Don’t Blame The Class, Blame The School Of Thought

by Smitty

Insty links Mark Steyn’s latest lamentation:

But these comparisons tend to understate the insolvency of America, failing as they do to take into account state and municipal debts and public pension liabilities. When Morgan Stanley ran those numbers in 2009, the debt-to-revenue ratio in Greece was 312 percent; in the United States it was 358 percent. If Greece has been knocking back the ouzo, we’re face down in the vat. Michael Tanner of the Cato Institute calculates that, if you take into account unfunded liabilities of Social Security and Medicare versus their European equivalents, Greece owes 875 percent of GDP; the United States owes 911 percent — or getting on for twice as much as the second-most-insolvent Continental: France at 549 percent.

Insty concludes:

No organization can survive corruption and ineptitude at the top forever. And we’ve had the worse political class in American history for a while now, though its rottenness has really accelerated lately.

My contention is that if Barack Obama had not been located to #OccupyResoluteDesk, the plutocrats would have located another tool. The worm eating the heart out of everything is the Federal Reserve. If you haven’t diagnosed the problem, and told me what we’re going to do to halt the longest-running heist in human history, then, I submit, you’re merely re-arranging the tungsten on the Edmund Fitzgerald.

Of course, returning to Insty’s point, the only GOP candidate discussing the Federal Reserve seriously is the one with the lowest likelihood of election. But is Paul talking about the Fed despite, or rather because of his relatively lower chance? The U.S. has to realize that crude propaganda plays like the Sandra Fluke farce or leveraging the Trayvon Martin tragedy are symptomatic of an utterly broken, dysfunctional President. If we are insufficiently exceptional to call ‘nonsense’ on #OccupyResoluteDesk, then we’re collectively justifying his idiocy.

They Told Me If I Voted For McCain, Politicized Economists Would Engage In Class Warfare Instead Of Speaking Truth To Power, And They Were Right!

by Smitty

Robert Reich:

But the rise in gas prices has almost nothing to do with energy policy. It has everything to do with America’s continuing failure to adequately regulate Wall Street. But don’t hold your breath waiting for Republicans to tell the truth.
As I’ve noted before, oil supplies aren’t being squeezed. Over 80 percent of America’s energy needs are now being satisfied by domestic supplies. In fact, we’re starting to become an energy exporter. Demand for oil isn’t rising in any event. Demand is down in the U.S. compared to last year at this time, and global demand is still moderate given the economic slowdowns in Europe and China.

Regulation! It’s what’s for breakfast! Seriously, one wonders what this jackwagon would consider too much regulation. Regulation is the salvation of the #Occupation, I suppose.
How about something akin to a real-world answer, from last year about this time?

An analysis produced by the Republican staff of Congress’ Joint Economic Committee blames the falling value of the dollar and the Fed’s quantitative easing policy for inflating the price of oil, and therefore the price of gasoline.
The report explains that while many factors contribute to the market price of oil, one is the value of the “unit of exchange” – the currency in which barrels of oil are traded.
“Oil is an international commodity that trades in dollars,” the report states. “The value of the unit of exchange, in this case the dollar, plays an important role in determining the ‘headline’ price for the underlying commodity.”

In summary, if “Zimbabwe” Ben Bernanke was not excreting a blizzard of currency from wherever, oil prices wouldn’t be, you know, inflated. Alternately, one wonders what the price would be if our government wasn’t systematically abusing the money supply. Economics, Reich: would you know it if it slapped you upside the head?

Update: more good stuff at The Rio Norte Line.

Must-Read Post Of The Day

by Smitty

Tom Blumer over at Pajamas Media has a crucial outing on the federal budget:

Here are two important but little-known and underappreciated points about the Super Dupers’ failure which cannot be emphasized enough:

  • None of the alleged “savings” under discussion (really reductions in projected spending increases) would have kicked in until the beginning of the 2013 fiscal year almost ten months from now. According to an Associated Press report, the “automatic” cuts noted earlier (if anyone believes they’re really going to happen) won’t begin taking effect until January 2013. In other words, contrary to the expectations of most, everyone involved apparently agreed during August’s debt-ceiling debacle that fiscal 2012 would be off-limits. Now, apparently, so is the first quarter of fiscal 2013.
  • Even if they had met their definition of super success, the $1.2 trillion involved would have reduced projected 2013-2021 spending of $40 trillion (Page XI at link) by only 3%. Spending for fiscal 2011 was $3.6 trillion. According to the CBO, if spending runs on autopilot for the next ten years — who’s to say it won’t, given that the government has already gone without a budget since April 27, 2009? — fiscal 2021 spending will be $5.4 trillion. Given the tendency to push most savings to further-off years, a “successful” Duper deal might have trimmed that to $5.2 trillion. Big duping deal.

Study the whole thing. And keep in mind that the budget affects the economy, which is The. Central. Issue. of the 2012 election, orbited of course by foreign policy, border security, the culture wars, &c.

And Barack is going to whine that he inherited the wound. Sure, and poured in a lick of salt. But when sober citizens attempting to address the real problems are thrown out of the halls of Congress. . .

$5 Billion To B-of-A, And All The IRS Got Was A Lousy T-Shirt Full Of Platitudes

by Smitty

Stop Coddling the Super-Rich, saith the sagebrush of Omaha on 15 August:

OUR leaders have asked for “shared sacrifice.” But when they did the asking, they spared me. I checked with my mega-rich friends to learn what pain they were expecting. They, too, were left untouched.

Oh boo-effing-hoo. Wait, what’s today’s news?

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway announced a surprise $5 billion investment in Bank of America Thursday morning, sending shares of the struggling Dow component surging more than 25% in early trading.

So, why don’t you just pour your company’s money into the IRS? Surely, all that matters is keeping the USS Sacred Holy Ideological Theater steaming, right? Later:

Bank of America (BAC, Fortune 500) shares have taken a beating on concerns that the banking giant may need to raise capital to shore up its balance sheet. But the stock made a comeback Wednesday after influential analyst Meredith Whitney said Bank of America wouldn’t need fresh capital.

0:00 / 3:14 BullHorn: Is worst over for BofA?
The bank announced it would lay off 3,500 employees earlier this month, on top of the 2,500 layoffs that the company announced earlier this year.

Buffett’s investment is nearly identical to the $5 billion investment that Buffett made in Goldman Sachs (GS, Fortune 500) in September 2008 at the height of the financial crisis. That was seen as a major endorsement of Goldman’s then at-risk business model. Goldman bought back the preferred shares it issued to Berkshire in that transaction earlier this year.

It would be cool if we could rule out more federal reserve shenanigans. However, until such time as we return to a representative government, we can safely assume the bankers are, once again, financially raping future generations in favor of covering their sad little backsides.

Update: Surber-lanche!

Update II: And Buffet is hosting a BHO fundraiser? Really? Certainly his right, just as it is the right of this blog to consider fundraising for BHO a self-indictmnet. Get bent, Mr. Buffet.

Eating Crow About Sprinklerman

by Smitty

Indeed, Boehner’s great big little cuts seem hardly a cause for capillary bleeding. The anti-Boehner chorus was a tad too shrill, in my estimate. Then again, I had relatively low expectations for the 112th Congress.

You have to understand that our Ruling Class overlords still expect Americans to balk at the pain of any real political chemotherapy. Hence Boehner’s shenanigans. Still, one can’t talk trash at this level without being willing to eat crow:

Yummy!

Da Tech Guy opines:

If Boehner is throwing away the trust of the activists who got him that chair then the GOP will deserve all that they get from it.

Forced to admit Riehl is spot on here:

The GOP has been reluctant to go after Obama as hard as he does them all the way back to 2008. Short of Sarah Palin being elected as a Representative from Alaska tomorrow and then elected Speaker the day after that, I’m hard pressed to see a way for things to change given current leadership.
Part of it may have to do with race, some of it may be traditional GOP fears of losing media battles, still more of it may come from weak and shriveled old GOP hands in Washington too long, who believe business as usual is going to get done in Washington the way it always has. It isn’t.

My gut is that the GOP is timid because they know the jig is up but do not know the reliability of the Tea Parties.

Why It Is Crucial To Own The Definitions

by Smitty (h/t Lucianne)

After former Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker was appointed in 1979, the consumer price index surged into the double digits, causing the now revered Fed Chief to double the benchmark interest rate in order to break the back of inflation. Using the methodology in place at that time puts the CPI back near those levels.

Inflation, using the reporting methodologies in place before 1980, hit an annual rate of 9.6 percent in February, according to the Shadow Government Statistics newsletter.

Since 1980, the Bureau of Labor Statistics has changed the way it calculates the CPI in order to account for the substitution of products, improvements in quality (i.e. iPad 2 costing the same as original iPad) and other things. Backing out more methods implemented in 1990 by the BLS still puts inflation at a 5.5 percent rate and getting worse, according to the calculations by the newsletter’s web site, Shadowstats.com.

Sure, we can refine methods as we know more. Unfortunately, we can’t seem to trust the government anymore. Every single number coming out of DC can reliably be anticipated to flatter the administration as much as possible at first blush, and then get walked back as the prevarication gets harder to hide.
Going back and checking the nonsense across decades helps gauge just how much sunshine has been blown up the public backside.
Insty was a trifle more caustic in his assessment.

Quantitative Easing

by Smitty (via Donald Marron)

This is very well done:
Take it straight, take it sober: the country is in for a bumpy ride. The plutocrats whose plans suffer a setback today could very well afford to put a horse head in every bed, for small, wooden, PETA-approved values of ‘horse’.
The Founding Fathers were deeply suspicious of central banking, for reasons that will be discussed in a breadline near you. End the Fed.