TRUMP WINS! TRUMP WINS!
Posted on | November 3, 2020 | Comments Off on TRUMP WINS! TRUMP WINS!
UPDATE 11:10 p.m. ET: I’m calling it for Trump. He’s won Florida and Georgia. North Carolina is looking like a win. He’s leading in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Michigan — MICHIGAN! — Trump now leads by double-digits. We are in Red Wave territory, folks.
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My partner John Hoge and I will be podcasting tonight and you can click here to listen (you’ll need to download the Podbeam app).
What’s going to happen? Well, here’s a clue: I went to vote about 5 p.m. I live in a county that went for Trump in 2016 by a 30-point margin (62%-32%), and the polling place is in the reddest, most rural part of the county. The line stretched around the parking lot and the wait was an hour and 45 minutes. This lady was one of those standing in line:
So if it’s going to take a stampede of rural voters for Trump to win, maybe the “Red Wave” will actually happen. We shall see.
@PatriarchTree and I will present a special edition of The Other Podcast Tuesday. Join us and our guest blogger/commentators at 7pm ET and 10 pm.… https://t.co/f74SHGs32h
— The WJJ Hoge (@wjjhoge) November 2, 2020
UPDATE 6:55 p.m. ET: Ace notes that exit polls look good for Trump.
These CNN exit polls are better than expected for the Trump campaign. If 48% say handling of Covid is going well, and if number #1 issue is economy, expect close race pic.twitter.com/0AOxTA0WgW
— Jacob Kornbluh (@jacobkornbluh) November 3, 2020
On the side of pessimism, however, if Democrats voted early by mail, then they would be underrepresented in exit polls.
UPDATE 8:00 p.m. ET: Miami is killing liberal dreams:
We expected Miami to be unexpectedly weak for Biden but this is an unexpected level of unexpectedness.
— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) November 4, 2020
BREAKING NEWS:
NYT gives Trump a 95+ chance of winning Florida pic.twitter.com/gb66HAGDUV— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) November 4, 2020
UPDATE 10 p.m. ET: We’ve finished three hours of podcasting and now you can click here for ANOTHER three hours. Oh, my God, it looks like Trump is pulling off another miracle upset.
EXPECT FURTHER UPDATES . . .