January 1st, 2012 @ 4:37 pm

    And, NO, to the extent it happens, there is nothing unusual, unethical, immoral, or fattening about the winner helping the losers retire campaign debt – it happens every single cycle and in both parties, and implying there is something wrong with it is a smear in itself.

    Wait, so am I smearing, or noticing the sunrise?

  6. Stephen Nelson
    January 1st, 2012 @ 7:05 pm

    Yeah, buying off politicians shouldn’t raise an eyebrow.

    Welcome to Team Obama.

  7. DaveO
    January 1st, 2012 @ 8:50 pm

    Re: Jim Croce, who is Big Bad Leroy Brown, and who’s Slim? RSM? Tabitha Hale?

  8. Bob Belvedere
    January 2nd, 2012 @ 1:01 am

    Your first and third predictions are spot-on.

    I fear that the last paragraph in the second may not happen, what with the voter fraud and dirty tricks that will be perpetrated by the Dems and the rank stupidity of the GOP Establishment.

  9. Forex Rate
    January 2nd, 2012 @ 5:43 am

    Well this means that this new year will be some better than the previous year.