The Other McCain

"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up." — Arthur Koestler

Do Not Trust Polls, Period

This morning, I woke up and clicked the TV over to CNN just to see what they were talking about. They were touting a new CNN poll that shows Democrat Andrew Gillum leading by 12 points (!!!) in the Florida governor’s race. My immediate thought was, “What the f–k? Trump won Florida two years ago, […]

Politics 101: Can Democrats Win?

  During CPAC last weekend, several people asked my opinion of the chances of Democrats capturing a congressional majority in the fall. Obviously, I don’t have any clairvoyant powers. In October 2016, I was convinced that Donald Trump couldn’t possibly be elected. A month later, he proved me wrong. So I claim no special insight […]

Polls Say Hillary Will Win, So Democrats Don’t Actually Need to Vote for Her

  It’s going to be a shoo-in, a walkover, a one-sided electoral landslide for Hillary Clinton on Tuesday. This tsunami of support means that anybody who was worried that Donald Trump might win can just relax and stay home Tuesday. Don’t bother to vote, Democrats. It’s in the bag. Clinton 3 Points Ahead of Trump […]

If Hillary Loses Ohio …

  . . . well, finish that sentence however you wish: Republican Donald Trump holds a 5-point lead over Democrat Hillary Clinton in Ohio, where her support among women is collapsing, according to a new poll released Wednesday by Quinnipiac University. If the election were today, Trump would get 46 percent to Clinton’s 41 percent […]

SHOCKING: TRUMP SURGES IN POLL; HILLARY DOOMED BY F.B.I. PROBE?

  Bad news today for “Crooked Hillary”: Donald Trump has surged to within 1 point of Hillary Clinton in a national poll released Sunday morning. Clinton leads Trump, 46 to 45 percent, in a four-way race including Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson and the Green Party’s Jill Stein in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll. […]

Polls Show Trump Support Collapse as Campaign Heads to Final Debate

  A month ago, support for Donald Trump was within a one-point margin of Hillary Clinton in the Real Clear Politics average of national polls, but since early October, the advantage in the presidential campaign has clearly shifted toward the Democrat. Trump’s support peaked at 45% in the RCP average on Oct. 2, and has […]

Hillary Is ‘Freakishly Unpopular,’ @MattYglesias Painfully Voxplains

Harvard-educated liberal genius Matthew Yglesias. That people don’t like Hillary Clinton is hardly news to anyone who has paid attention to American politics since 1992, but among the Manhattan-based, Ivy League-educated liberal elite, the well-known problem of Hillary’s unpopularity was something they hoped could be changed by such P.R. strategies as having her dance with […]

Polls Show Hillary Slipping: Is It Because Black People Don’t Like Her Very Much?

  In recent days, Hillary Clinton’s poll lead over Donald Trump has begun shrinking again. In two recent polls — by Investors Business Daily and Reuters — Hillary led by just one point, and in the latest L.A. Times poll, Trump is actually leading by 2 points, 45%-43%. The trend in the Real Clear Polls […]

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