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Democrat Concedes in CA-25 Special Election: Not Close Enough to Steal

Posted on | May 15, 2020 | Comments Off on Democrat Concedes in CA-25 Special Election: Not Close Enough to Steal

 

Even the amazing ability of California Democrats to manufacture votes through “ballot harvesting” were not enough to elect Christy Smith in Tuesday’s special election to fill the seat vacated by naked bisexual Katie Hill‘s resignation. Republican Mike Garcia won CA-25 by a 12% margin, 56-44, an advantage of more than 18,000 votes, and Smith finally conceded Wednesday afternoon. You can add Garcia’s victory to the win for Republican Tom Tiffany in Wisconsin’s 7th District, filling the seat vacated by Republican Sean Duffy’s retirement. And how did the blog FiveThirtyEight tout this on Monday?

Two Special Elections On Tuesday
Could Hint At Another Blue Wave In 2020

For some reason, they haven’t followed up on that idea. How did they get this “bellwether” so wrong? Molly Hemingway takes a look:

The case made by Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich was simple: Supposedly Americans strongly prefer Biden and Democrats over Trump and Republicans, and they are particularly upset with Trump and other Republicans’ attempts to reopen the country as the global Coronavirus pandemic rages.
“On Tuesday, we’ll get a taste of whether Democrats’ electoral advantage on paper will hold up in practice, as California and Wisconsin hold special elections for two vacant congressional seats. The main event is in the California 25th Congressional District, a bellwether seat in the north Los Angeles suburbs, where both parties see a chance to add to their ranks in the House. But if Democrats are also competitive in the quickly reddening, rural Wisconsin 7th Congressional District, it could signal another blue wave in the fall,” they argued. . . .

Read the whole thing.




 

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