The Other McCain

"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up." — Arthur Koestler

An Important Anniversary

On this date — Oct. 8 — four years ago, in wake of the Access Hollywood tape release (“grab ’em by the p***y”), I pronounced this an “unrecoverable error.” The election was effectively over, and there was no way that Donald Trump could be elected president. Never have I been so confident of any prediction, […]

States Joe Biden Won’t Win

One of the ways the media mislead America is with polls. The old phrase, “Lies, damned lies, and statistics” should be amended to include public opinion polls, especially national polls in presidential campaigns. To state the fact as simply as possible, national polls are irrevelant in terms of projecting the final result, because what actually […]

Who’s Right: James Carville or … Me?

  Last night on MSNBC, James Carville uncorked a rant about how the Trump campaign is run by “grifters” who know they’re going to lose: “Every poll, we’re ahead. There’s nothing but overwhelming evidence. Look what his campaign is doing. They’re a pack of grifters. His campaign manager got two condos, a Ferrari, a yacht, […]

Biden Loses Ground in Latest Poll

Twenty years ago, part of my job at The Washington Times was compiling the weekly round-up of election poll data, and I learned a good bit about the polling business in the process. First, as pollsters say, what they seek to provide is a “snapshot” of public opinion, which is not a prediction of future […]

Warren Fades; Democrats Worried UPDATE: Cory Booker Drops Out

  With the final pre-Iowa debate looming Tuesday night, the 2020 presidential campaign is looking shaky for Democrats. Unless you believe Joe Biden can beat Trump — and I’m not sure Biden can even make it to the end of February — any Democrat has got to be worried about Bernie Sanders, the avowed socialist, […]

Is This the Kanye Factor?

  Let’s not over-interpret these numbers: A pair of recent polls show that 34 percent of black likely voters approve of President Donald Trump’s presidency, a stunning development that could have a massive impact on his re-election campaign in 2020. A Rasmussen poll released Friday showed black likely voter approval of Trump at 34 percent. […]

Naming Names

We now know the names of three pollsters — Greg Lloyd, Mike Baselice and Adam Geller — fired by the Trump 2020 campaign after they allegedly leaked internal poll data to the New York Times showing President Trump trailing Joe Biden in key battleground states. Lloyd is a former associate of Kellyanne Conway, Baselice “has […]

Marianne Williamson Hits Key Polling Threshold in Qualifying for DNC Debates

According to an analysis by Politico, Marianne Williamson has now hit 1% in three national polls, one of the qualifying thresholds for the first two rounds of Democratic National Committee presidential debates beginning next month. Williamson’s campaign had earlier this month announced reaching the other qualifying hurdle — 65,000 unique donors — established by the […]

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