The Other McCain

"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up." — Arthur Koestler

Is This the Kanye Factor?

Posted on | November 25, 2019 | 1 Comment

 

Let’s not over-interpret these numbers:

A pair of recent polls show that 34 percent of black likely voters approve of President Donald Trump’s presidency, a stunning development that could have a massive impact on his re-election campaign in 2020.
A Rasmussen poll released Friday showed black likely voter approval of Trump at 34 percent. An Emerson Poll showed 34.5 percent approval by the same demographic.
“Boom,” wrote black author and Trump supporter Deneen Borelli on Twitter, calling the results “Democrats worst nightmare.”
The Trump campaign celebrated the news.
“It might shock Democrats that support for President Trump is rising with Black Americans but it shouldn’t,” Trump campaign Principal Deputy Communications Director Erin Perrine said to Breitbart News. “Blacks are more prosperous than ever because of President Trump with record-low unemployment and rising paychecks.”
The polling bump only bolstered the Trump campaign’s decision to launch a “Black Voices for Trump” political coalition in November.
“We’re going to campaign for every last African American vote in 2020,” Trump said in a speech, launching the group with black supporters in Atlanta, Georgia.
Perrine said the news would energize the coalition going into the president’s re-election effort for 2020.
“The Black Voices for Trump coalition will help get the facts and truth out there about the strength of America for Blacks under President Trump,” she said.

The Trump campaign has made a commitment to winning over black voters in 2020, an effort unprecedented in recent Republican campaign history, and we must keep in mind that it is not necessary for Trump to win a majority of black votes to have a huge impact. For decades, the GOP has suffered from an image problem on race issues, and too many Republican consultants have been averse to making a real effort to fix that problem. In district after district, state after state, election after election, Democrats just assumed that they would win 90-95% of the black vote, which enabled them to win offices in close elections where a majority of white voters went for the Republican candidate. If Trump can get to double digits — 12%-15% — with black voters in 2020, that would probably doom the Democrats in states like Florida and North Carolina. And having stronger black support will also help Trump with the kind of suburban white women who don’t want to be perceived as “racist” for voting Republican. Polls show increasing opposition to the Democrats’ impeachment witch-hunt, and it’s entirely possible — I mean, a long shot, but you can’t rule it out — that Trump could win a 1972-style landslide.

Keep in mind you have four white people — Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders and Pete Buttigieg — currently leading the polls among Democratic presidential candidates. The only black candidate with a chance, Kamala Harris, is at 4% nationally and has gone “all-in” on winning the Iowa caucuses. But three of the four most recent Iowa polls show Buttigieg leading, while Harris is in sixth place in the RCP average of Iowa polls. In other words, Iowa Democrats support the gay white mayor over the black female Senator, and do you think this makes black Democrats happy? You ain’t been paying attention to social media, then, because they’re angry as hell. Black Democrats hate Buttigieg.

Maybe it’s just a coincidence that Kanye West, said to be a Trump supporter, released an album entitled “Follow God” that zoomed to the top of the charts. I mean, Democrats might be getting ready to nominate this gay white guy, and here the multi-platinum black rapper who (allegedly) supports Trump is throwing down some Jesus on the people?

All we can do is pray. And maybe you could hit my tip jar?





 

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