N.H.: Hillary Will Lose, But What Difference, at This Point, Does It Make?

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Polls forecast a defeat for Clinton tonight:

Donald Trump continues to lead the Republican race in New Hampshire on the eve of the vote, the final CNN/WMUR tracking poll finds.
On the Democratic side of the race, it remains Bernie Sanders’ primary to lose, with the Vermont senator holding a 26-point lead over Hillary Clinton. . . .
In the Democratic race, Sanders tops Clinton 61% to 35%, an uptick for Sanders since the last update to the tracking poll . . .

The prospect of a double-digit defeat in New Hampshire for the former Secretary of State has sent a shock wave through the Democrat Party establishment. Clinton has “underperformed,” as one analyst said on CNN this morning, and it is clear that the youth vote for the  74-year-old Sanders reflects both a negative judgment of Hillary as well as support for Bernie’s far-left agenda. Because the Democrat establishment considers Sanders “unelectable,” the prospect of his winning the nomination has caused murmurs of a third-party campaign by liberal former New York Mayor Mike Bloomberg. Meanwhile, Team Clinton is trying to put the wheels back on the Hillary bandwagon:

Hillary and Bill Clinton are so dissatisfied with their campaign’s messaging and digital operations they are considering staffing and strategy changes after what’s expected to be a loss in Tuesday’s primary in New Hampshire, according to a half-dozen people with direct knowledge of the situation.
The Clintons — stung by her narrow victory in Iowa and shocked by polls showing her losing by as much as 20 percent here — had been planning to reassess staffing at the campaign’s Brooklyn headquarters after the first four primaries, but the Clintons have become increasingly caustic in their criticism of aides and demanded the reassessment sooner, a source told POLITICO.
The talk of shake-up echoes what happened in 2008 — when Clinton was on the verge of sacking her campaign manager and several top communications officials — before her surprise win in New Hampshire bailed out her beleaguered staff. Over time, however she slowly layered over top officials, essentially hiring old hands — like Hillaryland stalwart Maggie Williams and pollster Geoff Garin — to run the campaign while the previous staffers were quietly relegated to subsidiary positions.
It’s not clear whether that will happen again, but several people close to the situation said Clinton would be loath to fire anyone outright and more inclined to add new staff.
“The Clintons are not happy and have been letting all of us know that,” said one Democratic official who speaks regularly to both. “The idea is that we need a more forward-looking message, for the primary — but also for the general election too. … There’s no sense of panic, but there is an urgency to fix these problems right now.”

Yeah, “no sense of panic,” but they’re losing to the 74-year-old Sanders, an extremist kook from the fringe. The Clintons are discovering that a Cult of Personality doesn’t work if voters don’t like the personality at its center. Meanwhile, one of the ghosts of Bill’s past is rattling her chains:

One of the women who has accused former U.S. President Bill Clinton of sexual assault says she has agreed to work for an anti-Clinton political group being formed by a former advisor to Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump.
Kathleen Willey, a former White House volunteer who says Bill Clinton groped her in an Oval Office hallway in 1993 when she came to him tearfully seeking a paid job, said she had agreed to become a paid national spokeswoman for a group being created by Roger Stone.
Stone, a Republican strategist, said the group would become active should Hillary Clinton, Bill Clinton’s wife, win the Democratic nomination in the 2016 race for the White House. . . .
“This gives me more of an opportunity to get this message out to young voters who weren’t even born or don’t even remember what happened and to the women who have suffered,” Willey told Reuters.
Willey said she will give interviews and speeches and appear in political advertisements to ensure the accusations remain part of the political discourse during the election campaign.
“They’re going to be confronted every day, on radio, on television, on billboards,” Stone told Reuters, referring to the Clintons.

How can feminists be against “rape culture” and for Clinton?

 

55 comments

  2. The median figures of all the polls taken after 1 February and reported on Real Clear Politics give Sanders 54% and Hellary 40.5%.

    After the close of the 2012 campaign, the 538 group rank ordered pollsters according to their accuracy. Most of these polls have been commissioned by the New England media from agencies not rated by 538 in 2012. The agencies 538 did rate are CNN (5th out of 23 pollsters assessed in 2012), Gravis (16th place) and American Research Group (21st out of 23). ARG has been taking a mess of polls in recent days.

    The medians of CNN’s polls have Sanders at 61% and Hellary at 35%. Gravis has it at 58% Sanders to 42% Hellary. ARG has it 53% Sanders, 41% Hellary. In other matters, ARG’s polls have consistently given higher shares to John Kasich than have all the other polls. There either the smartest guys in the room this time ’round or they’re due for more embarrassment.

    Other than re Rubio, the survey research taken after 1 February does not look much different from that taken before 1 February. It may be that a loss by Hellary has no effect on her performance in South Carolina or Florida.

  3. In sports, after a series of unexpected losses the coach is often fired. It seems obvious that the time has arrived for the campaign team to rid themselves of Hillary and replace her with… I dunno—Biden?

  4. Gloria Steinem, Madeleine Albright and Hillary…it’s like that picture your parents have of their grandparents meeting at the wedding…their combined age can only be estimated using carbon isotopes…when they were each born the average American had no car, no TV and no air-conditioning…the average person they are trying to reach only knows who one of them is…and that’s because she’s married to a guy who used to be President…and 22% of those people think he was the President of the United Nations who crossed the Delaware River so he could chop down a fig tree…I don’t mean to imply that those three are old, I merely mean to state that I’m impressed that at least one of them appears to have remained unfossilized…

  5. To your previous post about the Iowa Caucuses, I noted that the Establishment would manipulate things to obtain the desired result. Lo, did we see the statistically improbably coin flips give the Hildebeast the victory. While she may lose New Hampshire, the Dems will not allow Bernie Sanders to represent them in November. It will not happen. (Ditto, Trump and Cruz–Cruz moreso–on the ‘Pub side.)

    The Dems’ problem is the email scandal versus Bernie’s socialism, which will destroy the party, liberal college campuses notwithstanding. Alas, they’re scrambling now trying to figure out who’ve they’ve got in the bullpen ready to come in to save the day. Answer: nobody. The Dems and their MSM enablers sold their collective souls to the Clintons some time ago and now they are reaping what they’ve sown.

  6. The “extremist kooks” are in the GOP, and have been running the same crooked game on the public at the behest of their corporate masters since the time of FDR.

  8. The Facebook timeline in our house includes the daily political utterances of the partisans among our friends. Needless to say, the per capita utterances of the known Democrats in our circle outnumber those of the known Republicans by a factor of about 10 – and one of the Republicans is the wife of a congressional aide who homeschooled her children. The Paul-bot in our circle mostly posts pictures of his daughters and bits and pieces about poetry; he says little on political topics. You know what those partisan Democrats post? Slogans and lame jokes. That’s nearly it (aside from an anxiety-ridden rant about the possibility of B. Sanders being assassinated). . That’s the level on which they think about their public world. One of the worst offenders has two master’s degrees and was a salaried employee in higher education for 32 years.

    What, exactly, would political discussion be worth anymore? Those of us on this side of the moat have no one to talk to anymore.

  9. The coin flips were just dumb luck (1 in 64 chance); no ready way for Hillary partisans to rig that in full view of Sanders partisans. What’s amusing is that the Iowa state chairman has refused to release the raw vote totals, which usually would not be indicative of much but would be interesting considering that HRC’s precinct tallies netted her x delegates, Sanders’ netted him x + 2 delegates, 6 were awarded by coin flips, and 1 was awarded by a county chairman to HRC even though Sanders won the precinct tally.

  11. Sanders did used to have Trotskyist literature in his office, but he’s never in his public career been a member of any Leninist organization. He wasn’t a member of SDS either than anyone knows about. He did belong to the old Norman Thomas Socialist Party at one point, to CORE, and to SNCC. CORE and SNCC fell off the cliff into black nationalist silliness around about 1966 and lost nearly all of their white members. SNCC did not last much longer and CORE has been, since 1968 or thereabouts, a donation collecting machine to finance one Roy Innes and his family. The old Socialist Party fell apart in 1971 and there were three successor organizations. Sanders belonged at that time to a peacenik party called the Liberty Union Party, which existed only in Vermont. They evidently co-operated with the successor Socialist faction led by David McReynolds, a strange man whose distinguishing feature has been his penchant for making a public point of his sexual problems.

  12. But what difference, at THIS point, does it make?
    Well, there’s the inevitable law suits, and recount delays.
    However, I suspect THIS time, “There’s no tears in primaries!”

  17. Around 1970 sci-fi writers used to write novels with chapter headings that were headlines of the future. They did it like “Ha, ha. This is so stupid things could never really be like this.”

    Actually it turns out they were optimistic. Who ever thought a cult which believes in curing heterosexuality would rule discourse on college campuses and from there into gov’t itself? Who ever thought black activists would argue against equal protection?

    I believe the Age of Enlightenment ended somewhere around 1990. Since then it’s been the Year Zero and counting.

  19. You never really say who the agent is which will not allow this and such to happen. All the donor money is buying Jeb Bush 5th and 6th place.

  22. “One of the worst offenders has two master’s degrees and was a salaried employee in higher education for 32 years.”

    The ‘Education’ Industry has become nothing but a government employment program for liberals. It has been at least 25 years since any openly conservative person could be hired in the faculty or administration of at a state university, and the handful of professors who are conservative (a) are all over 50, and (b) were hired before any of their colleagues realized they were conservative. This deliberate bias — ideological discrimination — has had an enormous trickle-down effect, so that now nearly all public school teachers under 40 are also “progressive” and the K-12 curriculum has been corrupted by cultural Marxism.

    From the day kids set foot in public school as kindergartners, the lesson they are taught every day is that (a) there is no God, (b) your parents are stupid and (c) America is evil and racist.

    The American public school system has been controlled by atheists and socialists for decades, or otherwise Barack Obama could never have been elected president.

  23. In his particular trade, there isn’t really much ideological discrimination unless you hit a hot button during an interview (and such questions do not come up much; its a great deal of blather about the humbug of the trade). OTOH, you can in that trade be a real ass in an interview from the other direction and it affects you not much. His particular office hired a real sectary. The problem is who is attracted to that sort of work and willing to sit through humbug ‘graduate school’ to be so employed. By the way, he and his wife are regular churchgoers (northern Baptist), though they’ve never been able to get their daughter to go during her post-adolescent years. Unlike many employees in higher education (especially faculty), he’s perfectly unassuming face-to-face. We haven’t talked in over three years, and he was never like this when you were in the room with him. This is since he and his wife retired (and its the both of them).

  25. It seems like Democrats are more likely to blather away on Facebook than Republicans. When’s the last time you heard of someone getting fired or otherwise having bad things happen to them because they posted leftist stuff online?

  29. If nothing else at least this cycle will have mainstreamed the term ”establishment” and made it a dirty word.

  35. At this point (8:23 EST) that’s what he’s doing, 56-43. Trump is cleaning up too with 34% to Kasich’s 16%, Bush’s 12% and Cuz’s 11%. Rubio is at 10%.

    I expected Cruz to do poorly, with Trump on top of the heap. Things are going to be interesting going forward.

  38. Overall not a bad night. Whenever a Clinton looses something whether an election or their keys, it’s a positive good.

  40. Remember that the Dems have a huge number of super high pustular overlord delegates who aren’t chosen in primaries. Further, if Hillary either quits or is forced out due to being indicted her delegates swing free.

  42. This might be true, Since FDR the Repubs have nominated RINOs every time but twice—Goldwater and Reagan.

    The Dems have mostly been satisfied with nominating nitwits and crooks.

  44. There was no broadcast television in 1936 and air conditioners were novelty items for the affluent. Was he being sarcastic when he made those references?

  45. Trump dominated with 35%, Kasich 16%, Cruz 12%, Bush 11% (29,186), Rubio 11%(27,774).

    Bern 60%, Shrillery 38%.

  46. Madeleine Albright actually said that there is a special place in hell for hyperbole cops…

    …but seriously, I appreciate the correction. it gave me an opportunity to play with the census…which led to many a rabbit trail…none of which were actually related to the auto/person. I do suspect that two of the three women in question are actual fossils…and trust me on this…I’m a professional…

  47. Not even “almost” for me. If I enjoyed watching old hags go through drunken, rage filled tantrums, I’d love to be a fly on the wall of Hillary’s campaign HQ.

    It’d make those Hitler inspired “Downfall” parodies pale by comparison.

  50. “Gloria Steinem and Madeleine Albright criticized for ‘shaming’ women who don’t back Clinton”

    Also, are zombies

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