by Smitty
2251 EST: A Memeorandum scan: HotAir has Allahpundit needing to get him some rest:
Romney’s doing so well [in Michigan] tonight, in fact, that he might end up with a bonus talking point tomorrow. In 2008, he won the state with 338,000 votes. Tonight, with a little more than 70 percent reporting, he’s north of 306,000. If he outdoes his total four years ago amid lower turnout, he’ll have some dynamite spin for the naysayers.
Yeah, barely breaking 2/5 of the vote is really cause for a victory lap, or something. Yay-awn.
Firedoglake:
Final thoughts – Romney scored a huge win in Arizona and managed a solid win in Michigan. While both states for different reasons favored Romney, a solid sweep tonight is a very important for the Romney campaign going forward.
In the past few days the national momentum started swing back towards Romney and the two wins tonight should help that trend continue. Romney should have solid momentum heading into Super Tuesday next week when ten states vote.
This has been a very good night for Romney.
Smitty’s take: Rick Santorum continues to demonstrate that the Not Mitt Romney constituency is important. I’ll be voting against Mitt in the VA primary next Tuesday, for all that may be purely symbolic. Yet, even should Cadillac Mitt win the GOP nomination, all of the blowback from the Tea Parties had better be a signal to the GOP nominee that the will of the people ain’t beanbag. That nominee had better understand that PROGRESSIVISM DELENDA EST, or he is politically dead in the water.
2236 EST: Fox has called Michigan for Mitt. Stacy reports Santorum gave a positive, issues-oriented speech. He closed by referencing George Washington.
With 75 percent of precincts reporting in Michigan, Romney was leading with 41 percent, followed by Santorum with 37 percent.
2224 EST: linked by Nice Deb and Monoblogue.
2219 EST: At 71%, Mitt has a comfortable 5% lead, and 42% of the vote. With 42% of AZ tallied, back over at the NYT, Mitt has 48.7% Could the presumptive, prohibitive, overwhelming favorite (of David Brooks) win his first plurality?
2157 EST: Stacy interviewed five students from South Christian High School, Haley Elenbahs, Jeff Helmholdt, Katie Van Zee, Alex Niemwsma, Grace Elenbahs, send a shout out to their Government teacher, Mr. Siskes. These kids remain staunchly for Santorum, and Stacy will upload a photo when bandwidth is found. Santorum campaign manager Mike Biundo said the reality is that Romney now a ‘wounded candidate’. Mitt has widened his margin to 4% over Santorum, but still only takes 40% in his home state. Herman Cain blew by 999 votes, and sits at 2,564.
2143 EST: Looking at the Fox map of counties vs the Michigan population density map, it is not abundantly clear where the votes are going to come from for Santorum to close the night in the lead. Still 41%/38%, at 42% reported.
2137 EST: LD Jackson in the comments points to Fox, which claims 40% complete with a 41%/38% Romney/Santorum split. And blog favorite Herman cain batting ~500 votes. This blogger hopes he reaches 999.
2133 EST: Up to 31%, with Mitt holding steady at 41.3% and Rick slipping to 37.7%. Rick does not appear to be closing with Mitt here.
2127 EST: Linked by Daily Pundit and Zilla of the Resistance. At 28% reporting, the NYT says 41.3% to 37.9%. The night will not be a short one. Arizona has been called for Romney, despite a dearth of reporting thus far.
2102 EST: Stacy ran into Steven Crowder and the hot fianceé are apparently friends of Elizabeth Santorum. Stacy’s effort to merge with the crowd and sneak into the private supporter party met with a wall of security. The NYT, with 12% reporting complete, has Romney leading Santorum 41%-38.5%. Will the prohibitive favorite break 50%? Arizona, perhaps, but Michigan is far from certain.
Caffeinated Thoughts linked the robo-call post earlier. Thanks!
Stacy reports from Grand Rapids (2002 EST): They have just opened the doors to the Ambassador Ballroom, scene of of tonight’s Rick Santorum victory celebration. Several hundred Santorum supporters are in attendance. The house WiFi is ‘craptastic’. So far McCain remains un-connected. Security has informed him that after 8:00 PM local, the press will be confined behind a barricade, away from the bar. This could result in one of the worst PR debacles in American political history.
The Camp of the Saints has a summary.
PREVIOUSLY. . .
Polls close at 8 P.M. ET in Michigan, and at 9 P.M. ET in Arizona. We will have complete results and updated news throughout the night. Stacy will be reporting live from the Rick Santorum Primary Night Celebration in Grand Rapids, Michigan. Polls indicate the Arizona primary should be an easy win for Mitt Romney, while Michigan is too close to call.
Stacy relates that, according to news radio in Michigan, turnout appears light to moderate in most locales. In at least one area near Grand Rapids believed friendly toward Santorum, there was a report of heavy turnout. However, Stacy was quick to walk back that tidbit as unsubstantiated. Via Drudge, the AP reports that exit poles indicate:
- disinterest in debates,
- a greater percentage of voters reporting negative economic impacts,
- and mixed results on social issues.