Can Mitch McConnell Survive?

Sam Youngman of the Daily Beast has a feature-style article about the annual Fancy Farm barbecue in Kentucky that is the traditional kickoff of the campaign season there, focusing on the Senate race between Mitch McConnell and Alison Lundergan Grimes:

U.S. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell rolled up his sleeves and walked to the podium on stage at the brand new pavilion at Kentucky’s annual Fancy Farm picnic.
As McConnell geared up to rail against President Barack Obama and his “Kentucky candidate” Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes, he began by noting that, “Fancy Farm is fun, but there are serious problems facing our country.”
“YOU!” someone in the crowd shouted for all to hear.

The real political analysis is way down in the story:

Grimes has struggled since Kentucky’s May 20 primary, and while the race is a dead-heat, McConnell has edged into a slight lead, claiming momentum but still falling short of 50 percent in almost every poll. . . .
[O]ne reason McConnell is ahead and still favored to win this race is that both he and the outside groups supporting him have run a relentless campaign to tie coal and President Barack Obama’s unpopularity (the Bluegrass Poll released last week showed the president at 28 percent favorable) to Grimes.
In Eastern and Western Kentucky, where coal fields are pitching in to supply 43 percent of the nation’s electricity and both Democrats and Republicans believe that Obama is trying to murder their industry, livelihood and culture, Grimes’ numbers are down as McConnell appears at this stage in the game to have found the right vehicle for his anti-Obama message.

You can read the rest, but this is the baseline in Kentucky: McConnell is consistently polling below 50 percent, an indicator of trouble for any incumbent. His Democrat challenger, however, has been unable to take advantage of McConnell’s weakness because Democrat Party policies are so far to the left — not just culturally out of touch with Kentucky voters’ values, but directly opposed to their economic interests.

So a weird sort of stalemate grips the campaign, and we await the turning point that will decide the election. The lamentable part of this situation, from the GOP perspective, is that McConnell and the National Republican Senatorial Committee have spent the past 18 months crushing the enthusiasm of grassroots conservatives, waging a campaign to exterminate the Tea Party. The arguably criminal — certainly dishonest and unethical — conduct of the Mississippi primary campaign to re-elect Thad Cochran was witnessed by every Tea Party activist in the country, Kentucky included. Every deceitful smear against Chris McDaniel in Mississippi was a deliberate “f–k you” to grassroots conservatives, courtesy of the D.C.-based Republican political establishment of which Mitch McConnell is the official leader. If it weren’t for this factor — the transparent selfishness and corruption of McConnell and his GOP Senate cronies — the Senate race in Kentucky would not even be close. The major obstacle to McConnell’s re-election is not the usual problem of wooing undecided “swing” voters; his problem is that many thousands of Kentucky conservatives have little motive to vote for him in November.

As a conservative who profoundly despises Mitch McConnell and everything that unprincipled swine stands for, I feel guilty offering his campaign good advice, but the crisis facing our nation requires me to transcend my personal animosity to the man.

Therefore, I advise this: Get evil.

It’s time for McConnell, the NRSC and the Kentucky Republican Party to unleash against Alison Lundergan Grimes the kind of sneaky underhanded Nixonian dirty tricks that the GOP establishment used against Chris McDaniel in Mississippi:

  1. Racism — You can play this both ways. First and most obviously, circulate anonymous e-mails to rural white voters insinuating that Grimes is not only politically involved in promoting miscegenation in Kentucky schools, but is secretly engaged in an interracial affair herself. Meanwhile, you target black Democrats with anonymous e-mails that accuse Grimes of betraying civil rights and secretly harboring white supremacist tendencies. If the Grimes campaign finds out and blames Republicans for the e-mails, you say this proves that Grimes is a paranoid extremist.
  2. Anti-Semitism — Again, your dirty tricks squad will want to play the hate card both ways. Jewish voters will be targeted with messages claiming that the Grimes campaign is funded by wealthy Arabs and staffed by Muslim Brotherhood members who are working to elect Grimes, a fanatical Hamas supporter, to the Senate. Meanwhile, you assign a few operatives to troll neo-Nazi and 9/11 “Truther” Internet forums, claiming that Grimes is not merely a neocon warmonger, but is actually a Jew. “What kind of name is ‘Lundergan,’ huh? She made that up. Her real name is Lunderberg.”
  3. Homophobia — Here’s where you really pull out all the stops. You cover your bases by sending out anonymous messages to LGBT voters that Grimes is a hateful homophobe, but your main effort is to convince religious voters that Grimes is a radical lesbian, and you need to micro-target this message for maximum effect. For evangelicals, you tell them Grimes is having a gay affair with a black woman. You tell orthodox Jews that Grimes’ secret lesbian lover is a Palestinian Arab (one of her Muslim Brotherhood staffers). On neo-Nazi and 9/11 Truther forums, of course, your trolls claim Alison Lunderberg’s secret lesbian girlfriend is a Jew.

A dishonest smear campaign like this would be unethical and perhaps even illegal, but considering what the GOP establishment did to Chris McDaniel in Mississippi, why not do it to a Democrat?

 

Ditch Mitch?

Who was ultimately responsible for the evil Mississippi primary campaign that smeared supporters of Chris McDaniel as racists?

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, that’s who.

The GOP Establishment Incumbent Protection Machine and the big-money donors who fund it have been determined to eradicate the Tea Party movement in the 2014 campaign cycle.

This is McConnell’s formula for Republican success: Destroy all primary challengers, whatever the cost, and ensure that only Establishment-approved candidates win primaries in open-seat races or against vulnerable Democrat incumbents. It’s a cautious, risk-averse strategy, and if Republicans capture the Senate majority in November, McConnell will be congratulated on his success.

On the other hand . . .

What if it all goes sideways? What if this political equivalent of the NFL “prevent defense” turns out to be a formula for GOP failure?

What if all the big money and all the shrewd consultants turn out to be less valuable to Republicans than the grassroots conservative supporters who have been alienated by McConnell’s strategy?

What if Mitch McConnell loses his own Senate seat?

Manu Raju and John Bresnahan of Politico examine that scenario at some length today, and it’s not as far-fetched as it may seem.

Look at the polls: McConnell leads Democrat challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes by 5 points in the Real Clear Politics average, but the race has only been polled four times in the past two months, so we don’t know how solid that lead really is. Most importantly, McConnell is consistently polling below 50% — as low as 42% in a May poll — and that’s always a troubling sign for an incumbent.

As the Politico article says, if McConnell can’t defeat Grimes, the prospects for a GOP Senate majority are pretty remote. And if Republicans can’t take over the Senate this year — when they have every possible advantage, by ordinary calculations — it’s possible to argue that Republicans can never win a Senate majority, that the GOP is doomed to permanent minority status.

This scenario, the de facto triumph of Democrats as uncontested rulers of America as a one-party centralized state, would be a complete reversal of the “permanent Republican majority” Karl Rove promised in the wake of George W. Bush’s re-election.

After all the evil deeds perpetrated by the Republican establishment in the Mississippi primary, some of my conservative friends respond to this possibility with calm: “Let it burn,” they say.

It’s becoming harder to argue that these friends of mine are wrong.

 

‘Forget It, Jake …’

It’s Chinatown Mississippi:

A Pearl man who runs a political blog is accused of sneaking into a nursing home where U.S. Sen. Thad Cochran’s wife is bedridden and photographing her, then posting the image in a video political “hit piece” on the internet.
Madison Police arrested Clayton Thomas Kelly, 28, of Pearl on Friday night on a charge of exploitation of a vulnerable adult. He’s being held on a $100,000 bond. . . .
Kelly is accused of sneaking into St. Catherine’s Village in Madison, where Rose Cochran has resided since 2000, suffering from progressive dementia and now bedridden.
Cochran on Saturday issued a statement: “I have been fortunate to have a wonderful family, and like so many families, we are deeply affected by my wife’s serious, long-term illness, that we consider to be a very private family matter. We will continue doing everything we can to protect my wife’s safety and security.”
Donald Clark, attorney for Sen. and Rose Cochran, said the Cochrans’ “privacy and dignity have been violated.”

The blogger accused of this bizarre criminal stunt is a supporter of Cochran’s GOP primary challenger, state Sen. Chris McDaniel, who I’ve endorsed. Of course, I would never in a million years endorse this kind of weirdness, and I’m sure McDaniel wouldn’t either, but the Cochran campaign seems to be suggesting such complicity.

(Hat-tip: Memeorandum.)

 

War to the Knife, Knife to the Hilt

Maybe the National Republican Senatorial Committee thought it was a smart move to play the race card against Tea Party challenger Chris McDaniel, but the backlash was overwhelming and it comes at exactly the wrong time for the NRSC’s doomed effort to protect septuagenarian Senator Thad Cochran. Glenn Reynolds, William Jacobson and Vinnie the K were among the many who expressed disgust with the GOP Establishment’s desperation tactics.

With just eight weeks left until the primary, momentum has clearly shifted. A fossil remnant of the Nixonian Epoch, Cochran is incapable of taking on McDaniel directly. Matthew Boyle at Breitbart was clearly impressed with McDaniel’s performance at this weekend’s FreePAC event sponsored by FreedomWorks:

“We’re fighting, and so it begins again,” McDaniel opened his ten-minute speech. “One last great stand for liberty. One last great stand for our Constitution. We dare not disappoint. There’s too much at stake. Our country’s too great to lose and I will not tell my children one day about a once-great Republic that we were unable to save. We will not witness the managed decline of this Republic. We will witness its revival. We will witness its resurrection.” . . .
“We stand here today in defense of that early and original American revolution,” McDaniel said. “What they brought us, what they brought you, was something unprecedented in all of American history—or for that matter, all of world history. They simply did not change the leading cast of characters, replacing one king with another for example, or replacing a king with an oligarchy. They changed your role in your government: they work for you, not the other way around. And yet in Washington, D.C., they have created a political aristocracy. They no longer listen. They have forgotten who they work for. We go to remind them again, and we’re going to remind them again, that’s our obligation. That’s our duty of this generation and we will win this fight, I promise you.”

You’re on target. Fire for effect. The road to unseating Lindsay Graham? That road goes straight through Mississippi, my friends.

CHRIS McDANIEL for U.S. SENATE
It’s Time for a Change

 

NRSC Uses Left-Wing Race Attack Against GOP Senate Challenger Chris McDaniel

You know the Republican Establishment is getting desperate when they stoop to cheap guilt-by-association smears in a GOP primary.

That’s National Republican Senatorial Committee “strategist” Brad Dayspring tweeting out a story from (wait for it) Talking Points Memo that is one of the flimsiest guilt-by-association attacks in the history of flimsy guilt-by-association attacks. A moment’s scrutiny of that story is sufficient to glean the relevant facts: Some grassroots folks in Mississippi scheduled a “Firearms Freedom Day” rally for May 17.

You may ask: “How grassroots is it?”

The flyer for the event is printed in Comic Sans.

Go read the flyer and you will see that, listed among the various Tea Party groups, pro-gun organizations, state senators and country music  singers, is “Pace Conferederate Depot.” This is a vendor of such merchandise as Confederate flag T-shirts and bumper stickers whose proprietor, Brian Pace, also happens to be some kind of segregationist. Because the flyer also listed Tea Party-backed Senate challenger Chris McDaniel as the “keynote speaker” for the rally, this tidbit of information about Pace was highlighted by a Republican blog associated with incumbent Sen. Thad Cochran. That was immediately picked up by Talking Points Memo, which played it as Another Scary Republican Racism Scandal. Once you get past the breathless liberal hype — “ZOMG! Confederates! In Mississippi!” — you realize there’s nothing to the story. Somebody asked McDaniel to speak at a gun-rights rally, as one of his supporters, state Sen. Melanie Sojourner, told TPM:

“There were several Second Amendment groups that were planning different events and we’re both very strong Second Amendment supporters and so there were several events that were planned and it was basically just kind of the discussion was ‘well when you get some things done and scheduled let us know’ but there was never any confirmation on exact events or what was happening.”

Organizers of the rally issued a statement on Facebook saying, “When a vendor asks to set up and sell lawful merchandise at one of our events, we don’t run a background check into their personal lives. That’s not our business.” The attempt to turn this into a scandal is like saying that if a candidate campaigns at a county fair, he thereby endorses every rip-off carnival game at the fair.

But this is what’s being promoted on Twitter by an official of the National Republican Senatorial Committee as part of the GOP establishment’s desperate effort to rescue Thad Cochran, who is 76 years old and has been in office since Jimmy Carter was president. With just eight weeks to go until the June 3 primary, Chris McDaniel’s campaign is surging:

Tea Party’s McDaniel Boosted
by Polls in Miss. Senate Race

Levin: “McDaniel is a great guy, a great candidate.”

Tea party momentum builds around McDaniel
in Mississippi GOP Senate primary

Three Polls, Three Days: McDaniel Leads
Cochran Among Republicans, Conservatives

Chris McDaniel has been endorsed by Mark Levin, Sarah Palin, Citizens United, Club for Growth, FreedomWorks, the Madison Project, Tea Party Express and many more leading individuals and organizations of the conservative grassroots: Central Mississippi Tea Party, Gulf Coast Tea Party, Hattiesburg Tea Party, Leflore/Carroll Tea Party, Meridian Tea Party, South Mississippi Tea Party, The Mississippi Tea Party, Tupelo Tea Party and Vicksburg Tea Party. McDaniel also has endorsements from state Sen. Angela Hill, state Sen. Billy Hudson, state Sen. Chris Massey, state Sen. David Parker, state Sen. Michael Watson, state Sen. Philip Gandy, and state Sen. Tony Smith.

What all those endorsements represent, in total, is the effective infrastructure of a winning campaign. Chris McDaniel has the on-the-ground resources necessary to win this primary — and the GOP Establishment knows it. That’s why you see the NRSC forced to play the race card, pushing a left-wing smear against a young Republican leader, in a desperate attempt to halt McDaniel’s insurgent momentum.

Are you going to let them get away with this? Or are you going to fight back? I say, war to the knife, knife to the hilt.

CHRIS McDANIEL for U.S. SENATE
It’s Time for a Change

 

UPDATE: Linked by R.D. Brewer as a sidebar headline at Ace of Spades HQ — thanks! — and welcome, Instapundit readers!

 

VIDEO: Harry Reid’s Koch Rant

In a Senate floor speech Thursday, the Senate Majority Leader used the word “radical” 21 times in attacking the Left’s bogeymen:

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) on Thursday accused Republicans of holding up crucial assistance to Ukraine in order to protect the Koch brothers.
Reid tied the billionaire brothers who have bankrolled conservative causes to GOP demands that language delaying the Internal Revenue Service’s regulation of non-profit political advocacy groups be added to the Ukraine package. . . .
“It’s hard for me to comprehend how with a clear conscience they could say, ‘Ukrainians, we probably can’t help you because we’re trying to protect the Koch brothers,’” he said on Thursday. “And not only that, they’re saying to the American people that protecting the Koch brothers is more important than helping our country.”

 

Of the top 10 political contributors for the 2014 campaign cycle, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, five represent Big Labor: The National Education Association (#2), the Carpenters and Joiners Union (#4), the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (#5), AFL-CIO (#6) and the International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (#10). Combined with the #1 donor — the Democratic Governors Association — these groups have contributed $21,717,266 to Democrats so far. By comparison, Koch Industries (#45) has spent $963,250, according to the same source.

So what’s with the Koch obsession? Allahpundit professed that he was mystified, but as Chris Good of ABC News explained, the Kochs are believed to have contributed to the Americans for Prosperity TV ad campaign targeting vulnerable Senate Democrats for their ObamaCare votes. I say the Kochs are “believed” to have done this because AFP is a 501(c)4 group and, as such, isn’t required to make its donors public. This drives Democrats nuts, because . . . well, because Democrats hate free speech, I guess.

Anyway, what Harry Reid and the other Koch-mongering Democrats are doing is (a) trying to justify the administration’s crackdown on 501(c)4 groups, (b) hoping to fire up Democrat donors, (c) seeking media sympathy, and (d) trying to establish a narrative that the reason they’re about to get their asses kicked in the mid-terms is because of “shadowy” right-wing mega-funders.

It’s an excuse, in other words — a scapegoat rationalization intended to shift the blame for Democrat political failures onto pre-demonized right-wing villains, so that when Republicans take over the Senate after the 2014 elections, Democrats can claim they were cheated, and assert that the new GOP majority is illegitimate.

 

“Poor, Poor Pitiful Reid,” Zevon Sang Not

by Smitty

Via Instapundit, Harry Reid again underscored why he’s the Worst Senator EVAR yesterday, going after the Koch brothers in an unseemly manner.

Reid charged that Charles and David Koch, who are tied for fourth place on the Forbes list of 400 richest people in the United States, violated the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, citing a 2011 report by Bloomberg Markets magazine.
“These are the same brothers whose company, according to a Bloomberg investigation, paid bribes and kickbacks to win contracts in Africa, India and the Middle East,” Reid said on the Senate floor. “These are the same brothers who, according to the same report, used foreign subsidiaries to sell millions of dollars of equipment to Iran, a state sponsor of terrorism.”

Read Reid’s Reedy wheezing in its entire despicable non-glory. Because, you know, a Senator giving people a fair trial and stuff before smearing them in the Senate is soooo last century.

Presented without further ado, and apologies to the late great Warren Z:

Poor, Poor Pitiful Reid

He’s the saddest sack the Senate ever saw
Worse’n “Submarine” Teddy
His jerk contest with Schumer was a draw
Poor, poor pitiful Reid

Poor, poor pitiful Reid
Poor, poor pitiful Reid
Mary Landrieu won’t let him be
Lord have mercy on Reid
Let him choke on Tea

His embalming fluid is a constant chore
He uses an expensive brand
He sprung a leak out on the Senate floor
The pressure got out of hand
A nervous page cleaned it up real fast
(Just sayin’ ‘cuz the facts ain’t much)
Rumor has it Reid’s a pederast
Like Romney cheats his tax ‘n’ such

Poor, poor pitiful Reid
Poor, poor pitiful Reid
Barbara Boxer won’t let him be
Lord have mercy on Reid
Let him choke on Tea

He’ll be infamous for ObamaCare
And calling good folk liars
With his mewling voice and his undead stare
His evil never tires

Poor, poor pitiful Reid
Poor, poor pitiful Reid
Dianne Feinstein won’t let him be
Lord have mercy on Reid
Let him choke on Tea

He Liked ‘Young Nude Boys’

The quoted phrase occurred in a Justice Department description of videos that Republican congressional aide Ryan Loskarn purchased. He was also caught with “hundreds of videos depicting underage boys . . . in sexually explicit conduct.”

Formerly Tennessee Sen. Lamar Alexander’s chief of staff, Loskarn was arrested last month on child pornography charges and, as I say, Loskarn liked young nude boys . . . past tense:

”At approximately 12pm yesterday, Carroll County Sheriff’s Deputies responded to a private residence in the 6900 block of Kenmar Lane for a report of an unconscious male, believed to be deceased,” said a statement from Colonel Phil Kasten of the Carroll County Sheriff’s office. “Family members reported finding 35 year old Jesse Ryan Loskarn unresponsive in his basement where he’d been residing with family since this past December. The preliminary investigation indicates that Loskarn may have taken his own life . . .
In a brief statement, Alexander said: “For everyone involved, this is a sad and tragic story from beginning to end.”

Young nude boys could not be reached for comment.