The Margin of Theft

Posted on | December 7, 2020 | 2 Comments

During our Election Night coverage on The Other Podcast, my colleague John Hoge kept referring to the reported vote totals in each state as either being inside or outside “the margin of theft.” What happened after Election Night — in the pre-dawn hours of Nov. 4, generally — was that tens of thousands of votes for Joe Biden were “found” (some would say fabricated) that shifted the results in six key states (Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada and Michigan) with a combined 79 Electoral College votes. In every case, it should be noted, this shift was in one direction, away from Trump and toward Biden. Trump supporters skeptical of these results are accused of “conspiracy theory” thinking, but the circumstantial evidence seems sufficient to inspire doubt.

Let’s take a look at the reported results in those six states:

Georgia (16) …………. 4.9 million votes … margin 11,928 (0.2%)
Arizona (11) ………….. 3.3 million votes … margin 10,457 (0.3%)
Wisconsin (10) ……. 3.2 million votes … margin 20,682 (0.6%)
Pennsylvania (20) … 6.8 million votes … margin 81,874 (1.2%)
Nevada (6) …………… 1.4 million votes … margin 33,596 (2.4%)
Michigan (16) ……… 5.5 million votes … margin 154,188 (2.8%)

According to NBC News, Joe Biden has 306 Electoral College votes to Trump’s 232. However, this rests upon three states — Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin — where the reported margin is less than 1%. If those states were flipped, the Electoral College totals would be 271-269.

What is interesting about this — and by “interesting,” I mean too weird to be dismissed as coincidence — is that of the 13 “battleground” states listed by NBC News, Trump reportedly won five, and in none of those states was the margin less than 1%. In the closest state that Trump is acknowledged to have won, North Carolina, his margin was 74,481 votes, 1.3%, which was greater, percentage-wise, than the margin by which Biden (allegedly) won Pennsylvania. In other words, Biden won all four of the four closest states which (coincidentally) gave him just enough Electoral College voters to win the White House. In terms of the Electoral College majority, Nevada and Michigan didn’t matter, if Biden won Pennsylvania, Georgia, Wisconsin and Arizona.

Some more uncanny facts about this election:

Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. They’ve been dubbed “bellwether counties” and until this year, no president since at least Ronald Reagan has missed even one.
In 2020, all but one of the bellwethers picked President Donald Trump by a margin of some 16 points on average. Only one, Clallam County in Washington, went for former Vice President Joe Biden and only by about a 3 point margin.
Yet unofficial vote counts now show Biden in the lead and with enough electoral votes to claim the presidency. Trump is challenging the results in several states, alleging fraud, voter suppression, and illegal restrictions on Republican poll watchers. Two states have announced recounts.
Bellwethers aren’t a crystal ball—their streak was expected to end sooner or later. But what would be striking is for it to end so radically.
There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000. Trump swiped 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. The ones he lost went to Biden by a margin of about 4 points on average.
And then there’s Vigo County in Indiana — the quintessential bellwether that has correctly picked the winner in all but two elections since 1888. In both of the missteps, the residents wrongly picked the losing Democrat: Williams Jennings Bryan over President William Taft in 1908 and Adlai Stevenson over President Dwight Eisenhower in 1952.
In 2020, Vigo went for Trump by nearly 15 points, roughly the same as in 2016.

What we are expected to believe is that somehow, not only did Biden win without winning either of the ultimate bellwether states (Florida and Ohio) that have gone for every winning presidential candidate since 1960, but he also won while losing nearly every bellwether county. And his Electoral College majority was obtained by barely winning four states by margins smaller than the margin by which Trump won his closest state.

Recall that Hillary Clinton’s campaign (and their media allies) promoted the “Russian hacking” conspiracy theory after the 2016 election as a way to explain her defeat, in which Trump’s populist “America First” message helped him shatter the “Blue Wall” of states that Democrats had won in every election since 1992. Yet what Biden (allegedly) did in the 2020 election was far stranger than Trump’s 2016 victory. Even without any specific evidence of fraud, the circumstances are sufficient to justify skepticism. You don’t need a conspiracy theory to explain this. You don’t need to explain it at all. The rational basis of doubt is self-evident.

Category: Election

Rule Five Sunday: The Vintage Doll

Posted on | December 7, 2020 | 3 Comments

— compiled by Wombat-socho

It’s pretty obvious by now that a lot of these Instagram “influencers” are worthless headcases, exploiting their good looks and high-flying lifestyles to milk the gullible of their time & money until it all goes down in flames. Stacy’s written about this sort of person before here, and here. Still, there are some decent people out there working hard, not just to make themselves look good, but to help their viewers look good too, and one of those people is Emily Burch, better known as The Vintage Doll, whose thing is mostly looking good in a retro/rockabilly fashion. She does online tutorials about cosmetics & hairdressing for women who want that look, and does well enough that she’s reaching out to help the small business owners that Facebook is screwing over. So if you don’t want to wade through Amazon’s endless pages, check out this list of small business people and see if they might have something you want to give as a gift.
Ceterum autem censeo Silicon Valley esse delendam.

One of Santa’s little helpers.

Ninety Miles From Tyranny: Hot Pick of the Late Night, The 90 Miles Mystery Box, Episode #1190, Morning Mistress, and Girls With Guns.

Animal Magnetism: Rule Five Second Amendment Friday, and the Saturday Gingermageddon.

EBL: Mega MAGA Saturday, Sandy Denny, Last Of The Mohicans, Eugene Onegin, Alien Worlds, Aida, Lauren Daigel, Parsifal, Kelly Clarkson, Macbeth, Dean Martin Christmas With The Golddiggers, Carmen, Julie London, Ariadne Auf Naxos, Alexandra Breckenridge, Space Babes & Alien Monoliths, Tosca, and Mega MAGA Saturday With Bonus Trump Rally.

A View From The Beach: More Fortitude with Verónica Echegui, Fish Pic Friday – Kraken Released – Coley Jens, Tattoo Thursday, Wednesday Wetness, Tuesday Tanlines, Your Monday Morning Stimulant and Sunset Sunday.

Proof Positive’s Vintage Babe is Veronica Lake, and Red Pilled Jew offers Women With Fruit.

Thanks to everyone for the luscious linkagery!

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Category: Rule 5

FMJRA 2.0: Stratosfear

Posted on | December 6, 2020 | Comments Off on FMJRA 2.0: Stratosfear

— compiled by Wombat-socho

Silicon Valley delenda est.

Natalie Dormer Encore: playing Private Lorraine in Captain America.

Rule 5 Sunday: Natalie Dormer
Animal Magnetism
A View From The Beach
Ninety Miles From Tyranny
Proof Positive
EBL

‘Black Lives Matter’ Rioter Charged With Murder in N.C. Home Invasion
The Pirate’s Cove
Dark Brightness
357 Magnum
Proof Positive
EBL

Le Mot Juste
357 Magnum
EBL

Activists Demand ‘Justice’ After Black Teens Murdered in Sacramento Mall
357 Magnum
EBL

FMJRA 2.0: Relay Breakdown
A View From The Beach
EBL

Liberal Idiot: ‘There Are Proven Strategies to Interrupt These Cycles of Violence’
Dark Brightness
Battleswarm Blog
EBL

Who Commits Crime?
357 Magnum
EBL

In The Mailbox: 11.30.20
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
Proof Positive
EBL

The Liberal Extinction Project
Dark Brightness
357 Magnum
EBL

Crazy People Are Dangerous: Woman in Viral Rant Blames QAnon, Mental Illness
Bacon Time
357 Magnum
EBL

In The Mailbox: 12.01.20
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
Proof Positive
EBL

In The Mailbox: 12.02.20
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
Proof Positive
EBL

The Planners and Their Plans
357 Magnum
EBL

Bizarre Hell-World Updates
EBL

Her Name Is ‘Destiny’
EBL

In The Mailbox: 12.03.20
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
Proof Positive
EBL

In The Mailbox: 12.04.20
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
Proof Positive
EBL

Top linkers for the week ending December 4:

EBL (17)
357 Magnum (12)
(tied) A View From The Beach & Proof Positive (7)

Thanks to everyone for all the linkagery!

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Category: FMJRA Award

Erstwhile #Resistance Spokesman Now Presumes to Lecture Republican Voters

Posted on | December 5, 2020 | Comments Off on Erstwhile #Resistance Spokesman Now Presumes to Lecture Republican Voters

It’s bad enough that the same people who spent four years denying the legitimacy of the Trump presidency — because RUSSIA! — are now lecturing us about the need to accept a Biden presidency. The people who claimed the 2016 election was “hacked” by Putin are now telling us that it is an outrageous conspiracy theory to doubt the election result based on video showing hidden troves of ballots being counted in the wee hours of the morning after election monitors had left the room.

We have actually seen obituaries of the dead people who “voted” this year, yet we are told there is “no evidence” the election was stolen.

As bad as all this is — and I’ve deliberately avoided paying attention to it, out of concern for maintaining my sanity — do we need fat Democrat millionaires lecturing us about our health?

Filmmaker-activist Michael Moore attempted to reach across the aisle and speak directly to Trump supporters in the latest episode of his “Rumble” podcast this week. But he ended up using his olive branch to deliver a spanking, blaming MAGA nation for spreading the coronavirus and predicting that “many of you are going to die.”
In his podcast, Moore plead with Trump supporters to wear masks and practice social distancing. “I don’t want you to die,” he said, adding perhaps jokingly that it would give him too easy a victory in his battle with the right.
“If we don’t pull together as Americans, we’re not going to get out of this,” Moore said, noting that “It’s in all the red states, it’s growing faster there than anywhere else.”
Moore also offered a grim forecast for those who refuse to get on board with the program. “Many of you are going to die.”
Growing audibly more agitated, the Oscar-winning filmmaker began lashing out at Trump supporters.
“Why do you want to die? Why — to take a stand against us liberals, to show us a thing or two?” he asked. “You’re showing us how to die. Why do you want to do that?”
He added: “In all the places that voted for Trump, people are dropping like flies.”

This is simply not true. It is demonstrably false. In Democrat-controlled New Mexico, for example, the virus is out of control, despite (or perhaps because of) the state’s drastic lockdown regime. The daily death toll from COVID-19 has spiked to record levels in Democrat-controlled California, and this week, the state with the most COVID-19 deaths was not a pro-Trump “red state” stronghold, but Democrat-controlled Illinois.

Anyone — even someone as profoundly stupid as Michael Moore — can find these facts with a quick Google search, so if the truth was easily available and yet Michael Moore is not telling the truth, is there a word for that? Yes, he is lying. Michael Moore is a big fat liar.

Now, if you’ll excuse me, I’m going to watch some college football. It’s for my mental health. Hit the freaking tip jar. Thank you.

Category: Michael Moore

The Other Podcast Rides Again

Posted on | December 5, 2020 | Comments Off on The Other Podcast Rides Again

At 7 p.m. ET tonight, as every Saturday night, I’ll be joining my blog buddy John Hoge on The Other Podcast. If you miss it live, you can find all our podcasts in the Podbean archives here.

UPDATE: Here’s the show, in case you missed it:

Category: Talk Radio

In The Mailbox: 12.04.20

Posted on | December 5, 2020 | 1 Comment

— compiled by Wombat-socho

Usual deadlines for the usual weekend linkagery, which may nor may not get done in a timely fashion. Well, the FMJRA, anyway, since nobody seems to mind if it’s late. Maybe a book post this weekend. Maybe not.
Ceterum autem censeo Silicon Valley esse delendam.

Pretty much how I feel about this last quarter of 2020, especially the political part.

OVER THE TRANSOM
357 Magnum: A Good Guy With A Gun Stops A Bad Guy With A Gun
EBL: Frank Sinatra Christmas Special With Bing Crosby (1957)
Twitchy: Occasional Cortex’ Whining About Republicans Not Knowing HOW HARD She’s Worked Just A Hot Mess Of Hilarity
Louder With Crowder: GA Gov Kemp Wants Answers Over Ballot Fraud “Smoking Gun”
Vox Popoli: NSPM #13 Invoked, also, It’s Getting Ugly In Georgia
According To Hoyt: The Eye Of The Storm
Monster Hunter Nation: The Founder Effect Is Out Now

RIPPED FROM THE HEADLINES
American Conservative: The American Companies Enabling Red China’s Uighur Genocide
American Greatness: Gov. Kemp Calls For Signature Audit Of Ballots Following Ballot-Stuffing Video, also, Shut Up & Take It
American Power: Corona-chan Shrinks Labor Market, Pushing Out Women & Boomers
American Thinker: Is The Democrats’ Election Heist “Too Big To Fail”?
Animal Magnetism: Rule Five Second Amendment Friday
Babalu Blog: The Horror Of Being A Political Prisoner In Communist Cuba
BattleSwarm: LinkSwarm For December 4
Cafe Hayek: Actual Rather That Tweet Tyranny
CDR Salamander: Even The Chairman Goes Salamander On Overseas Forces, also, Fullbore Friday
Da Tech Guy: “In Any Other Situation…”
Don Surber: Democrats Want Crime. It Pays.
First Street Journal: Democrisy – Democrats In Government Don’t Believe In Living Under The Rules They Set For Others, also, You Cannot Tell The Truth In The Philadelphia Inquirer
The Geller Report: One Batch Of 23,000 Fraudulent Ballots All For Biden, Enough For Trump Win, also, Witness Testifies NV Voting Machine USB Drives Had Totals Altered Overnight
Hogewash: Team Kimberlin Post of The Day, also, Deniers!
Hollywood In Toto: Free Lunch Express Doesn’t Feel The Bern, also, Did Hollywood Just Write Off 2021…And Beyond?
JustOneMinute: Something’s Happening!
The Lid: 40 States Join Antitrust Lawsuit To Break Up Facebook
Legal Insurrection: Biden Plans To Reenter Iran Deal Without New Conditions, also, NV State Court Judge Rejects Election Challenge
Nebraska Energy Observer: The American Schism
Power Line: The Higher Ed Meltdown Accelerates, also, Mask Jacobinism Runs Rampant
Shark Tank: House Democrats Remain Silent Over Tlaib’s Anti-Israel Tweet
Shot In The Dark: Cautionary Tale, 2020
STUMP: Chicago Homicides Quick Take
The Political Hat: Are Lab-Grown Catgirl Brains Worth The Risk?
This Ain’t Hell: Valor Friday, also, Update On Misawa Airman Who Claimed Sexual Harassment
Victory Girls: Pelosi Admits COVID Stimulus Was Blocked To Get Biden Elected
Volokh Conspiracy: De Facto Denials On The Shadow Docket
Weasel Zippers: NV GOP says There’s EXTENSIVE Evidence Of Voter Fraud In Nevada, also, SD Unified School District Forcing Teachers To Attend Racist White Privilege Seminars
The Federalist: Nancy Pelosi Let Millions Suffer To Win An Election, also, Joe Biden’s DHS Nominee Is The Absolute Picture Of DC Political Corruption
Mark Steyn: Good Cop-Defunder, Bad Cop-Defunder, also, Live Around The Planet

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Category: Linkagery

‘Black Lives Matter’ Rioter Charged With Murder in N.C. Home Invasion

Posted on | December 4, 2020 | 4 Comments

On June 2, police in Charlotte, North Carolina, used tear gas to disperse a “Black Lives Matter” protest that turned into a riot:

The Charlotte-Mecklenburg Police Department says what started as “a lawful protest” took a turn shortly before 9 p.m., when CMPD says several officers became targets for protesters “bent on turning a lawful demonstration into a riot.”
In the span of around four hours, CMPD says there were at least 18 incidents where protesters threw objects at officers, nine dispersal orders were issued, 16 protesters were arrested, and three guns — including one assault rifle — were found.

Among those arrested June 2 was Jonathan Elijah Jones, 19, charged with assaulting a police officer and other offenses. Three months after that arrest, Jones was arrested again on Sept. 5 in Gastonia, charged with violating a domestic violence protective order, carrying a concealed weapon, possession of marijuana with intent to distribute, and other offenses. You might have thought that two arrests in the span of three months would be enough to put Jones behind bars for a long time, but he was soon back on the streets, and his next arrest was for murder:

Four people have been arrested after a person died in a shooting during a breaking and entering in Cramerton Monday morning.
Brenton Edward McCaskill, from Clover, was shot and killed at a home on Fifteenth Avenue
Jonathan Elijah Jones and Ramon Luis Lopex Jr. have been charged with first-degree murder, first-degree burglary and felony conspiracy. They are both in the Gaston County Jail with their bond on hold.
Tyler Andrew Reno and Tyler Nathaniel Justice Leonhardt have been charged with accessory to murder after the fact. They are in the Gaston County Jail until a $500,000 bond.
Police said they responded to a possible breaking and entering in progress in the 400 block of Fifteenth Street in Cramerton just before 6 a.m. Monday.
Police found a person who had been shot. That person , who was identified as McCaskill, was taken to the hospital where he died, according to police.

The victim died defending his family from the invaders. “Brenton McCaskill is a hero,” his girlfriend Heidi McQueen told WCNC-TV. “He lived his life a hero, and he died a hero. He died protecting us.”