by Smitty
Clausewitz and the Rule of Threes
Daily Pundit posted, and I responded. Daily Pundit replied, and we appear to be talking past each other. Unexpectedly. My Mudville Gazette link to Clauzewitzian Triangle did not refer to
Effects of the Clauswitzian tripod of Friction, Fog of War, and Point of Victory. . .
at all. Pardon my 0300 posting, which could have more clearly linked to the material of interest at Mudville Gazette. What I’m trying to get at, from the On War, with some formatting from me:
- The first of these three aspects mainly concerns the people;
- the second the commander and his army;
- the third the government.
The passions that are to be kindled in war must already be inherent in the people; the scope which the play of courage and talent will enjoy in the realm of probability and chance depends on the particular character of the commander and the army; but the political aims are the business of government alone.
In other words, irrespective of the Army, or the whims of the Executive: the Army, Government, and people have to be kept in synch. The difficulty of maintaing the triangle is proportional to the duration of the action. Witness the brief foray into Pakistan to rub out Osama. Witness the decaying support for the recent Libyan action. Witness the general Constitutional queasiness triggered by both actions.
Codevilla is great, and comes at it from the policy perspective. Clausewitz gives you the strategic, i.e. military perspective. This is also called the Clausewitzian Trinity, but ‘trinity’ has religious baggage for some, and so we called it the Triangle in my Strategy and Policy class.
Bickering and Arguing Over ‘Oo Oversimplified ‘Oo
Bill Quick says:
Our military is designed to kill people and break things. Or it should be. It is not a missionary force, a religious force, a cultural force. It is a military force. If it had been used as police generally are, it would have begun to withdraw (or turn in the direction of Tehran) immediately after Bush made his famous “Mission Accomplished” speech.
Well, yeah, but more than a trifle over-simplified. See Austin Bay on Strategy Page for an important brief on DIME.
The acronym is “DIME” — a quick verbal coin for the four elements of national power: “Diplomatic,” “Information,” “Military” and “Economic” power.
When “policy is working,” diplomacy, economic interests, military power and information power (both the ability to communicate and to gather intelligence) complement one another. It’s a difficult ballet, but choreographing and directing this dance is the business of statesmen.
You can tweak my beard for invoking “Team America, World Police”, fine. But that seems precisely where you’re going with “Our military is designed to kill people and break things,” Bill. Remember that M is but a quarter of DIME, and using it singly leaves DIE.
Can we back up and ponder the broader scope of American history, in our Tea Party exuberance? If you read Six Frigates
you discover that the debates haven’t changed much in 200 years. Prior to the National Security Act of 1947, we did not retain standing land forces between wars. Air, of course was new. You can point to the Great White Fleet, like the Six Frigates, as a sea example of peacetime navel force, sure: very Mahanian.
My argument here, call it the ‘soft Paul’ is that having a vast DoD is kinda problematic for the Tea Party purist. The excellent counter is “OK, if not U.S. hegemony, then who?” The answer is: why, no one. If there must needs be an 800 pound gorilla in the world, let it be us. Sure, the best defense is a good offense, and I play a mean white side on the chess board.
Conclusion
Coming full circle to the original question of “America can win any war it chooses to fight, quickly and permanently” I guess for managed values of {win, war, fight, quickly, permanently}, your point is spot on, Daily Pundit. Which of {Korea, Japan, Germany, Iraq, Afghanistan} do you feel apply? Gulf War I was certainly a victory; Kuwait was liberated. Yet what precise value of ‘permanent’ had us staging a drag race in Iraq during the next decade between the Marines and the Army?
You like the Osama raid? Libya? You do realize that these are Spec Ops intensive topics. More and more, Team America polices the world via “Dudes that to ‘bump’ in the night”. From a Tea Party perspective, should the decreasing relevance of the Constitutional protocol of having the POTUS request a Declaration of War from Congress be a problem, or should we just chock it up to technological drift? War is hell, and politics is a psychotic Ex-. The notion that we can win any war is arguably true in the abstract, and practically falls apart in extended real-world examples.
Update: I just caught up with Belvedere’s Pax Americana post.
The proper form of Pax Americana is where The United States is able to project it’s military forces anywhere Tyranny threatens to expand itself or sow Chaos. Tyrannical governments will always exist, but they can be contained and prevented from disrupting or conquering other nations. When the situation requires America to act to preserve the peace, it should go in, crush the enemy, and leave, telling the peoples of the area as it exits: ‘We’ve solved the problem at hand; you’re on your own; straighten things out; don’t cause anymore trouble because, if you do, we’ll be back with even greater force this time’.
The Pax Americana must also take whatever actions are necessary to ensure that Weapons Of Mass Destruction be possessed only by The United States and it’s close Allies ? preferably restricted to just the nations of the Anglosphere.
Bob, I love you man, but the horses are already out of the toothpaste tube. Sorry.