Manzi focuses his attack on Levin’s chapter about anthropogenic global warming (AGW), a topic on which Manzi considers himself something of a lay expert. While I have no personal quarrel with Manzi and have no interest in a detailed discussion of the scientific issues involved, let me explain the basis of my skepticism toward the climate-change alarmists, as I am sure many other conservatives share the same perspective.
In its basic outlines, the AGW panic combines the motifs of several previous liberal fear crusades, especially Paul Ehrlich’s “Population Bomb” scare of the late 1960s and the anti-nuclear movement of the 1970s and ’80s. There is a distinct element of Malthusianism at the root of it, as well as the kind of transparent prejudice against Western capitalist society that motivated those who marched for a (unilateral) “nuclear freeze” and those who chained themselves to the gates at the Diablo Canyon project.
Ever since global-warming theory became a political controversy — in the 1997 ratification fight over the Kyoto Protocol — I have dismissed AGW as merely the latest manifestation of the same anti-Western doom-and-gloom hokum that liberals have peddled so often in my lifetime. That this gut-hunch reaction is not scientific, I readily admit, but I am one of those “men of untaught feelings” of whom Edmund Burke spoke, and have never subscribed to the Temple Cult of Scientism.
Furthermore, I have a stubborn resistance to bandwagon arguments cloaked in the trappings of prestige: “How can anyone possibly disagree with so many sophisticated experts?”
When the facts are clear and the logic is sound, there is no need to invoke prestige, and therefore whenever I hear such an argument, I instinctively suspect a scam is being perpetrated. Judging from the revelations at East Anglia, that suspicion was well-founded as regards AGW.
If something sounds too good to be true, it usually is, and AGW theory was — from the perspective of environmentalists — far too good to be true. So I think we can safely predict two things:
The entire pseudo-scientific edifice of AGW theory will eventually be proven utterly false; and
Mark Levin will soon pile onto Jim Manzi with a frightening ferocity.
Noted Environmentalist James Lovelock and developer of the Gaia theory thinks democracy is getting in the way of fighting climate change. Also, he thinks Humans are too stupid to prevent climate change
It is certainly the case that providing for regular elections and separation of powers cuts down on the responsiveness of government. About the only area the US Constitution provides for swiftness is that of national defense. Arguably, the War Powers Resolution of 1973 took that too far, and now we wage all sorts of war without any valid declaration.
But that delay is as much a feature as a bug. “All hail our new supreme leader Al Gore,” continues Bluegrass Pundit. Uhhh, get stuffed, Mr. Gore. The same drag in the system that prevented you from working the referees in Florida in 2000, by involving more than a partisan State Supreme Court, and allowing the election law to be upheld, also made the ObamaCare legislation such an albatross that
“Congressional disapproval ratings hit 72 percent,” now at October of 1994 levels.
No, swiftness of action on acute matters can be sensible. Anyone arguing for swiftness on chronic matters like climate and the fabric of society is probably diabolical. Is it unfair to go connecting dots between the AGW weenies and the Progressives? I wouldn’t draw a thick line, or suggest a journo.list kind of conspiracy, but you might see these elitist twits enjoying a beverage with little surprise.
Now, how about that Judas Congress? Can their approval rating hit single digits in time for the election? I give them teens.
The academic at the centre of the ‘Climategate’ affair, whose raw data is crucial to the theory of climate change, has admitted that he has trouble ‘keeping track’ of the information.
Colleagues say that the reason Professor Phil Jones has refused Freedom of Information requests is that he may have actually lost the relevant papers.
Professor Jones told the BBC yesterday there was truth in the observations of colleagues that he lacked organisational skills, that his office was swamped with piles of paper and that his record keeping is ‘not as good as it should be’.
The data is crucial to the famous ‘hockey stick graph’ used by climate change advocates to support the theory.
Professor Jones also conceded the possibility that the world was warmer in medieval times than now – suggesting global warming may not be a man-made phenomenon.
And he said that for the past 15 years there has been no ‘statistically significant’ warming.
(Via Memeorandum.) The big headline at Little Green Footballs? “Overnight Open Thread.” Lot of crickets chirping overnight, it seems.
MSNBC apparently borrowed their talking points from the New York Times which, as Walsh notes, invoked the authority of “most climate scientists” for the assertion that climate change caused the massive snowstorm. Even before we learned of the suppression of contradictory data (i.e., ClimateGate), this was the “tell” of the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) argument, the anecdotal presentation of extreme weather — any extreme weather — as proof of their theory. Whether it was a drought in Australia or a hurricane in New Orleans, everything proved that they were right and their critics were wrong.
Common-sense objections were dismissed as the product of ignorance, and the fact that several climatologists and other scientists disagreed with the AGW theory was explained away as anomalous. “The science is settled!” they screamed, as they questioned the motives and denounced as “deniers” anyone who questioned their alleged scientific consensus.
What was at stake, really, was the authority of Science with a capital S — that is to say, the official, government-approved scientific establishment that possesses the overwhelming prestige necessary to silence all doubt. A prejudice in favor of scientific authority, a desire to confer privilege on the practicioners of Science, requires that Science speak with one voice, so that no amount of contrary evidence can permit skeptics to sow doubt as to the adequacy of official theory.
This disposition tends to lead toward a pseudo-religious faith that I have called “The Temple Cult of Scientism,” which grants Science an unquestionable influence far beyond the laboratory and the classroom. Our laws, our government, our families, our businesses — all our social institutions and private pursuits — must conform to the scientific consensus or else forfeit their legitimacy.
Science, Progress and Evolution
Science, in this view, is synonymous with Progress, and that which is “unscientific” is disdained as obsolete and reactionary.
“My attitude toward progress has passed from antagonism to boredom. I have long ceased to argue with people who prefer Thursday to Wednesday because it is Thursday.”
— G.K. Chesterton
Despite Chesterton’s brilliant aphorism, we must continue to argue with the apostles of Progress, especially when they drape their arguments in the holy vestments of the Temple Cult of Scientism. Why? Because their aim is revolutionary, their goal to undermine the very foundation of our society. The Constitution, the Declaration of Independence, the English common law — a whole chain of traditional precedents in law and morality, pre-dating even the Ten Commandments, would be presumed invalid if Science and Progress were the only arbiters of truth and right.
This is why the fanaticism of the climate-change theorists seems familiar to those who have fought against the very similar fanaticism of those who claim that the science is likewise settled on the origins of life.
The conflict over the teaching of Darwinian evolution in public schools is often portrayed as a battle between the enlightened apostles of Progress and benighted Bible-thumping ignoramuses. What is really at issue, however, is whether the prestige of Science is such that government must suppress all dissent. Berkeley law professor Phillip E. Johnson, author of Reason in the Balance, is the most cogent critic of the assumptions at the heart of dogmatic Darwinism:
The problem with scientific naturalism as a worldview is that it takes a sound methodological premise of natural science and transforms it into a dogmatic statement about the nature of the universe. . . . It may well be, however, that there are certain questions — important questions, ones to which we desperately want to know the answers — that cannot be answered by the methods available to our science. . . .
Suppose, however, that some people find it intolerable either to be without answers to these questions or to allow the answers to come from anyone but scientists. In that case science must provide answers, but to do this, it must invoke scientism, a philosophical doctrine which asserts arbitrarily that knowledge comes only through the methods of investigation available to the natural sciences. The Soviet Cosmonaut who announced upon landing that he had been to the heavens and had not seen God was expressing crudely the basic philosophical premise that underlies Darwinism. Because we cannot examine God in our telescopes or under our microscopes, God is unreal. . . .
With the methodology of scientism in mind, we can understand what it means to contrast scientific “knowledge” with religious “belief,” and what follows from the premise that natural science is not suitable for investigating whether the universe has a purpose.
The assertion that Science has all the answers to every important question, and that no answers are to be found in any “unscientific” source, is arrogant in the extreme. This assertion is offensive to anyone who has studied the history of science, for that history is littered with once-fashioable theories that have been discarded as not merely false, but dangerous. It is not hyperbole to say that the infamous dictators of the 20th century — Lenin, Stalin, Hitler, Mao, Pol Pot — all believed their tyrranies were justified by Science. Nor is it irrelevant to point out that all of these murderous madmen shared a contempt for religion and traditional morality.
The Guillotine of ‘Consensus’
Do the advocates of Darwinism have dictatorial aspirations? At least so far as the public-school curriculum is concerned. With similar dogmatism, the adherents of the anthropogenic global warming theory insist that AGW skeptics must be suppressed, and that government must act immediately to implement policies based on their “scientific consensus.” And nothing, not even a record-breaking winter or a blizzard unprecedented in its severity, can be accepted as contradictory evidence.
This modern-day controversy has ancient historical roots. The radicals of French Revolution claimed that their own actions were justified by Science and Progress, and that their radicalism represented the triumph of Reason over ignorance. Defending sturdy English traditionalism against these arguments, Edmund Burke memorably responded:
We are not the converts of Rousseau; we are not the disciples of Voltaire; Helvetius has made no progress among us. Atheists are not our preachers; madmen are not our lawgivers. We know that we have made no discoveries, and we think that no discoveries are to be made, in morality, nor many in the great principles of government, nor in the ideas of liberty, which were understood long before we were born, altogether as well as they will be after the grave has heaped its mould upon our presumption, and the silent tomb shall have imposed its law on our pert loquacity.
Burke’s warning went unheeded, and the tumbrels eventually carried to the guillotine many of those who scoffed at his defense of tradition. The Girondins, who had been leaders of the Revolution at the time Burke wrote Reflections on the Revolution in France, were beheaded only two weeks after Marie Antoinette went under the blade in October 1793.
Similarly, many of those who enthusiastically endorsed the unquestionable authority of Science when it was wielded against Bible-thumpers who doubted Darwinian theory now find themselves shocked — shocked! — that Science now arrogates to itself the right to dictate policy on the basis of AGW theory. But if Science is the sole authority to determine what shall be taught in public schools (as federal judges have declared), then what power can conceivably be denied to Science?
He believes his disagreements with some conservatives should have become obvious in the spring of 2008 when he slammed Ben Stein for his anti-evolution movie, “Expelled.” In numerous posts since, Johnson has derided what he sees as the right’s anti-science bent. “When they teach their children that,” Johnson said, “they are raising a generation of kids who aren’t going to be ready to deal with the world in which science is increasingly important.”
Exactly how an unshakeable belief in Darwinism is necessary to “deal with the world” is something the Temple Cult never bothers to explain, despite the successful scientific careers of such non-Darwinians as Dr. Ben Carson and Professor Michael Behe. One of the characteristics of a dictatorship, however, is that it is never be required to justify its actions, as there is no competing authority in society empowered to require such justification. (By similar principles, Charles Johnson is never required to justify his banishment of commenters at Little Green Footballs.)
We’re All ‘Bad Crazy’ Now
We note that, in announcing his parting of the ways with the Right, Johnson lumped “creationism” and “climate change denialism” under the heading of “anti-science bad craziness,” suspiciously adjacent to “homophobic bigotry,” with all of these bad-crazy tendencies typified by the same personalities, including Sarah Palin and various figures of the Religious Right.
Hostility toward religion, and toward the traditional beliefs associated with religion, is a necessary correlation (if indeed it is not the origin) of fanatical Scientism. To deny the existence of God is to invalidate any supernatural authority in human affairs, which necessarily means that ultimate authority must reside in human hands. This all-encompassing human authority cannot be entrusted to religious people, as they do not accept the denial of God on which such authority is premised. So Christian conservatives like Sarah Palin and her supporters are viewed by the high priests of Scientism with a horror similar to what the mullahs of Iran reserve for the infidel.
What we are witnessing is therefore not actually an argument about what science has proven in regard to climate change or evolution or anything else. Rather, when we see defenders of the “consensus” seeking to employ government authority to impose policy based on claims of scientific expertise — while they insist that official recognition must be denied to skeptics who question such claims — we are witnessing a power-grab. Just as Lenin once made “All Power to the Soviets!” the slogan of the Bolsheviks, so now our own totalitarians cry, “All Power to the Scientists!”
Americans are instinctively suspicious of such tactics simply because these tactics express an anti-democratic impulse. Invoking the prestige of Science to carry an argument about public policy has the effect of disenfranchising everyone who is not a scientist. And when it is discovered that the evidence has been manipulated — today Instapundit links the headline, “Editor of Nature Forced To Resign From Climate Review Panel” — these instinctive suspicions are fortified by memories of past incidents where “consensus” arguments proved to be misguided or perhaps even purposefully falsified. (Does the phrase “weapons of mass destruction” ring a bell?)
We would be less skeptical of claims to expertise if it weren’t for the fact that such claims always seem to precede arguments that we must shut up and do whatever it is the experts tell us to do. For at least the past half-century, this “trust the experts” argument has been used to undermine democratic governance at every level, from the Supreme Court down to the local zoning board. After years of watching the failure of these expert-endorsed policies, people naturally begin to do as the bumper-sticker slogan urges: “Question Authority.”
When it comes to questioning the authority of the global warming experts, there’s nothing that provokes skepticism quite like being up to your ass in snow.
Halifax, Nova Scotia could need to rebuild the whole waterfront, if a new study floating the possibility of a 2 1/3 foot rise in ocean levels pans out. The really dreamy part was how the ocean picked up all the swelling in Eastern Canada only, while the rest of Mother Earth wobbled about her axis as usual.Continue reading Notes From A Dream In Which I Was An Idiot →
ENSLER: Well, I just think the idea that she doesn’t believe in global warming is bizarre.
BEHAR: Every scientist at every note believes in it but Sarah Palin doesn’t believe in it.
ENSLER: And I think we just kind of have to walk around the world at this point and look at what is happening to nature and earthquakes and tsunamis.
BEHAR: Right
PUNXSUTAWNEY, Pennsylvania (Reuters) – An American groundhog delivered his annual weather prediction on Tuesday, declaring that there will be six more weeks of winter after seeing his shadow.
The science is settled. Don’t be a Groundhog Day denier.
“Make the compassionate decision to use an animatronic Phil and retire the live groundhogs who are used for Groundhog Day activities to a sanctuary. Tradition is no excuse for cruelty.”
At least they’re consistent. Fake groundhogs and fake boobs — yeah, that Pamela Anderson ad in the right sidebar is from PETA.