The Other McCain

"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up." — Arthur Koestler

Naming Names

We now know the names of three pollsters — Greg Lloyd, Mike Baselice and Adam Geller — fired by the Trump 2020 campaign after they allegedly leaked internal poll data to the New York Times showing President Trump trailing Joe Biden in key battleground states. Lloyd is a former associate of Kellyanne Conway, Baselice “has […]

Marianne Williamson Hits Key Polling Threshold in Qualifying for DNC Debates

According to an analysis by Politico, Marianne Williamson has now hit 1% in three national polls, one of the qualifying thresholds for the first two rounds of Democratic National Committee presidential debates beginning next month. Williamson’s campaign had earlier this month announced reaching the other qualifying hurdle — 65,000 unique donors — established by the […]

Do Not Trust Polls, Period

This morning, I woke up and clicked the TV over to CNN just to see what they were talking about. They were touting a new CNN poll that shows Democrat Andrew Gillum leading by 12 points (!!!) in the Florida governor’s race. My immediate thought was, “What the f–k? Trump won Florida two years ago, […]

Politics 101: Can Democrats Win?

  During CPAC last weekend, several people asked my opinion of the chances of Democrats capturing a congressional majority in the fall. Obviously, I don’t have any clairvoyant powers. In October 2016, I was convinced that Donald Trump couldn’t possibly be elected. A month later, he proved me wrong. So I claim no special insight […]

Polls Say Hillary Will Win, So Democrats Don’t Actually Need to Vote for Her

  It’s going to be a shoo-in, a walkover, a one-sided electoral landslide for Hillary Clinton on Tuesday. This tsunami of support means that anybody who was worried that Donald Trump might win can just relax and stay home Tuesday. Don’t bother to vote, Democrats. It’s in the bag. Clinton 3 Points Ahead of Trump […]

If Hillary Loses Ohio …

  . . . well, finish that sentence however you wish: Republican Donald Trump holds a 5-point lead over Democrat Hillary Clinton in Ohio, where her support among women is collapsing, according to a new poll released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University. If the election were today, Trump would get 46 percent to Clinton’s 41 percent […]


  Bad news today for “Crooked Hillary”: Donald Trump has surged to within 1 point of Hillary Clinton in a national poll released Sunday morning. Clinton leads Trump, 46 to 45 percent, in a four-way race including Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. […]

Polls Show Trump Support Collapse as Campaign Heads to Final Debate

  A month ago, support for Donald Trump was within a one-point margin of Hillary Clinton in the Real Clear Politics average of national polls, but since early October, the advantage in the presidential campaign has clearly shifted toward the Democrat. Trump’s support peaked at 45% in the RCP average on Oct. 2, and has […]

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