The Other McCain

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Republican Pulls Ahead in New AZ-7 Poll: Ruth McClung 39%, Raul Grijalva 37%

Posted on | October 11, 2010 | 8 Comments

Following up on yesterday’s post — and another early this morning at The American Spectator — here is the latest poll of Arizona’s 7th District:

New Poll Shows Democrat
Grijalva Faces Tough Re-Elect
Republican Challenger Ruth McClung
Within Striking Distance
PHOENIX, AZ – A recent survey conducted by Phoenix-based Summit Consulting Group, Inc. shows four-term Democrat Congressman Raul Grijalva in a surprisingly tough re-election campaign against Republican Challenger Ruth McClung.
An automated survey conducted between October 4th and 5th among 1,807 likely general election voters shows McClung clearly within striking distance of beating Grijalva in Congressional District 7 which encompasses a large swath of southwestern Arizona.
When asked the question,
“In the upcoming general election for Congress, do you plan on supporting Democrat Raul Grijalva, Republican Ruth McClung, or are you undecided?”The results were:
Raul Grijalva . . . . . . 37%
Ruth McClung . . . . . 39%
Undecided . . . . . . . 24%
Based on the results, McClung has locked down the Republican base, losing only 5% to Grijalva. She earns 18% among Democrat voters and a whopping 42% among Independents.
The sample included voters who have participated in the last two general elections and was in line with the current voter registration numbers. Democrats comprised 43%, Republican voters 24% and Independent, Party Not Determined and Other Party were 33% of the sample used.
The margin of error is +/-3%.

Publius Pundit has much more. There is now a Memeorandum thread and I hasten to acknowledge the key role played by Michelle Malkin in calling attention to Ruth McClung’s campaign.

Remember, as with Sean Bielat’s campaign here in MA-4, the McClung campaign in AZ-7 hasn’t been on anybody’s list of Top 100 Most Winnable Seats for the GOP. So when you see polls showing a district like this neck-and-neck . . . Dude.

No wonder George Soros sees a Republican “avalanche.”

RUTH McCLUNG for U.S. CONGRESS

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Category: Arizona, Congress, Election, Ruth McClung

Comments

  • Teresa in Fort Worth, TX

    So……if the poll breakdown is 43% Democrat, 24% Republican, and the rest are Independents/No Party Listed, and the enthusiasm gap is anything close to what Gallup has been showing, what do the REAL numbers look like I wonder?

  • Raul Grijalva

    I am not sure what this means? Is this a reaction to me calling for a boycott on Arizona?

    Oh oh. This is not so smart.

    It takes talent to be a dumb as I am.

  • http://profiles.yahoo.com/u/EU5DQWQTTHTPO4A4ZYSL3AAV2U Adjoran

    The election of Obama and the overriding majorities for the Democrats in the Congress seemed nightmarish. Now the prospect, only two years later, of not only retaking the Congress but also defeating the vile likes of Frank and Grijalva, Kaptur and Grayson and Murray, is like a dream come true.

    Revenge, they say, is a dish best served cold – with freshly whipped cream and a cherry on top!

  • ewb

    Great! Now, per my email, how about some love for Muri in WA’s 9th district? This would be a great win, and not just for those of us in WA. He’s within the margin of error against 7(!) term Smith:

    http://tinyurl.com/24qz5a8

    Momentum!

    http://tinyurl.com/2b7w759

  • Raul Grijalva

    I think it might be prudent to start looking for work. Does anyone want to hire me? I just want a fall back, just in case.

  • Pingback: The hell with hope. Vote for change. | Zingstrom's Blog

  • http://profiles.yahoo.com/u/EU5DQWQTTHTPO4A4ZYSL3AAV2U Adjoran

    Raul, Baby, if I ever find the need for a second anus, you got the job!

  • LibertarianAdvocate

    I prefer it with a little truffle salt

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