Posted on | April 29, 2014 | 18 Comments
Democrats face serious obstacles as they look to the November elections, with President Obama’s approval rating at a new low and a majority of voters saying they prefer a Congress in Republican hands to check the president’s agenda, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.
Obama’s approval rating fell to 41 percent, down from 46 percent through the first three months of the year and the lowest of his presidency in Post-ABC News polls. Just 42 percent approve of his handling of the economy, 37 percent approve of how he is handling the implementation of the Affordable Care Act and 34 percent approve of his handling of the situation involving Ukraine and Russia.
Obama’s low rating could be a significant drag on Democratic candidates this fall — past elections suggest that when approval ratings are as low as Obama’s, the president’s party is almost certain to suffer at the ballot box in November.
Republicans are favored to maintain control of the House, with the focus now on whether they can take control of the Senate. One key question about November is who will vote. Turnout in midterm elections is always lower than in presidential elections, and at this point, key elements of the Republican coalition — namely white voters and older voters — say they are more certain to cast ballots this fall than are younger voters and minorities, two groups that Democrats and Obama relied on in 2008 and 2012.
The Republican National Committee sent out an e-mail release:
MSNBC is calling Obama “politically toxic” while CNN notes this is a low for Obama’s entire presidency. In other news, Democrats are scrambling: Alison Lundergan Grimes, Debbie Wasserman Schultz and other Democrats are really busy kissing Tom Steyer’s ring in Chicago this week while Elizabeth Warren will headline Netroots Nation.
“This poll shows people want Republicans to fight back against the Obama agenda– from foreign policy to ObamaCare and the economy. Those 2014 Democrats who have overwhelmingly supported the extreme Obama agenda are going to suffer at the election booths for putting donors interests above that of their constituents.” — Raffi Williams, RNC Spokesman
Of course, with John Boehner and Mitch McConnell running the show for Republicans in Washington, we cannot underestimate the potential for them to fuck up everything between now and November. The question is, can the GOP Establishment fuck up bad enough to overcome the Obama-induced unpopularity of Democrats?