The NBC poll shows Perry increasing by 4 points as opposed to Santorum’s 6. How is that fading? Also, the margin of error is 4.8.

This was linked by Ace:
“Rick Perry has enjoyed the best upward trend of all candidates over the previous month’s polling at +5.5 percent .”
http://news.yahoo.com/iowa-caucus-deadline-looms-trending-polling-072000798.html

Just sayin.

Insider Advantage/Majority Opinion Research (Dec 28, Iowa caucus intenders) : 
Paul 17.3 %Romney 17.2Newt 16.7Santorum 13.4http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2011/InsiderAdv_Iowa_1229.pdf 

First point has been dealt with over and over again with smashing replies, and the haters just get up out of the dirt, and try again as if we have no memory of a week ago.

The post proves that, at least right now, he’s going up. Could change.  Could go up faster for all I know.  Could get run over by a libertarian on a bycycle or a drunken Canadian goose could crash land into him. 

Socon=True Conservative.  You want fiscal responsibility, you need socons, not spines of jello Governators.

RSM said Santorum was a ‘brutal counterpuncher’ in debate.  Bush, who was a RINO and not a socon, had many fine qualities, but brutal counterpunching in debate was not one of them.

Right. Because Mr. Enabler of the RINOs, we need Romney.  Well, I happen to support real change.  I don’t want to ride the car for another year and hope it doesn’t explode like the RINOS.  Nor, like the Libertarians do I want to stand around and mouth incantations while they try to transform a Model T into a SHIELD flying car.  Instead I favor someone who has accomplished change, and I think we need to pop the hood, and get out the wrenches, and get to real work.

Rick Santorum looks to be an excellent choice for car mechanic.

Whoa, Nellie, Bush was a RINO yes, but not a SoCon? Hell social issues was about the only thing about him that was conservative.

For more than 10 years, Perry has successfully governed one of the largest states in the union which requires a considerable amount of ability. He has been reelected. He has a proven record. What has Santorum done that makes him qualified to be the CEO of the largest enterprise on the face of the earth. Senators are uniquely unqualified as they only have to manage a small staff, make speeches on the floor and bear no responsibility if the proposed legislation fails. Has he proposed anything that was revolutionary, think outside the box type of ideas when he was a senator? if so, why did he get crushed by a weak, legacy candidate like Casey? Bachman is no better. She got elected in one congressional district and that is supposed to translate to a national mandate? Give me a break. You are all dreamers. So, the primary qualification to be President is to be president of your college debate society. Obama was very articulate and look how well he has done. Deeds, not words.

Newt cried, credibility dies.

2008 is a long time ago?  What are you, 12? And what happened to the rest of the GOP that year?

I could live with Perry; I respect his service; but he needs to prove to me that he was key to the success of Texas.  The stuttering stumblebum from the debates doesn’t prove that to me.

And dude, I don’t even have a television at this point, so the MSM ain’t a big influence.

What recommends Santorum?  He ran a Dem speaker out of office and Democrats out of Congress on corruption charges.  He was the floor manager holding the vote together on welfare reform while Newt bloviated in front of the cameras.  He got us the ban on partial birth abortions.  He challenged the Bush administration when they blew off the Iranian nuke threat.  Not a bad start.

Statistically speaking, the differences between Santorum, Perry, and Gingrich in all three of these polls is insignificant, and would be even if it was a normal primary on Tuesday.  But it isn’t, and caucuses are not attuned to the normal primary screening methods for likely attendees.

For example, Gingrich has virtually no ground game at all in Iowa.  Traditionally, on the GOP side, if you don’t have a good organization you have to depend on existing ones, like the evangelicals.  Since Gingrich’s idea of “family values” is porkin’ the help, I doubt they will turn out for him.  Expect his results to fall short of his polls – it is far easier to tell a robo-poll that you are going to vote than to actually spend an hour or two in a poorly-heated school cafeteria on a cold Tuesday night when you could be home watching Michigan and Virginia Tech in the Sugar Bowl.

Santorum is rising in polls, but Perry’s events are drawing large crowds.  With his late start, he has to hope the evangelicals swing his way.

So much of Paul’s support is young people and first-time caucus-goers, groups which have the lowest turnout rate for caucuses.  As  someone noted yesterday, a lot of the Paul support isn’t Paulbot fanboys, with just them he would be at his usual 5-10% depending on the parole rate in the given state.  The rest is probably a protest vote from disaffected conservatives who don’t even want to build a new white nation with no Joos, so whether they show up and who they end up voting for is still in doubt.

So it’s still anybody’s race, and I would pay no attention at all to poll differences of less than 5% – and take those greater with a grain of salt.

Of course, Ace would say that. And you can count on him cherry picking the polls that make Perry look best, just like certain other people I won’t mention cherry pick certain other polls I won’t mention that make their own candidates, who I won’t mention, look best.

On top of that, at least 40% are undecided. Now whether that is 40% of likely caucus goers or just 40% of registered voters could make all the difference in the world, but it is a significant number. Frankly, I think its 40% of people that don’t particularly like any of the candidates, so it could mean it might not make any difference whatsoever if none of that number show up for the caucuses.

Rick Perry is a former democrat and his views on illegal immigration scare me!  Rick Santorum is winning over all of the candidates (Romney is next), because he is a staunch conservative…something America needs right now.  The country has never seen the TRUE RIGHT OF THIS NATION RISE UP…but they will very soon because our country is in jeopardy of falling FAST with this administration and the others before it!  We no longer can stand on the sidelines while they drive a bulldozer thru The Constitution and The Bill of Rights!  We have to unite behind a TRUE AMERICAN CONSERVATIVE CANDIDATE, or we risk falling to third world nation status, as the rest of the world is handed every prized  possession of ours!  Wake up America, time to clean house!!! 

Rick Perry’s views on illegal immigration are fine. In fact, if he was as good in the debates as he was as a governor he would be my first choice.