Posted on | October 11, 2010 | 8 Comments
New Poll Shows Democrat
Grijalva Faces Tough Re-Elect
Republican Challenger Ruth McClung
Within Striking Distance
PHOENIX, AZ – A recent survey conducted by Phoenix-based Summit Consulting Group, Inc. shows four-term Democrat Congressman Raul Grijalva in a surprisingly tough re-election campaign against Republican Challenger Ruth McClung.
An automated survey conducted between October 4th and 5th among 1,807 likely general election voters shows McClung clearly within striking distance of beating Grijalva in Congressional District 7 which encompasses a large swath of southwestern Arizona.
When asked the question,
“In the upcoming general election for Congress, do you plan on supporting Democrat Raul Grijalva, Republican Ruth McClung, or are you undecided?”The results were:
Raul Grijalva . . . . . . 37%
Ruth McClung . . . . . 39%
Undecided . . . . . . . 24%
Based on the results, McClung has locked down the Republican base, losing only 5% to Grijalva. She earns 18% among Democrat voters and a whopping 42% among Independents.
The sample included voters who have participated in the last two general elections and was in line with the current voter registration numbers. Democrats comprised 43%, Republican voters 24% and Independent, Party Not Determined and Other Party were 33% of the sample used.
The margin of error is +/-3%.
Publius Pundit has much more. There is now a Memeorandum thread and I hasten to acknowledge the key role played by Michelle Malkin in calling attention to Ruth McClung’s campaign.
Remember, as with Sean Bielat’s campaign here in MA-4, the McClung campaign in AZ-7 hasn’t been on anybody’s list of Top 100 Most Winnable Seats for the GOP. So when you see polls showing a district like this neck-and-neck . . . Dude.