Cain: The Last Hope Against Romney?

Michale Merritt offers an odd criticism of Herman Cain:

That’s because Cain has no national security experience. He’s never worked in the field; he’s a businessman, so it’s not so surprising. He’s also never held high office before, so national security hasn’t come onto his radar from that perspective either. Unlike Perry, Romney, Johnson, and Huntsman, Cain has never had to deal with these issues. He doesn’t, as Republicans used to say, have “executive experience.”

Cain’s business background — as CEO of Godfather’s Pizza and president of the National Restaurant Association — doesn’t count as “executive experience”? But never mind that: How does Mitt Romney’s term as governor of Massachusetts qualify him as a national security expert? And who is Michael Merritt, a 25-year-old with liberal arts diploma, to be offering these assessments?

We’ll leave this aside, not because Merritt doesn’t deserve a more thorough punk-smacking, but because we want to link T.C. Lynch at Leather Penguin, who notices something in an article about erstwhile Chris Christie fundraisers:

Understand something, Tea Party Sheeples: these people are better than you. Notice that in that entire article, the name “Herman Cain” never makes an appearance; he doesn’t exist in their world view, and anyone considering his candidacy to be credible are just run of the mill, bien-pensant fools, who don’t understand the Big Picture.

Read the whole thing. You may have noticed that some of our Republican friends seemed to lose interest in the GOP nomination fight just about the time Rick Perry melted down and Herman Cain surged into contender status. These people are already making peace with the idea of Romney carrying the 2012 Republican banner.

Far be it from me to accuse these Republican friends of racism, because I don’t think that’s really the problem. Rather, I think they have internalized the mystique of the Cult of Expertise, the belief that being president of the United States is a job that only experienced professionals can perform. And I think it’s high time that we destroy that myth, demonstrating once and for all that the professional political class is our fundamental problem.

Populism is an appropriate response when the elites have shown themselves incapable of governance. With all caveats about Cain’s political inexperience considered, and no illusions of him as “Hope and Change” rainbows-and-unicorns saviour a la Obama, I believe he is a man fully qualified to fulfill a vital purpose at a crucial time.

Some of our Republican friends are guilty of “fighting the last war,” when Republicans invested their hope in the “experience” argument on behalf of John McCain. But this is a new election, and Americans are eager to hear a new argument on behalf of a new candidate. I’ve got no grudge against Romney, but if the Republican Party nominates the “It’s His Turn” candidate this year, they will have missed a chance to rally the kind of populist wave that might finally bring real reform to Washington.

Herman Cain in D.C. Area Today

Two events:

This basement-office pundit game gets old after a while. It’s been more than three weeks since my last road trip (to cover the Sept. 12 Tampa debate) and the hunger to go out and do some actual shoe-leather work has been gnawing a hole in my soul.

It’s 146 miles round-trip — I’m going.

 

The Herman Cain Story

A new Pew Poll shows the astonishing surge for Herman Cain in the GOP field since the Sept. 22 debate in Orlando. Cain trailed Rick Perry by four points Sept. 22-25, but by Oct. 1-4 Cain led Perry 18-15, while front-runner Mitt Romney softened slightly, declining from 25% to 22% in the span of little more than a week. If this trend continues another two weeks — as the Republican candidates meet again in debates Oct. 11 in New Hampshire and Oct. 18 in Las Vegas — the contest may begin to be viewed nationally as a race between Romney and Cain.

Was this all a result of a single debate debacle for Perry and of Cain’s surprise win Sept. 24 in the Florida Straw Poll? Or is it the fact that Americans are learning more about Cain and liking what they see?

Moneyrunner got an e-mail today with a brief biography of Herman Cain that concludes this way:

He did all this starting from rock bottom (his father was a chauffeur and his mother was a maid). When you add up his accomplishments in his life—including reaching the top of three unrelated industries: information systems, business management, and banking—Herman Cain may have the most impressive resume of anyone that has run for the presidency in the last half century.

Go read the whole thing, and then ask yourself: Why do all the “experts” keep saying Herman Cain can’t possibly win?

UPDATE: Welcome, Instapundit readers! We will celebrate like the natives of Vanuatu when John Frum finally returns.

UPDATE II: You know what black America really needs? More self-righteous lectures from white liberals!


Storm Center: J.D. Gordon Takes Charge as Herman Cain Communications Director

Cmdr. J.D. Gordon (USN, Retired), former Pentagon spokesman, is now
communications director for Herman Cain’s presidential campaign.

Saturday, I was the first to report that former Pentagon spokesman J.D. Gordon was taking over as de facto press secretary in the wake of Ellen Carmichael’s resignation. Today, I had my first phone interview with Commander Gordon, USN (Retired) — a career Navy man, like my co-blogger Smitty — and was quite impressed.

Commander Gordon understands my “never burn a source” rule, so most of our conversation occurred somewhere in the range of “background,” “off-the-record,” and “don’t ever breathe a word of this to anyone.”

First things first: In reporting the story Saturday, I got some things wrong and must now clarify any misperceptions accidentally created.

Gordon joined the Cain campaign on Sept. 1 and his title is “Vice President, Communications; Senior Adviser, Foreign Policy & Security.” This reflects Gordon’s dual areas of expertise, as a career public affairs officer with extensive knowledge of national security. (You can read his biography here.)

Gordon’s first task was to help inform Cain on foreign policy and military issues — which many of Cain’s critics had seen as a weakness — but Gordon’s portfolio also included supervisory authority over communications, i.e., he became Ellen Carmichael’s boss.

Anyone with sufficient math skills to add 2+2 could see that the sum of this equation would be “trouble,” which is nobody’s fault: Not Ellen’s fault, not J.D.’s fault, not Herman’s fault.

“Growing pains,” just like Carmichael had told me when a couple of Cain’s Iowa staffers left the campaign in July.

For more than a year, Carmichael had reported directly to Herman Cain, and the insertion of Gordon in the chain of command changed that. As I say, this is simple mathematics, rather than any sort of “sources say” revelation. What I heard from Gordon confirmed what I’ve been told by Carmichael and, while both spoke to me in that nebulous shadow realm of background/off-the-record, it’s fair to say — and again, nothing “exclusive” here — that conflicts arose.

“Differences of opinion,” you might say.

Perhaps you can imagine what happens when a veteran naval officer and a 2009 LSU graduate suddenly become colleagues in the middle of a presidential campaign with a long-shot candidate who is suddenly becoming a contender.

Hell, I could pitch that story in Hollywood as a situation comedy.

A laugh riot. Madcap hijinks ensue. Twenty-six episodes for the first season with a three-year option. (Attention Charlie Sheen: Call me, OK?)

The Odd (Campaign) Couple has a spinoff called Amicable Parting of the Ways, but is anyone surprised? It’s nobody’s fault, nobody’s bitter, and everybody speaks well of each other, and a publisher would have to offer me a hefty book advance in order to get me to do the “insider tell-all” version of that story. But I digress . . .

This unfortunately necessary drama ended Friday. Ellen Carmichael’s now working on a state election campaign in her native Louisiana and when that’s over, she’s coming back to D.C., where she has several stellar offers as an editorial commentator and/or public-relations specialist. Her future’s so bright, she’s gotta wear special heavy-duty infra-red shades.

It’s a win-win, happy endings for everyone including J.D. Gordon and the surging Herman Cain campaign. Gordon’s professionalism has earned him the respect of influential Washington journalists, among them top network TV correspondents and producers, and Gordon has already been working hard to build relationships with the reporters covering the 2012 GOP campaign.

Now, the news: The candidate once known as “Herman Who?” has suddenly become the hottest “get” in media, and will appear Sunday on both CBS Face the Nation and Candy Crowley’s CNN show State of the Union. The Cain campaign is also getting ready to announce new staff hires, and has picked up several recent endorsements. Furthermore:

In addition, I’m not sure if this was “background” or not, but Gordon wished me a happy birthday (I’m 52 today), offered to buy me a beer if I make it to D.C. tomorrow, and said — this is a direct quote — “Your readers really ought to hit your freaking tip jar.”

 

 

Trust me. That’s in my notes.

Update (Smitty): linked by our CPAC friend Nice Deb.

 

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Why Dan Balz Is Wrong

Two words: “Conventional wisdom.”

With New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie forgoing a run for the Republican presidential nomination, two questions hold the key to the future of the GOP race: Can Mitt Romney finally expand his support within the party, and can Rick Perry bounce back?

Just for the sake of argument, let’s take Dan’s “two questions” seriously, in which case the answers are:

1. Who cares?

and

2. Not bloody likely.

As to Dan Balz Question One, if Mitt Romney manages to win the nomination, all the conservative spokesmen currently denouncing Romney as a worthless RINO will take a deep breath, put their integrity in a lockbox, and spent the months leading up to Nov. 6, 2012, proclaiming that Mitt is the Second Coming of Ronald Reagan. So it doesn’t matter, at this point in time, whether Romney can “finally expand his support.” What matters is whether any of the other candidates can put together enough mojo to beat Romney for the nomination.

We won’t know the answer to that before next April, so we’ll leave the cart of analysis behind the horse of electoral facts, and not borrow tomorrow’s troubles with premature worries about where to find the best price on an Integrity Lockbox™.

To fully explain why Dan Balz Question Two is utterly wrongheaded would require more words than I’d care to write today, so I’ll just quote myself:

“There have been a few little things … that lead me to think Perry is a lot less certain ultimately to win the nomination than some people seem to think. What I fear will happen is that Perry will spend several months sucking up media oxygen and burning through GOP donor cash, only to collapse early next year. This will have the effect of suffocating other conservative candidates, and thereby lead to … Romney 2012.”
— Aug. 9

“Dude. When your “conservative” candidate makes Mitt Romney look like Sheriff Joe Arpaio, it’s over.”
— Oct. 1

There are some issues a Republican can afford to be wrong about, but immigration isn’t one of them, and Perry’s unforced error — telling conservatives “you don’t have a heart” — is also a fatal error. Seventeen million dollars won’t be enough to buy back the credibility he lost with that one phrase.

All my friends who bought that Texas pig-in-a-poke and jumped on the Perry bandwagon with both feet — you know who you are — are currently doing their Kübler-Ross thing because they don’t want to speak those four fateful words: “Stacy McCain was right.”

But while my friends continue to deny or defend their own wrongness, thereby depriving me of timely credit for my rightness, I must look forward to try to discern what comes next. As I explained last night, there are reasons to think Rick Santorum could be on the verge of a breakthrough: The wheels are falling off Bachmann’s campaign, and she was previously considered the pre-emptive favorite in Iowa. So if Santorum can show strong in the next two debates (Oct. 11 at Dartmouth and Oct. 18 in Las Vegas), he might be the “flavor of the week” by Oct. 19.

That’s all the more reason to write off Perry’s chances of recovery. Santorum is a brutal counter-puncher in debates, and Perry’s got a glass jaw. As I noted the day after the Orlando debate, several observers had especial praise for Santorum’s performance there.

And what the hell, right? Santorum’s got nothing to lose by an all-out kamikaze attack on Perry: If Santorum gets hurt by the blowback, so what? He’s already in single digits nationally, and his hard-core base of Christian conservatives in Iowa isn’t going to abandon him for being “too mean” to Perry. Furthermore, the guy who does a savage debate takedown on Perry is going to buy himself some MSM coverage, and even if the liberals on MSNBC despise everything Santorum stands for, they’ll cheer him for dismantling Perry.

Dan Baltz may not have noticed, as I did, that Santorum just made another three-day trip to Iowa. With Bachmann hurting and Perry melting down, the Hawkeye State is wide open for a Republican who refuses to apologize for being a pro-life Catholic.

Of course, I’m the conductor calling “all aboard the Cain Train,” but I don’t want anyone to be blindsided if, two weeks from now, the talking heads on TV are all about Rick Santorum. Even though he’s not my horse in the race, I’ve felt he was overdue for some respect ever since I covered his barn party in Roland, Iowa.

Should my prophecy prove correct, don’t look for this front-page headline in the Washington Post: “Stacy McCain Proven Right — Again.” My point is that you’re never going to see these things ahead of time if you let Conventional Wisdom peddlers like Dan Balz prejudice your thinking.

Ezra Klein: Herman Cain’s 9-9-9 Plan Shows ‘Lack of Policy Seriousness’

On MSNBC’s “Morning Joe,” the Washington Post’s resident Juice Box Mafioso said he doesn’t think Herman Cain’s phenomenal surge will continue because of the Atlanta businessman’s “lack of policy seriousness.” Klein singled out Cain’s 9-9-9 tax plan — 9% personal income tax, 9% national sales tax and 9% corporate tax — by saying “nobody knows how much revenue it would produce.”

It is true that no one has produced an estimate of federal revenue under the Cain plan. However, it is also true that Cain’s proposal for bold reform has been praised by economists including Wall Street Journal senior economics writer Stephen Moore.

And it is furthermore true that Ezra Klein never criticized President Obama for a “lack of policy seriousness,” although the president’s policies have led to economic disaster.

Just sayin’ . . .


CAMPAIGN FOCUS: Will Rick Santorum Be the Next GOP ‘Flavor of the Week’?

Recent media coverage of the Republican presidential field has focused on the front-runners, especially Herman Cain’s emergence as a contender. Little attention has been paid to a candidate who may be poised to make a move: Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum.

Santorum could benefit from recent developments, including the apparent decline of Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann’s campaign. It was reported this week that several of Bachmann’s key staffers have left the campaign, and the third-quarter fundraising report due Oct. 15 is expected to show the Tea Party favorite’s coffers running low.

Bachmann surged in the polls after a strong performance in a June 13 debate in New Hampshire, and scored a big victory Aug. 13 in the Iowa GOP Straw Poll. Bachmann’s win at Ames knocked her fellow Minnesotan, former Gov. Tim Pawlenty, out of the race, but the entry of Texas Gov. Rick Perry into the Republican field — at the Red State Gathering in South Carolina the same day as the Ames event — deprived her of the boost she might have expected from her Iowa success. Meanwhile, few in the media noticed that Santorum’s low-budget Iowa campaign had managed a fourth-place finish at Ames.

Perry’s stumbles in three debates in September – Sept. 7 at the Reagan Library, Sept. 12 in Tampa and Sept. 22 in Orlando – were followed by Cain’s surprise victory in the Sept. 24 Florida GOP straw poll. Since then, a series of polls have shown a steep decline in Perry’s support. While Perry was melting down in the September debates, many observers praised Santorum’s strong performances, especially in the Orlando debate, where Santorum hit Perry hard on the immigration issue.

With Bachmann’s campaign evidently in trouble, and Perry’s once-promising campaign thrown off-stride, Santorum could be positioned to gain support particularly among social conservatives who have historically played a key role in the Iowa caucuses. Florida’s decision to move up its primary to Jan. 31 means that Iowa will also move up its caucuses — perhaps as soon as late December — and Santorum has worked hard to build a grassroots organization in the Hawkeye State.

Santorum just completed another three-day swing through Iowa, telling a group in a small town Monday that “no candidate is working Iowa like I am.” And Santorum got good news Tuesday from New Hampshire, picking up the endorsement of former state Rep. Bill Cahill, who will serve as co-chairman of the Santorum campaign in the Granite State. (See full text of press release below.)

The 2012 Republican campaign so far has been defined by candidates rising and falling as “flavor of the week,” as Sarah Palin said. With two debates scheduled in coming weeks — Oct. 11 in Hanover, N.H. and Oct. 18 in Las Vegas, Nev. — Santorum will have a chance to make his case as the next flavor to challenge the front-runner vanilla of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.

*** TEXT OF SANTORUM PRESS RELEASE ***

SANTORUM NAMES BILL CAHILL
NEW HAMPSHIRE CO-CHAIRMAN
AND SENIOR ADVISOR

Former Executive Councilor and State Representative
endorses Santorum for President

Verona, PA – Former Senator Rick Santorum (R-PA) announced today that his campaign has received the endorsement of former Executive Councilor and State Representative Bill Cahill. Cahill will serve as Santorum’s New Hampshire Co-Chairman and Senior Advisor alongside Claira Monier.
Bill Cahill said, “I am excited to endorse Rick Santorum for President of the United States and I look forward to serving as the Senator’s New Hampshire Co-Chairman. Senator Santorum has shown he is committed to New Hampshire and has the work ethic Granite Staters demand from their candidates. The Senator’s passion and commitment to conservative principles are exactly what our nation needs right now to get back on track.”
Claira Monier said, “I am excited to work with Bill to help propel Senator Santorum to victory in New Hampshire. From working with Senator Santorum’s campaign since he announced, it is clear that he respects New Hampshire’s role as the First-in-the-Nation primary state and does not take our votes for granted. His commitment to New Hampshire and the nation is without doubt, and we look forward to making him our next president.”
Senator Santorum said, “I am honored to have Bill’s endorsement and thrilled that he will serve as a Senior Advisor and my New Hampshire Co-Chairman. Bill has a strong track-record of helping conservative candidates and a long history of standing up for conservative principles in both volunteer and elected positions. Bill is an esteemed member of the New Hampshire community and I look forward to working with him as we move toward victory in the First-in-the-Nation primary!”
Bill Cahill, of Piermont, is a former Executive Councilor from District 3 and a former New Hampshire State Representative. Cahill has served in numerous volunteer leadership positions on various presidential campaigns, including the 2008 campaign of Senator Fred Thompson and most recently as a member of Governor Tim Pawlenty’s New Hampshire steering committee. Cahill is the founder and CEO of Cahill Public Affairs, LLC.


New Polls Confirm Presidential Surge of Best-Selling Author Herman Cain

Three national polls published since the Florida straw poll on Sept. 24:

ABC News/Wash Post (9/29 – 10/2)

Romney 25% … Cain 17% … Perry 17%

Quinnipiac (9/27 – 10/3)

Romney 22% … Cain 17% … Perry 14%

FOX News (9/25 – 9/27)

Romney 22% … Cain 17% … Perry 19%

Furthermore, the liberal polling firm PPP conducted surveys in three states — North Carolina, West Virginia and Nebraska — and found Cain leading in all three! And here’s your “unexpectedly” news of the day:

Herman Cain is surging in the polls and on the best-seller  charts.
“This is Herman Cain,” a newly released memoir by the businessman and Republican presidential candidate, was in the top 10 on Amazon.com as of Tuesday afternoon.
Interest in the book has soared since Cain unexpectedly won the Florida straw poll on Sept. 24.

Just checked the Amazon Associates sales report. So far, we’ve sold three copies of This Is Herman Cain! and for each $13.75 you spend to buy his book, my commission from Amazon is 55 cents. If you bought 10 copies of This Is Herman Cain! I’d get $5.50. Wouldn’t This Is Herman Cain! be an excellent Christmas gift for your family and friends?

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