Posted on | October 26, 2012 | 19 Comments
“Team Obama knows the campaign doesn’t have the magic it had in 2008. Crowds are enthusiastic, but not over-the-top enthusiastic. Obama’s strategy is to make up the excitement gap by just grinding it out, doing the organizational work of getting the people most likely to support the president — blacks, Latinos, women, the young — to vote early. By doing so, he hopes to build up a sufficient bank of votes to prevail over Romney on November 6. It’s the no-magic campaign.”
– Byron York, Washington Examiner
The evidently widespread faith that Team Obama can overcome any disadvantage through a superior “ground game” is the final bulwark of Hope, and we’re now 10 days from learning whether this faith will be justified. However, Republicans should not be discouraged by reports of the Democrats’ early-vote advantage.
It seems that many Republican voters are just old-fashioned and believe in voting in person on Election Day. I was in Virginia “Victory Centers” last week and heard the phone-bankers make call after call to folks who would say, yes, they support Romney, but no, they don’t want to vote early. And I remind you again what RNC Chairman Reince Priebus said last month in Ohio, when all the polls were running against Romney:
“We’re going to outspend the DNC 10-to-1 [in Ohio] for the next six weeks… We’re going to crush ‘em on the ground.”
Given the recent report that the DNC is essentially bankrupt, and that the RNC entered October with an 18-to-1 cash-on-hand advantage over Debbie Wasserman Schultz’s outfit, Priebus’s promise now seems a lot less like bragging than it did in late September when, according to Quinnipiac, Obama led by 10 points in Ohio. The latest Rasmussen poll has Ohio tied and, looking at the internals of another poll, Ed Morrissey says:
It’s a razor-close race in Ohio, but if Romney has knocked six points off of Obama’s 2008 gender gap and turned an eight-point deficit among independents into an eight-point advantage in a cycle where Democratic enthusiasm won’t come close to matching 2008, I have to think that the magic has already shifted to Romney.