The Other McCain

"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up." — Arthur Koestler

Is Virginia Still a Battleground?

Mixed signals about the state of the presidential campaign in Virginia. Obama drew a reported 15,000 people to a rally in Richmond today, and has reportedly scheduled an appearance next week with Bill Clinton in Manassas. Meanwhile, Paul Ryan had a rally this morning in Bristol and will have another rally this evening in Charlottesville, […]

Polls Continue to Show Trend Toward Romney — Nate Silver Notwithstanding

Excuse me for my continued attention to Nate’s graveyard-whistling, but no matter how clear the evidence of a pro-Romney trend, the Grand Swami at the New York Times won’t stop. He’s now raised the likelihood of Obama’s re-election to 71.0%. (The one-tenth of a percentage point being necessary to the pretense of scientific exactitude.) Is Nate Silver hustling an […]

Signs and Omens: Obama’s Fading Hope and the Graveyard Whistling Choir

Nate Silver continues to lead the Democrat Graveyard Whistling Choir, raising Obama to a 70.3% likelihood of victory based on . . . what? I dunno. I’m not an expert with a New York Times column or anything, much less a Magical Forecasting Model™ that can divine future events with the precise scientific exactitude of […]

The Democrat Graveyard Whistling Choir Ignores ‘Preference Cascade’ Scenario

– Ed Driscoll points out that the “War on Women” hero/martyr Sandra Fluke drew a much smaller crowd than did the actual victims of the “War on Coal” in Grundy, Virginia. As they say, the plural of “anecdote” is data, and these are just a couple of points on the scatter-chart which are beginning to form into […]

My Beer vs. Nate Silver’s Two Beers

Politics is a lot like pro football — it’s always more interesting if you’ve got money riding on the outcome. I don’t know if Hugh Hewitt is much of a football fan, but if he’s a gambler and you’re an Obama supporter, Hugh’s talk of the “ongoing collapse of President Obama’s campaign” identifies Hewitt as an easy […]

Nate Silver Asks: Whose Shark Is This, and Why Do I Feel a Need to Jump It?

It seems so long ago, but it was only late September, when Jonathan Chait dismissed as “poll denialists” those who expressed skepticism about the validity of polls showing Barack Obama sailing to an easy victory in Ohio and elsewhere. We were, said Chait, “totally crazy” for questioning the samples of these polls. Three weeks later, Romney […]

GALLUP: ROMNEY 52, OBAMA 45 — Let the Great 2012 Liberal Freak-Out Begin!

They convinced themselves that Obama “won” Tuesday’s debate, but Romney actually gains in the first Gallup national tracking poll with post-debate reaction? Oh, boy. UPDATE: Ace explains what happened:  The debate was not a victory for Obama. It was a confirmation of Romney’s acceptability, plausibility, and fitness for office. Yesterday, Sully admitted he had been “on […]

Ross Perot Endorses Romney, New Polls Confirm Shift, Will #p2 Dems Panic Now?

Impt to note on our national poll- 75% of interviews conducted within 48 hrs of debate. Would encourage Dems to wait a week before PANIC — PublicPolicyPolling (@ppppolls) October 9, 2012 “Disaster is now coming at Democrats from multiple unexpected directions.” — Robert Stacy McCain, Oct. 11 A lot of news today, starting with this […]

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