The Other McCain

"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up." — Arthur Koestler

Who Democrats Are, What Democrats Do

Posted on | October 30, 2025 | Comments Off on Who Democrats Are, What Democrats Do

Even if you believed everything else that the Democratic Party supports — Keynesian economics, foreign policy, LGBTQ agenda, whatever — their stance on criminal justice and law enforcement ought to be enough to make you think twice about ever voting for any Democrat:

Thirty-one-year-old Khyre Holbert — a convicted felon whose 20-year crack cocaine and firearm-possession sentence was commuted by former President Joe Biden at the end of his term — was slapped with a felon in possession of a firearm and ammunition charge following his alleged participation in a shooting in Omaha, Nebraska.
Holbert was arrested on October 4 after allegedly participating in the shooting, which resulted in a 28-year-old victim being transferred to a hospital with non-life-threatening injuries. Given this is the complaint stage, additional charges could still be filed. Holbert could face a maximum of fifteen years in prison on the felony firearm possession charges alone.
The criminal complaint against Holbert . . . states that his fingerprints were found on the gun that police believe was used in the shooting.
The new charge against Holbert comes amid renewed scrutiny of Biden’s controversial pardons and sentence commutations near the end of his term, as well as his extensive use of the autopen, which Congressional Republicans are now probing.
“The Biden Administration’s last-minute commutations were not only a cruel blow to victims’ families, but also a fundamental failure to hold criminals accountable,” Attorney General Pam Bondi said . . . “This tragic case proves that crime must be met with consequences, not weakness. Our prosecutors in Nebraska are doing the job that the prior administration refused to do.”
Holbert’s most recent arrest is just the latest in a long criminal history. On November 30, 2018, he was sentenced to 20 years in prison in Nebraska on crack distribution charges and multiple firearm charges. Following his commutation at the end of the Biden administration, Holbert was released from the Federal Bureau of Prisons custody in May 2025. He began three years of supervision with the U.S. Probation and Pretrial Services Office, District of Nebraska, on May 30. . . .

Pause there for a second. Simple arithmetic — May 30 to October 4 — tells you that Khyre Holbert was on the street for barely four months (127 days) between the time he got out of prison and the time he was arrested again as a felon in possession of a firearm, accused in connection with a drive-by shooting. Khyre Holbert has been a drug-dealing gang banger since he was a juvenile, and here are some more relevant facts:

According to the criminal complaint filed in the U.S. District Court for the District of Nebraska, Biden’s commutation of Holbert’s sentence followed serious “objections of the United States Attorney’s Office, District of Nebraska, due in part to his gang affiliation and substantial criminal history.”
According to Justice Department officials, “the gun used in the Omaha shooting was found to have been discharged in two other separate criminal incidents that occurred in Omaha, including a homicide that occurred on June 22, 2025, and a felony assault in which several unknown assailants shot at a man in his vehicle on June 23, 2025.”

Whoa! That certainly would seem to shorten the timeline of Holbert’s return to his lifelong criminal habits. The same gun that had Holbert’s fingerprints after the Omaha shooting for which he was arrested was also connected to a homicide on June 22 — just three weeks after Holbert got sprung because of Joe Biden’s autopen. Is the point here obvious enough?

Probably regular readers have become tired of my repeating the same lectures about recidivism rates and the criminal class. There are some people who are just constantly perpetrating crime — they wake up in the morning and commit half a dozen felonies before their first cup of coffee — and they will keep perpetrating until the day they die. In the interest of public safety, habitual criminals like that need to be put behind bars and kept there. But you’ve heard this before.

What the case of Khyre Holbert illustrates is the bogusness of any claim by Democrats to care about “gun violence.” If they really wanted to prevent shootings, certainly Democrats would not be turning loose dangerous gang bangers like this guy who had been terrorizing Omaha for years before he was sentenced to federal prison. Nothing is more predictive of gun violence than a prior history of gun violence, and if Democrats were really sincere about this issue, they would insist on maximum sentences for felons arrested in possession of firearms.

But that’s not what we see, is it? No, not at all. In any jurisdiction controlled by Democrats, leniency toward gun crimes is the policy, because criminals are a core constituency of the Democratic Party.

Every time you hear some Democrat talk about the alleged need for new “common sense gun laws,” ask yourself: Why are Democrats against enforcing the gun laws that are already on the books? What is the point of passing new gun laws, when the most basic sort of public safety measure — locking up felons apprehended in possession of firearms — is not being enforced by prosecutors and judges? Biden sicced the ATF on any mom-and-pop firearms dealer who got some paperwork wrong, and meanwhile was turning loose dangerous gang-bangers like Khyre Holbert. What this exemplifies is the Democratic Party’s commitment to what the late Sam Francis was the first to identify as anarcho-tyranny: Law-abiding citizens are harassed by a proliferation of bureaucratic make-work laws, while habitual criminals are allowed to wreak havoc.

It is no surprise, then, that we see Democrats on the verge of electing Zohran Mamdani as the mayor of New York City. Mamdani, whose anti-police rhetoric was widely known, got 56% of the vote in the Democratic mayoral primary, in a city where Kamala Harris last year got 75% of the vote in the presidential election. The same pattern has been replicated in many other cities, large and small, where Democrats are in control — from Baltimore to Portland, from Houston to Detroit, the story has become sadly familiar. Democrats don’t want to put dangerous criminals in prison, because the criminals are their voters. To paraphrase the Gettysburg Address, the Democratic Party is dedicated to government of the criminals, by the criminals, for the criminals.

Republicans should try mentioning this fact to voters.



 

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Category: Crime, Joe Biden, Nebraska

In The Mailbox: 10.29.25 (Evening Edition)

Posted on | October 30, 2025 | Comments Off on In The Mailbox: 10.29.25 (Evening Edition)

— compiled by Wombat-socho

Silicon Valley et Hamas delenda sunt.

OVER THE TRANSOM
Director Blue: The Illustrated Spygate Scandal, Part XXXIV
357 Magnum: How Do You Drive an EV Without Electricity?
EBL: Fleeing suspected cop shooter motorcyclist crashes, Diseased monkeys released in Mississippi, Lee and Grant, Golden Tilefish Sandwich, and Halloween comes early at CBS News
Twitchy: London Cops Urge Citizens Not To Spread Disinformation After Triple Stabbing by Afghan National, CBS Staffer Whines Layoffs Are a “Bloodbath” – Race & Culture Unit “Gutted”, and Wesley Yang’s Question Sparks A Laugh Riot
Louder With Crowder: Woke TikToker claims to be moving because MAGA “doxxed” her… after she celebrated Charlie Kirk’s assassination, Jasmine Crockett attacks Trump’s intelligence, Chicago’s Woke Mayor Bizarrely Accuses Trump Admin Of “Throwing Black Babies In the Back Of Vans”, The left’s newest podcasting darling demands Democrats condone violence against conservatives… or else, and Gavin Newsom’s latest comments on Charlie Kirk prove what a DETESTABLE human being he is
Vox Popoli: The Death of Wikipedia, Vol. 9 Sport & Adventure, and A US Military Withdrawal
Cedar Sanderson: Learning by watching
The Abbey of Misrule: The Monthly Salon – October
Defending The Wood Perilous: Fantastic Schools Familiars!
Weird Catholic: The Season of the Dead
Gab: The World Is Splitting In Two – Which Side Will You Choose?

RIPPED FROM THE HEADLINES
American Conservative: Zelensky’s Top Man Is a Big Problem, also, The Pro-Israel Billionaire Behind Jeffrey Epstein
American Greatness: Trump Calls For ‘Deranged Jack Smith’ And Other Arctic Frost Operatives to ‘Be Investigated and Put in Prison’, The Left is ‘Bleeding Kansas’, Let Commie Mamdani Take New York City, Operation Midway Blitz Commander Ordered to Meet With Chicago Judge Daily, Says He Looks Forward to Showing Her How Bad Things Are, and FBI Deputy Director Dan Bongino: ‘Trump’s Crime Crackdown Is Paying Off’
American Thinker: Trump Hatred Explained, Illegals vs. the Deserving American Poor, Democrats Must Be Punished for Their Lawfare, Can Donald Trump Restore American Citizenship? and Where Is Trump’s DoJ On Denaturalizing Zohran Mamdani?
Animal Magnetism: Goodbye, Blue Monday, Animal’s Daily Scumbag News, and Animal’s Hump Day News
BattleSwarm: Chicago Declares War On Lawful Gun Owners, SHORAD – Everything Old Is New Again, China Tries To Backward Engineer ASML Stepper, Wrecks It, Democrats In Democrat-Run Cities Threaten To Loot Supermarkets If Democrats Keep Welfare Benefits Shut Down, and When The AI Bubble Bursts, What Happens To The Secondary Bubbles?
Behind The Black: The alien landscape of Mars’ north polar ice cap, SpaceX launches 29 Starlink satellites, Blue Origin officials provide update on their lunar lander program, Startup semi-conductor manufacturer Besxar signs deal to use SpaceX’s Falcon 9 first stage as production platform during its short flight, and Lockheed Martin completes first flight of X-59 supersonic test plane
Cafe Hayek: Average Household’s Net Worth Considering Its Share of the U.S. Government’s Indebtedness to Foreigners, Yet More on American Household’s Real Net Worth, Protectionism and the “Primitive Mind”, and What’s Being Bargained For Matters
CDR Salamander: HII & HHI Partner To Save USN’s Tail
Chicago Boyz: A Road Trip With A Couple of Unexpected Twists, also, Random Thoughts (14): Platner Prop Bets Edition
Don Surber: Bill Gates throws in the towel on climate change
First Street Journal: The left really, really hate your #FreedomOfSpeech, Mikie Sherrill Hedberg believes you can’t handle the truth, You in a heap o’ trouble, boy, and Shouldn’t a journalist be aware of basic facts?
Gates Of Vienna: Dymphna, Patron Saint of the Insane, Dezinformatsiya, Canadian Style, Kidnapped in the Heart of Darkness, All Roads Lead to Dearborn, and You Say You Want a Revolution
The Geller Report: Islamic Jihadis Slaughter Thousands of Sudanese Civilians, Mainly Women and Children, Mamdani Campaigns With Jihadi Who Said “AMERICA DESERVED 9/11”, Jihadi Mamdani Says NYPD Boots ‘On Your Neck’ Were ‘Laced By the IDF’, Autopen Presidency, and President Trump Big Wins in Seoul, Big Stakes with Xi
Hollywood In Toto: How Motel Hell Outdueled Texas Chainsaw 2, Stop the Pop Culture Recycling…Now, Hall of Fame Rocker Pens Haunting Charlie Kirk Tribute, Adam Carolla Is Gavin Newsom’s Presidential Dreams Killer, and Is Anniversary Anti-Trump…or Just Confused?
Legal Insurrection: Trump is Making Halloween Great Again for College Students, Illinois Dem Congressional Candidate Indicted For Blocking ICE Vehicle, Obama’s Efforts to Help Abigail Spanberger in Virginia Prove Left’s Hypocrisy on Race and Gender, Painful to Watch: Top Biden Aide Admits to $4 Million Bonus if Biden Had Won Reelection, and 9th Circuit Vacates Ruling Allowing Trump to Deploy the National Guard to Portland
Matt Taibbi: Bill Gates Says We’ll Survive Climate Change – World Furious
Outkick: Louisiana Governor Jeff Landry Says He’d Let Donald Trump Select Next LSU Coach Before Current AD, Lions Safety Brian Branch Repents And Gets Saved After Punching Chiefs Receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster, Nancy Mace Defends Riley Gaines By Throwing An Absolute Haymaker At AOC Over Her Disgusting Sex Post, Here’s Why Nobody Takes The NBA Seriously Anymore, and Blue Jays Continue To Defy World Series Odds With Power Of Randomness
Power Line: The Environmental Disaster of Wind and Solar, Believe Nothing You Read In the New York Times, Mamdummy, and Which Facts?
Shark Tank: Dem State Rep Cherflus-McCormick Condemns Political Violence – In Cameroon
Shot In The Dark: French Kiss-Off
STUMP: California Pensions – Private Assets, Public Losses
The Political Hat: Wetware Mini-Brains: From Computers To Catgirls, also, Esoteric Plain Speak Of Marxism
This Ain’t Hell: Note from the Past, Wanna fly a Blackhawk? Maybe you can, That didn’t last long, What Kings Really Do, and Naval Aviation- Bad Day in the South China Sea
Transterrestrial Musings: Bloggus Interruptus
Victory Girls: Karine Jean-Pierre Is So Delusional Even The Left Can’t Ignore It, MSNBC Nicole Wallace: Who called Trump “Hitler”? Wasn’t us Democrats, and Federal Workers Union Demands Democrats End Shutdown Games
Watts Up With That: OpenAI Urges US Government to Fund 100GW of New Energy Per Year to Beat China, Nature Magazine Has “Abandoned Science for Social Justice” Says Richard Dawkins, Narco Terrorist Street War Erupts in COP30 Host Country, Hiding the Endangerment Finding’s Systemic Biases – Politico’s Failed Attack on DOE’s Climate Science Report-Part 2, and Don’t Believe Your Lying Eyes!
The Federalist: New Jersey Legislation Would Force Homeschool Parents To Teach Public School Propaganda , ‘100 Times Worse Than Watergate’, Dungeons & Dragons Sacrificed Its Brand On The Altar of Inclusivity, After Abusing Foreign Visa Program, Universities Claim Rules Shouldn’t Apply To Them, and Here Are 8 Creepy Ways Biden’s Handlers Tried To Hide His Mental Decline To Keep A Grip On Power
Mark Steyn: Strictly USA! (plus Slovenia), Twenty Miracles, If There’s a Hell Below: Jigoku and Japanese Horror, Time on My Hands, and Avocado on Lam

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In The Mailbox: 10.29.25 (Afternoon Edition)

Posted on | October 29, 2025 | Comments Off on In The Mailbox: 10.29.25 (Afternoon Edition)

— compiled by Wombat-socho

Too burned out after I got home yesterday to blog.
Silicon Valley et Hamas delenda sunt.

Circular firing squads are back, apparently.

OVER THE TRANSOM
357 Magnum: More Self-Defense in California
EBL: Hurricane Melissa, MAKE SHIPBUILDING GREAT AGAIN, Battle of White Plains, Local Fishermen Keep This Fish Secret, and Vision of the Cross
Twitchy: DeSantis Kicks Out H-1B Professors, Declares Florida Is “America First” In Higher Ed, Scott Jennings Argues With Dem Who Claims “Biden Is Sharp As A Tack” As Autopen Scandal Heats Up, and Mehdi Hasan Marks Anniversary Of Beeper Joke, Wonders If He’s Banned From CNN
Louder With Crowder: MSNBC Host Has On-Air Meltdown Over CNN Paying Scott Jennings, Mamdani confuses his aunt for his dad’s cousin during sob story about how mean Americans were right after 9/11, Nicole Wallace thinks you’re stupid and claims no Democrat has compared Trump to Hitler, Woke California mayor panics that her city will sink underwater from climate change, and Occasional Cortex rants, trying to convince Americans she’s not the crazy one
Vox Popoli: The Dancing Nurses of Covid-19, Six Years in the Making, The Last Bluff, Denninger Rejects Conservatism, and Grokipedia is Already Better
Cedar Sanderson: Dead Night – Snippet 2
Ammo.com: Cities With The Lowest Crime Rates
Stoic Observations: Beyond The Woke Moment
The Bugscuffle Gazette: Blind pig finding an acorn and all that
Upstream Reviews: Storm Between The Stars

RIPPED FROM THE HEADLINES
CDR Salamander: Old & Busted – Pacific Pivot; New Hotness – Caribbean Pivot
Dana Loesch: EXCLUSIVE – Zohran Mamdani Accused Of Pocketing Donations For Food Distribution Program
Don Surber: Victory lap
STUMP: Chicago Head Tax (& Other Taxes) Proposal Reactions

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Who Is Paying the ‘Racist Trolls’ Who Disagree With Alonso Gurmendi?

Posted on | October 29, 2025 | Comments Off on Who Is Paying the ‘Racist Trolls’ Who Disagree With Alonso Gurmendi?

“Alonso Gurmendi Dunkelberg is a Fellow in Human Rights at the London School of Economics and Political Science, Department of Sociology. His work focuses on the history of the international regulation of war and political violence, from a postcolonial perspective. Prior to joining LSE, Alonso worked at King’s College London, Oxford University, the University of Michigan, and the University of the Pacific. He is a contributing editor for the international law blog Opinio Juris and a member of the International Law Association’s Committee on the Use of Force. “

For more than 30 years — going back to a time when research involved sifting through card catalogs, poring over indexes of reference books and cross-referencing titles found in bibliographies, etc. — it has been my habit to begin any argument by seeking an answer to the question, “Who am I arguing with?” If a person’s argument is so unusual as to attract my attention, it is likely that this person has an unusual biography, a background that may explain why they are making whatever claim has inspired me to consider a response. This habit has served me well over the years, and there have been occasions when I found myself chuckling like Patton: “Rommel, you magnificent bastard! I read your book!”

The online argument that brought Alonso Gurmendi to my attention began with him endorsing a video by Zohran Mamdani:

“This is exactly what is needed. To stop. Take a step back. Break the flow of the news cycle and speak the truth: that Islamophobia is socially accepted in the West. That these people are racist. And deserve to be treated as such. That this racism needs to end. Now.”

As might be expected, critics slammed Gurmendi’s justification of the Jew-hating Mamdani’s sophistry, and (also not unexpectedly) Gurmendi then smeared these critics as mercenary trolls:

“I gotta say, the completely ridiculous amount of super aggressive racist trolls in this specific tweet on this specific day feels completely fabricated and paid for“

So, if you criticize Alonso, you’re a “racist troll,” and he suspects that your online activity is “paid for” — by whom? When you see that kind of insinuation, certain questions ought to immediately arise. Seldom have I ever accused anyone of being bought off, even though that it’s widely known that some online activity is subsidized by various entities, foreign and domestic. Such names as Pierre Omidyar, George Soros and the Koch brothers are often bandied about as funding pay-for-play activism online.

However, the specific nature of Alonso Gurmendi’s rhetoric — accusing Mamdani’s critics of being racist Islamophobes — casts a certain light on his claims that those who disagree with him are “paid for.”

This suggested a query: Has Alonso accused Israel of genocide in Gaza? Oh, yes. Yes, indeed. He wrote an entire article about it!

Published in January 2025, Gurmendi’s article assumes as a fact that Israel’s war in Gaza was an act of genocide:

“This process of hiding genocide has become painfully visible nowadays throughout the unfolding obliteration of Palestinians in Gaza. Despite repeated attempts at stopping the violence through various international institutions, international law appears powerless, with commentators repeating, almost as mantra, just how difficult it is to prove genocidal intent.”

Recall that the Gaza War began with Hamas launching a mass terrorist attack against Israeli civilians, murdering more than 1,200 and kidnapping 250. Recall also that the people of Gaza elected Hamas as their government with the full knowledge that Hamas is a terrorist organization dedicated to killing every Jew in Israel.

All of which is to say, it is not “difficult . . . to prove genocidal intent” on the part of Hamas. Israel is defending itself against genocidal enemies, and the only reason “the obliteration of Palestinians in Gaza” continued as long as it did is because Hamas refused to surrender. Yet somehow this reality is invisible to Alonso Gurmendi, whose motives seem rather obvious: He agrees with Hamas that Israel should be destroyed.

Alonso Gurmendi is a native of Peru who currently lives in London, and good luck getting him to explain why he’s obsessed with helping Hamas annihilate Jews in Israel, or why (to return to the original topic) he considers himself obliged to act as a campaign cheerleader for Zohran Mamdani in New York. Meanwhile, he’ll write entire articles to explain that anyone who disagrees with him is a Nazi.

Ah, but what about our headline question: Who is paying the “racist trolls”? What sinister force could be funding the “super aggressive” and “completely fabricated” criticism of Alonso Gurmendi?

Are his enemies being paid in shekels, perhaps? Isn’t that really what Alonso Gurmendi intended to insinuate, that anyone who objects to his anti-Israel propaganda is a hireling of Zionist Jews?

Well, I haven’t checked my PayPal balance lately, so maybe the Mossad is secretly paying me — keeping it a secret even from me — but I would gladly hate this particular son of a bitch for free. Anyone who wants to join the Volunteer Troll Army can just look at Alonso Gurmendi’s timeline on X and jump into the fight. Tell him the Mossad sent you.



 

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Category: Intellectuals, Islam, Israel, Racism

In The Mailbox: 10.27.25

Posted on | October 28, 2025 | Comments Off on In The Mailbox: 10.27.25

— compiled by Wombat-socho

Stopping overnight in West Wendover, 4/5 hours from home, after 11 hours on the road from Grand Junction.
Silicon Valley et Hamas delenda sunt.

Sensurround has opinions about filthy Commies.

OVER THE TRANSOM
Director Blue: The Illustrated Spygate Scandal Part XXXII, also Part XXXIII
357 Magnum: Does a “Report” from a Clueless AI Constitute Reasonable Cause?
EBL: Chronicles of the Sun, Javier Milei and his party winning midterms in Argentina, Weapons, June Lockhart, RIP, and MAGA Sure Like To Ball
Twitchy: Lawrence O’Donnell Creates “Jennings Derangement Syndrome”, Chuck Schumer Impotently Rants In The Senate While Trump Dances In Malaysia, and Tampon Timmy Lies That Trump Is Prioritizing New WH Ballroom Over Everything
Louder With Crowder: Female swimmer (the one in the photo) banned from World Aquatics swimming after she refused to prove she was a woman, Letitia James cries that the justice system she weaponized against Donald Trump is being weaponized against her now, CNBC explains how Dems are to blame for the shutdown AND healthcare crisis slow enough for even Hakeem Jeffries to understand, Joy Behar claims she was fired as a high school teacher over her leftist views, and California moms show how AWFL they are, flipping off students for saying boys shouldn’t be allowed to play girls’ sports
Vox Popoli: Odessa is Next, The Official Record, Cold War 2.0, Atheism is Autistic Midwittery, and President Trump’s Third Term
Cedar Sanderson: Small things, quiet stories, also, Hummingbird Muffins
The Bugscuffle Gazette: That’s What I Get For Thinking, Publisher Stuff, and Good Morning Blue Chekists!
L’Ombre de L’Olivier: Reflections on Broken Token Ring
Upstream Reviews: Nightmare Arcanist, also, End of Summer Box Office Review
Defending The Wood Perilous: Anticipation!
Gab: You Were Made For The Sun, Not The Screen
Jim McCoy: You Were A Good Man

RIPPED FROM THE HEADLINES
Baldilocks: Back In Time, Inferiority’s Children, and On The Dark Road, 
CDR Salamander: Maritime Statecraft & Its Future, also, The 21st Century Battleship?
Don Surber: Catching Up On The Weekend
Elizabeth Nickson: The Lesson of No Kings
Matt Taibbi: First Brands – Are the Cockroaches Coming Home To Roost? The Great Leftist Ignorance Scam, and Life Imitates Art
STUMP: The Week In Meep – Behind The Scenes, Sumo in London, June Lockhart RIP, and SEA PEOPLES!

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Category: Linkagery

Rule 5 Sunday: Fall Colors

Posted on | October 26, 2025 | Comments Off on Rule 5 Sunday: Fall Colors

— compiled by Wombat-socho

Fortunately I have enough Rule 5 material stashed in various folders to get by…but I would really like to have my @wombat_socho account on X back.
Ceterum autem censeo Silicon Valley et Hamas delendam sunt.

“…and so, by concealing everything, she revealed everything.”

ANIMAL MAGNETISM: Rule 5 Funding Antifa Friday, and the Saturday Gingermageddon.

EBL: Saturday Night Girls With Guns, “Voices Carry”, Elkhorn, Emmylou Harris, Eat More Cheese, How To Have A Successful Marriage, Mussolini – Son of the Century, Boston Blue, Boccaccio 70, Tess Harper, Hitler’s Hollywood, Early In The Morning, MAGA – No Kings Day Was Lit, and “I Don’t Want To Miss A Thing”

A VIEW FROM THE BEACH: Natasia Still, Trump Wants Even Bigger Balls, Fish Pic Friday – Chelsea Morey, Call Out Your Name, Gone Fishin’, The Wednesday Wetness, Va Striped Bass YOY Index Comes in Just Average, Tattoo Tuesday, The Monday Morning Stimulus, Virginia To Lift Blue Catfish Limits, Flatheads Feed on Pennsylvania Fish, and Palm Sunday 

BACON TIME: Rule 5 – Yes, I Will Have A Beer

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Category: Rule 5

FMJRA 2.0: Breaking Even On The Road

Posted on | October 26, 2025 | Comments Off on FMJRA 2.0: Breaking Even On The Road

— compiled by Wombat-socho

We lost two of three at Kansas City’s Municipal Stadium but came back in the frozen wasteland of Milwaukee County Stadium to win two out of three, the final game being decided by a six-run explosion in the 13th inning to give Charlie Hough his first win in relief. Hopefully I’ll get home early enough to play the Giants on Tuesday and not have to pull over somewhere between Wendover and Tonopah. After a week and a half of play, we’re 4-5, two games ahead of the last-place A’s.
Ceterum autem censeo Silicon Valley et Hamas delendam sunt.

Rule 5 Sunday: Terrain Features Part II 
Osece Code
Animal Magnetism
A View From The Beach
EBL
357 Magnum



Strange Return of the Whore Aella 
American Free News Network
First Street Journal
EBL
357 Magnum

Third Saturday Was Historic This Year
EBL
357 Magnum

FMJRA 2.0: No Joy At Fenway
Enem Insights
A View From The Beach
EBL

In The Mailbox: 10.21.25 (Afternoon Edition)
A View From The Beach
EBL
357 Magnum

The Delusions of #Resistance 2.0: Did Democrats Forget They Lost the Election?
A View From The Beach
EBL
357 Magnum

In The Mailbox: 10.23.25
A View From The Beach
EBL
357 Magnum

In The Mailbox: 10.24.25
EBL
357 Magnum
A View From The Beach

Thanks to everyone for all the links!

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Category: FMJRA Award

Is Jack Ciattarelli Winning in New Jersey?

Posted on | October 25, 2025 | Comments Off on Is Jack Ciattarelli Winning in New Jersey?

Jack Ciattarelli (left) and Mikie Sherrill (right)

Far be it from me to predict that Republicans are on the verge of winning this year’s gubernatorial election in New Jersey, but (a) Jack Ciattarelli came pretty close to knocking off incumbent Phil Murphy four years ago, and (b) with Murphy term-limited, Democrats nominated Rep. Mikie Sherrill, who hasn’t exactly been running away with it. Ever since an Emerson College poll last month showed the New Jersey race to be a dead heat, Democrats have been freaking out about it.

How bad is the New Jersey freakout? Bad enough that Molly Jong-Fast felt the need to write a New York Times column about it:

When you spend as much time around Democratic Party people as I do, you find that everybody is worried about something. The specter of 2024, and the reign of Trump terror that has followed, has the party on edge. The polls are mostly in Democrats’ favor, but, they worry, what are we not seeing? What are we not hearing? They’re worried they’ve lost their mojo in the face of MAGA.
Nowhere is this more apparent than in the governor’s race in New Jersey. Representative Mikie Sherrill, the Democrats’ great-on-paper centrist nominee, is ahead in the polls but still being second-guessed.
I felt this skittishness this for myself when I attended a “No Kings” rally last weekend in the blue town of Montclair. It’s a community full of commuters but also the home of Ms. Sherrill, a former Navy helicopter pilot and federal prosecutor who flipped her reddish district in 2018. Her opponent is the suspiciously well-tanned Republican Jack Ciattarelli, who is running for governor for the third time in a row.
Ms. Sherrill is ahead in the polls, but that doesn’t quiet the doubters. The pollster G. Elliott Morris of Fifty Plus One put it best when he texted me, “It would be surprising if Ciattarelli won, but bigger upsets have happened before.”
New Jersey is a Rorschach test for a party in full freakout. . . .

While I do not hold G. Elliott Morris in high regard (and he certainly has no regard for me), his summary of the New Jersey campaign is probably pretty accurate: Yes, a win for Ciattarelli would be considered an upset, but it’s not impossible. Not a single poll has shown Ciattarelli actually leading the race, and this is a state where Kamala Harris won by a six-point margin last year. If we were wagering, and I was willing to bet Sherrill wins by a three-point spread — in other words, half the margin Kamala won by in New Jersey — would you bet against me?

You see that, as a matter of probability, a Republican win in New Jersey would be surprising, as Morris says, but the fact that Democrats are even worried about it is a very good sign for Republicans. Molly Jong-Fast speaks of “the reign of Trump terror,” and if it were widely regarded as such, you’d expect the Democratic candidate in a blue state like New Jersey to have a cake walk — Mikie Sherrill on her way to winning by a double-digit margin — but that’s not happening, is it?

This paragraph of Molly Jong-Fast’s column is priceless:

One of the biggest problems facing Mikie Sherrill’s bid for governor may have nothing to do with Mikie Sherrill and everything to do with a certain pundit-class miasma about the supposed unelectability of women. After all, this is a party that has run two supercompetent women for president on its ticket, and they both lost against Mr. Trump.

“Miasma,” ma’am? Hunting around for a fancy substitute for “attitude” or “prejudice,” what on earth would lead you to miasma?

Awkward word choices aside, what color is the sky in your universe, where a candidate’s “biggest problem” is the attitude of pundits?

The pundit class weighed in on this topic:

Do you see what I mean about the New Jersey situation being a very good sign for Republicans? Whether or not Ciattarelli scores an upset victory, the strength of his campaign has backed Democrats into a corner where they’re second-guessing themselves and arguing with each other about tactics and strategy. And the credit for this goes to none other than Donald J. Trump, who defeated both of those “supercompetent women” and thereby demonstrated that identity politics can be a liability.

If somehow Ciattarelli wins this thing, I’ll give a lot of credit to Scott Presler, who’s been doing his ground-game magic in New Jersey. Presler’s work in Pennsylvania last year played a key role in helping Trump win there, and knocking off the allegedly “supercompetent” Mikie Sherrill in New Jersey would demonstrate his effectiveness again.



 

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Category: Election, New Jersey
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