The Other McCain

"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up." — Arthur Koestler

Seeking Light Amid the Gloom: Thoughts on the Brain-Damaged Election Results

Posted on | November 9, 2022 | Comments Off on Seeking Light Amid the Gloom: Thoughts on the Brain-Damaged Election Results

What kind of people would elect John Fetterman? Short answer: The kind of people who live in Philadelphia, a city that has become America’s Mos Eisley, a “wretched hive of scum and villainy.”

PENNSYLVANIA:

Fetterman (D) …. 2,638,537 (50%)
Oz (R) …………….. 2,458,756 (47%)

MARGIN: D+ 179,781

PHILADELPHIA:

Fetterman (D) …. 364,007 (82%)
Oz (R) ………………. 74,738 (17%)

MARGIN: D+ 289,269

Do you see my point? Philadelphia controls the whole state.

Fetterman’s margin in Philadelphia alone was nearly 110,000 voters more than his statewide margin, so that in the rest of the state, 51% voted Republican and 48% voted Democrat — a margin effectively nullified because Democrats got 82% of the vote in Philadelphia.

Say what you will about Oz’s qualities as a candidate, but the fact is that any Republican running in Pennsylvania begins with a 300,000-vote deficit caused by the Philadelphia Factor. If you want to understand the phenomenon of “election deniers,” this is a good place to start, because it’s not just Pennsylvania. This type of urban political domination is the rule in practically every state where Democrats hold a majority.

Without their disproportionate share of the urban vote, Democrats would seldom win any statewide election, yet they currently hold half the seats in the U.S. Senate because, in state after state, something akin to the Philadelphia Factor is at work. This is why Joe Biden is in the White House, and yet most Republicans are ignorant of these geographic/demographic realities, which nobody can be permitted to mention because “RAAAAACISM!” So never mind . . .

Difficult as it is to resist my urge to expend 3,000 words ranting about the stupidity of people who vote Democrat without considering that they are thereby empowering the worst elements of society — and nothing is worse than the scum of Philadelphia — nevertheless I must resist that urge, or my mood might become even bleaker than it already is.

John Hoge and I were here in the bunker doing The Other Podcast on Election Night, with Dianna Deeley phoning in from Valdosta, Georgia, when I switched the TV over to CNN to see what they were saying on the news channel with lower ratings than Spongebob Squarepants reruns.

Because you never watch CNN — don’t worry, almost nobody else does, either — you probably don’t know who David Chalian is.

He is an obese, bespectacled Armenian homosexual, and I say that without wishing to offend any of my gay friends. Or my fat friends. As for any offended Armenians — well, if David Chalian were typical of them, you could probably more or less forgive the Turks, but I digress . . .

After switching the TV to CNN, I noticed that David Chalian was smiling, which is when I knew we were utterly and hopelessly doomed. Anything that makes David Chalian happy is bad for America, and as the election results piled up on CNN, while that blubbery Armenian poofter kept grinning with sadistic pleasure, I began to feel a profound sympathy toward the authorities of the Ottoman Empire . . .

No, wait — I went off on another damned digression. Blame it on the sleep I lost because of that wretched election, but I should have known better than to let myself hope that the millions of decent people in Pennsylvania might somehow overcome the scum of Philadelphia.

In my Monday column for The American Spectator, I’d warned that Pennsylvania would be “too close to call” for most of Election Night, and had specified the Senate race in New Hampshire as the best early bellwether of whether Republicans would have a true “Red Wave” election. If GOP challenger Dan Bolduc could knock off incumbent Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan in the Granite State, I predicted, we’d know we were surfing the giant crimson tsunami.

About 11 o’clock, CNN called New Hampshire for Hassan, which confirmed the evidence I’d been seeing in other races — no “Red Wave.”

Despite the general disappointment, which produced such happiness for David Chalian and his CNN friends, there were nonetheless many bright spots across the electoral map, especially in Florida, where Ron DeSantis stomped Charlie Crist into tiny brown smithereens. As the liberal Sun-Sentinel newspaper editorialized, the “19-point blowout victory” by DeSantis had turned Florida into a “crimson hellscape”:

He carried 62 of 67 counties, including Miami-Dade and Palm Beach, leaving Broward isolated as a blue island surrounded by red. Besides Broward, the only counties that Democrat Charlie Crist carried were Orange and the medium-sized trio of Alachua, Gadsden and Leon, a sea of red reflecting an epic Democratic collapse.
DeSantis’ solid showing of 41% in Broward was 10 points better than four years ago. Statewide, he got 530,000 more votes than four years ago, and Crist got nearly 1 million fewer votes than Andrew Gillum in 2018.

Charlie Crist: Less popular than a bisexual Negro.

In addition to obliterating whatever political career Charlie Crist had left, Republicans in Florida also flipped three congressional seats — defeating Democrats Al Lawson, Eric Lynn and Karen Green — while winning the newly-created 15th District, turning Florida’s House delegation from 16R/11D to 20R/8D. Oh, and Sen. Marco Rubio was easily reelected, defeating Democrat Val Demings by a 16-point margin.

In Virginia’s 2nd District, Democratic Rep. Elaine Luria, a member of Nancy Pelosi’s J6 witch-hunt committee, got beat by Republican challenger Jen Kiggans. According to Reuters, Republicans also flipped GA-6, MI-10, TN-5, TX-15, WI-3, AZ-2, IA-3, NE-2, NJ -7, NY-3, NY-4 and, perhaps sweetest of all, NY-17. That’s where Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) chairman Sean Patrick Maloney found himself in an unexpectedly competitive race after New York Democrats bungled their redistricting map, and GOP challenger Mike Lawler pounced and seized after Maloney suggested that people should cope with inflation by eating Chef Boyardee.

There were many places where Democrats who should have lost — as all Democrats should — ended up winning instead. However, among the list of winning Democrats, one famous name was missing Tuesday.

.

In addition to The President of United Earth, there was also the predictable defeat of three-time loser Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke.

So we have cause for cheer amid the general disappointment of a hoped-for “Red Wave” that turned out to be a minor splash. Many races have yet to be decided — e.g., Republican Neil Parrot leads in the 6th District of Maryland, but there are thousands of mail-in ballots that won’t be counted until Thursday — and if I had to guess, the final tally in the House will be somewhere around 226R to 209D, give or take a couple of seats, but that would be a bigger majority than the one Nancy Pelosi had when Democrats voted to impeach Trump, so let’s hope Republicans can get plenty of committee investigations rolling, subpoena a lot of administration officials as witnesses and, if they don’t cooperate, prosecute them for contempt of Congress. Payback time, baby!

Maybe we can’t do anything much to stop the Biden administration from wrecking the country, but we can make their lives miserable. I want to see David Chalian openly weeping on the CNN set, after Republicans vote to impeach Biden for . . . Well, whatever. It doesn’t matter.

Grind ’em into dust and call it “social justice.”

Philadelphia delenda est.

UPDATE: Welcome, Instapundit readers!




 

Category: Election

In The Mailbox: 11.08.22

Posted on | November 9, 2022 | Comments Off on In The Mailbox: 11.08.22

— compiled by Wombat-socho

If you aren’t listening to The Other Podcast’s Election Night Special, why not?
Silicon Valley delenda est.

OVER THE TRANSOM
357 Magnum: Manhattan DA Alvin Bragg & Rising Crime
EBL: Kathy Hochul Doesn’t Get Why Crime Is A Big Deal For New Yorkers, also, Astronomers have detected another ‘planet killer’ asteroid 
Twitchy: John King Urges Viewers To “Stay Off Social Media” & Trust CNN For Election Reality Checks
Louder With Crowder: Kid Rock UNLOADS on ‘fraud’ Oprah’s support of John Fetterman, also, Get the popcorn: Elon Musk makes a MAJOR midterm endorsement that leftists are gonna go berserk over
Vox Popoli: The Importance of Maneuver, You Are Not Alone, Winds of Change, and The Free Money Stopped
Stoic Observations: Pissy Itches, also, The Struggle Is Real

RIPPED FROM THE HEADLINES
Adam Piggott: The Stuff of Revolutions, also, I need your help on my next book
American Conservative: Bjork, Avant-Garde Reactionary, also, The Coming Storm Over The Trans ‘Tuskegee Experiment’
American Greatness: Democrats Are Failing the Democracy Test, The Pathetic Democratic Pantheon, and COVID Amnesty? Hell, No!
American Power: The Democrats’ Insurrection Flop, The Collapse of Biden’s Woketopia, and ‘We Are Moving Backwards’
American Thinker: A Voter’s Primer: The Seven Health Policy Habits of Insanely Progressive People, The Constitution Is A Treasure That Is Worth Saving, and ESG Boomerangs on BlackRock
Animal Magnetism: Goodbye, Blue Monday
Babalu Blog: Castro dictatorship gives Cubans ‘tips’ on how to get by with just 3 hours of electricity a day, ‘The people who are really working will remain in Cuba; they won’t be able to escape’, Cuban dictatorship pretends to oppose rampant prostitution, pedophilia, and human trafficking, and Violence south of the border
BattleSwarm: Turkey Bitchslaps Russia, Californians Hit The Gun Range, and LinkSwarm for November 7
Behind The Black: One of two solar panels on Cygnus capsule fails to deploy, Hurricane threatens SLS on launchpad, November 7, 2022 Quick space links, and Midnight repost: How the localized nature of Democrat vote tampering will influence the 2022 election
Cafe Hayek: Opponents of Globalization Continue to Offer Only Weak Arguments, also Certainty is Dangerous
CDR Salamander: NATO’s Next Leader: Serious Times Need Serious Leaders
Chicago Boyz: What is the Purpose of a Senator, also, What is the Purpose of Holding & Expressing Political Beliefs?
Da Tech Guy: Under the Fedora Sports Thoughts, The Navy chose death over life, and A Leftist Trope Finally Challenged After Four Years
Don Surber: Affiliates should dump Kimmel, De-Sanctimonious? Really?, also, Welcome to post-Twitter hell, lefties
First Street Journal: Maybe Larry Krasner ought to consider the possibility that not all of the juveniles he treats leniently will turn out to be good guys?, The plague of public-sector unions, and How can the American left so blithely want to increase the chances of a nuclear war?
Gates Of Vienna: Christianity Must Be Erased From Münster, If I Had a Hammer, How Our Military Crumbles, and Streamlining the Great Replacement in Germany
The Geller Report: “Widespread Outage” in Pennsylvania Voter Database As Election Day Nears, Judge allows lawsuit by Pennsylvania moms over first-grade transgender lessons to move forward, and Fetterman Sues to Have Illegal, Undated, Misdated Ballots Counted in PA
Hogewash: Team Kimberlin Post of the Day, The Remnants of a Dead Star, and A Galaxy On Edge
Hollywood In Toto: How To Blow Up A Pipeline Pushes Free Speech Boundaries, Panic Time? Oscar-Bait Movies Keep Tanking at Box Office, and Oscars Flip Bird to Red State USA, Name Jimmy Kimmel 2023 Host
The Lid: Remembering Kristallnacht -The Night Of Broken Glass, Russian Troops Stand Up Against ‘Incompetent’ Generals in Latest Mutiny, and Fetterman Bragged, American Flags Fell Over: “Perfect Metaphor”
Legal Insurrection: Academics Join Failed Petition to Cancel Book by Justice Amy Coney Barrett, The Democrat Circular Firing Squad Begins Ahead of Anticipated Midterm Election Drubbing, Charlie Crist Slammed for Calling Florida Surgeon General a ‘Quack’, and Ninety-Six Percent of Political Donations From Ivy League Go to Democrats
Nebraska Energy Observer: Change is good … and scary!, also, The Eve of Reconstruction
Outkick: NFL Ratings Are Down Thanks To Amazon Prime And Thursday Night Football, NBA Referee Allegedly Referred To Mavs Guard Spencer Dinwiddie As A ‘B*tch *ss Mother F***er’ After Technical Foul, Tennessee Reign As #1 Short-Lived, Gets Humbled By Defending Champion Georgia, Houston Astros Win the 2022 World Series, Celebrate Manager Dusty Baker, and LSU’s Tradition Of ‘Respecting The Tiger’ Creates Extremely Cool Image During Epic Field Storm After Win Over Alabama
Power Line: Can the FBI Be Saved?, Thought for the Day: The Idiot Vote, and NBC deep-sixes Pelosi story
Shark Tank: Crist Slams Religious DeSantis Ad, Despite Previously Comparing Himself to Christ
Shot In The Dark: Open Letter To All Minnesota DFLers, also, Why I’m Voting Republican
STUMP: SUMOvember: the tournament is coming!
The Political Hat: 2022 Election Predictions
This Ain’t Hell: Quick updates, USCG Recruitment Woes, Yet Another Politician: Legit Veteran or Photoshop Warrior?, and Clyde Shavers, a veteran that Republicans are attacking
Transterrestrial Musings: The Faux Climate Crisis, A Tragic Anniversary, and The Sad State Of Boeing
Victory Girls: Democrats: Misinformation Will Flourish On Twitter After Layoffs, The Pudding President’s Insults Continue, NY Dem On Inflation: ‘Let Them Eat Chef Boyardee’, and Abrams: Blame Voter Suppression And Misinformation If I Lose
Volokh Conspiracy: November 7 as Victims of Communism Day—2022
Watts Up With That: Biden Says Coal Plants “All Across America” will be Shut Down, Replaced by Solar and Wind, also, “No More Drilling”: Climate Crusader Joe Biden Announces the End of Oil and Gas
Weasel Zippers: Stacey Abrams: My Poll Numbers Are Low Because Black Men Are Too Stupid To Support Me, Biden Has Given Taliban-Controlled Afghanistan Over $1 Billion In U.S. Aid Since Botched Withdrawal, Biden’s Approval Rating Among Independent Voters Sinks To 28%, All-Time Low, and Dem Rep. James Clyburn: Republican Win Means “End Of The World”
The Federalist: Black Celebs Don’t Hate Herschel Walker’s Privilege, They Hate His Ideas, My Family Can’t Afford To Recycle Thanks To Democrats’ Obsession With ‘Environmental Justice’, Planned Parenthood’s Support For California’s Abortion Amendment Is About Cash Flows, Not Health Care, Corporations And Advertisers, Stop Falling For The Left’s ‘Anti-Hate’ Scam, and Democracy Isn’t At Risk, Democrats Are
Mark Steyn: Krill or Be Krilled, Whipped at the Yard, A War to Render All Wars: All Quiet on the Western Front on Netflix, and Diversity Is Where Nations Die

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Category: Linkagery

MIDTERM ELECTION RESULTS HQ: ‘Not a Red Wave, That’s For Darn Sure’

Posted on | November 8, 2022 | 1 Comment

UPDATE 6:30 a.m. ET Wednesday: The headline quote is from South Carolina Republican Sen. Lindsay Graham, summarizing the results in which it appears that a runoff in Georgia will decide control of the Senate, while GOP gains in the House will probably be enough to take a majority, but by a disappointingly narrow margin.

UPDATE 6:55 a.m. ET: A bright spot in western Maryland:

Neil Parrott (R) ……. 102,669 (51%)
David Trone (D) …….. 98,122 (49%)

Parrott is the state senator from Washington County whom I knew from 2010, when he was first running for the state legislature. His narrow victory over Trone, a billionaire incumbent Democrat, demonstrates the power of a strong grassroots “shoe leather” campaign. There was no way Parrott could compete in television ads, where Trone vastly outspent him, but the Republican challenger had plenty of volunteers on the ground and his green yard signs were everywhere.

*** PREVIOUSLY ***

For weeks, Democrats have been solemnly warning of impending authoritarianism: “DEMOCRACY IS ON THE BALLOT!” But when I went to vote today, neither democracy nor authoritarianism were actually among the choices, and instead I voted for Republicans, which is what I think they really meant: If Republicans win control of Congress, there will be no more “democracy,” as far as liberals are concerned.

So now, nearing 7 p.m. Eastern, polls are about to close in six states and I’ll be compiling results here, while also bitching about the slowness of the vote-counting on a special six-hour edition of The Other Podcast.

UPDATE 8:10 p.m. ET: Ron DeSantis has been reelected in Florida.

UPDATE 8:05 p.m. ET: Almost everything is still “too close to call.”

UPDATE 7:20 p.m. ET: Sen. Rand Paul is reelected in Kentucky, Sen. Tim Scott reelected in South Carolina and Sen. Marco Rubio reelected in Florida.

UPDATE 7:05 p.m. ET: In the Indiana Senate race, incumbent Republican Sen. Todd Young is trouncing Democratic challenger Thomas McDermott by 20 points. Young has already been declared the winner, with fewer than 4% of precincts reporting.

UPDATE 6:50 p.m. ET: CNN has been going through their own exit poll numbers and — whoa! — democracy is completely dead:




 

Category: Election

The Other Podcast: Special Election Night ‘Let’s Vote to Kill Democracy’ Episode

Posted on | November 8, 2022 | 2 Comments

Tonight, John Hoge, Dianna Deeley and I will be running a special six-hour episode of The Other Podcast, which will run in two parts:

PART ONE — 7 p.m.-10 p.m. ET

PART TWO — 10 p.m.-1 a.m. ET

So that’s the schedule, and you can tune in to hear us wondering the same thing you’re wondering: WHAT’S TAKING SO LONG?

I’ll be updating the results here.

UPDATE:

PART THREE — We’re now live on this one!

UPDATE:

PART FOUR — We’re now live on this one!




 

Category: The Other Podcast

A Cliché of a Stereotype: Kathy Griffin and the Pathetic Fate of Liberal Cat Ladies

Posted on | November 8, 2022 | 1 Comment

Which comes first, the liberal politics or the envious bitterness?

It’s one of those chicken-or-the-egg questions of causality that psychologists should spend more time researching. It’s not that all liberal women are doomed to be lonely and unpopular spinsters, nor even that every cat lady is a Democratic voter. Yet there is an observable correlation of traits that cannot be dismissed as a random coincidence.

If a woman is both physically attractive and emotionally capable of forming durable relationships, it is likely that she will get married while still young, and remain married. Even if such a woman should experience a breakup — because anybody can be afflicted with bad luck — she should not have a problem finding another partner and, having learned the lessons from her earlier misfortune, will try to avoid whatever mistakes caused her previous breakup. A certain level of humility is required to be able to learn from your mistakes, however, and one notices that people who can’t ever seem to make relationships work are reluctant to admit that they are the problem. No, no, no — they’re always the victim, and somebody else is always to blame. And the tendency to seek scapegoats is, I would argue, more aligned with the liberal worldview.

The Victimhood Mentality is just not conducive to happiness.

Kathy Griffin was past 40 before she married for the first time, but was divorced five years later. She then bounced around for about 10 years before ending up with another guy whom she married in 2020. She is, needless to say, childless. One may attribute Griffin’s fate to mere bad luck, but is it really just a coincidence that she is also a particularly obnoxious liberal? Or is “the personal the political,” as feminists tell us?

Probably not just a coincidence, I’d say. Kathy Griffin is not just a liberal, but a stereotype of everything that makes liberals unpopular. And obviously, though she was typical in the way she succumbed to Trump Derangement Syndrome, it wasn’t just about Trump.

Griffin is an insecure popularity-seeker, and will therefore reflexively jump onto any passing liberal bandwagon in a pathetic effort to grab the spotlight as The Most Attention-Worthy Liberal Celebrity:

Comedienne Kathy Griffin earned herself a Twitter suspension on Sunday when she impersonated billionaire Elon Musk as a stunt for Democrats.
Changing her profile name while employing Musk’s exact profile picture, Kathy Griffin then asked her thousands of followers to “Vote Blue” in the coming midterm election.
“Hey complainers and activists. Want to see real activism? Watch this. RT w #VoteBlue,” Griffin tweeted.
Twitter suspended Griffin’s account within an hour.
Though Elon Musk did not address the Griffin situation directly, he issued a clarification that Twitter will immediately suspend impersonating accounts that do not specifically label themselves parody.

She desperately wants to be relevant, see? And if that kind of relevance is all you’ve got to live for, your life must be pretty empty.

My wife likes to relax in the evening by binge-watching reruns of Seinfeld, and it just so happened that one of the episodes she was watching Monday was “The Cartoon” (Season 9, Episode 13) with Kathy Griffin guest starring as Sally Weaver, the former college roommate of George’s deceased fiancée Susan. One of the subplots of the episode is about Kramer’s inability to keep his mouth shut. The show begins with Jerry and Kramer walking down the street:

Jerry: Oh, no, it’s Sally Weaver. . . . She moved to New York a few years ago. She’s trying to become an actress. . . . Untalented. She’s always inviting me to see her in some bad play in a tiny room without ventilation. . . . She should just give up. . . .
Sally: I’m on my way to an audition. Still waiting for that big break.
Kramer: Why don’t you just give up?
Jerry: Kramer!
Kramer: At least that’s what Jerry says. Now face it, if it hasn’t happened, it’s not gonna happen.

Later in the show, Kramer has been checking Jerry’s phone answering machine messages and says Sally called to say that she’s quitting show business because Jerry “ruined her life.”

Jerry: What? You’re the one who ruined her life.
Kramer: Well, that’s not how she remembers it.
Jerry: Well, I got to talk her out of this.
Kramer: I thought you said she stinks?
Jerry: She does stink and she should quit. But I don’t want it to be because of me. It should be the traditional route — years of rejections and failures till she’s spit out the bottom of the porn industry.

“She does stink and she should quit.”

As a summary of Kathy Griffin’s career, that’s perfect.




 

Category: Celebrities

The ‘Blood Moon’ Eclipse and Other Cosmic Portents of a ‘Red Wave’

Posted on | November 7, 2022 | Comments Off on The ‘Blood Moon’ Eclipse and Other Cosmic Portents of a ‘Red Wave’

Dr. Peter Venkman: This city is headed for a disaster of biblical proportions.
Mayor: What do you mean, “biblical”?
Dr. Raymond Stantz: What he means is Old Testament, Mr. Mayor, real wrath of God type stuff.
Dr. Peter Venkman: Exactly.
Dr. Raymond Stantz: Fire and brimstone coming down from the skies! Rivers and seas boiling!
Dr. Egon Spengler: Forty years of darkness! Earthquakes, volcanoes…
Winston Zeddemore: The dead rising from the grave!
Dr. Peter Venkman: Human sacrifice, dogs and cats living together… MASS HYSTERIA!

Someone could have added, “Democrats losing in New York!”

The polls in the contest between Gov. Kathy Hochul and her GOP challenger Lee Zeldin are all over the map, and either way it turns out, some pollsters are going to have a lot of explaining to do. But the fact that there’s even a possibility of a Republican winning in a state that Joe Biden carried by a 23-point margin gives you an idea of how bad things are looking for Democrats on the eve of Election Day.

There will be a lunar eclipse in the pre-dawn hours Tuesday and, according to my source for all things space-related, John Hoge: “This is the first Election Day total eclipse in the history of the United States.” Make of this celestial omen what you will; my job is merely to report the facts, not to interpret the cosmic significance of such things. Sunday morning, I cranked out a 1,500-word column for The American Spectator, which got linked today by Instapundit, with this excerpt:

“Probably the smartest thing to do on election night would be to take a nap early in the evening — when the chatter on TV will be mostly speculation — and set your alarm for 11 p.m. or midnight, by which time 90 percent or more of the precincts will have reported in most Eastern states. The earliest tip-off to which way the night is heading will be the Senate race in New Hampshire. If Bolduc can score an upset there, it would portend a massive ‘Red Wave,’ in which Republicans win 240-plus House seats and 52 or more Senate seats. If, on the other hand, Hassan manages to hang on in New Hampshire, the GOP will likely win between 225 and 235 House seats and fall a couple seats short of a Senate majority.”

The meaning of this four-sentence passage seemed clear enough to me, but as I skimmed the comments at Instapundit, a couple of things became obvious: (a) most of the people commenting hadn’t bothered to click the link and read the whole column, and (b) some of the commenters had serious deficiencies in reading comprehension.

If you read the entire column — as I certainly hope you will — my main point is that it will be very late on Election Night, probably past midnight on the East Coast, before we know whether this is a true “Red Wave” election, with Republicans winning even in long-shot races. For most of Tuesday evening, we’ll watch the cable-TV personalities pointing at maps and declaring that the key Senate races are “too close to call.”

As I further explain in the column, practically everybody concedes that Republicans will win a House majority, because they only need to flip six seats to take the gavel away from Nancy Pelosi. So the two real questions — the source of deep mystery to serious political observers — are how big of a GOP majority Kevin McCarthy will get in the House, and whether Republicans can score a net gain of Senate seats, to give Mitch McConnell a majority there, as well. These two questions are linked, because if it is truly a “wave” election for Republicans, it can be expected that they will win majorities in both chambers. On the House side, McCarthy’s GOP currently holds 212 seats, and needs 218 to claim the majority. Getting to 225 House seats (a net gain of 13) seems to be the low-end estimate of how Republicans will fare on Tuesday, whereas a true “Red Wave” would mean the GOP scoring a net gain of 25 or more House seats.

The reason I chose the New Hampshire Senate race as the bellwether is because (a) the polls close there at 7 p.m. Eastern, and (b) unlike some other states with key Senate races, New Hampshire doesn’t have the kind of blatant corruption and/or incompetence that causes delays in reporting election results. Like, if you’re on a pins and needles about the Pennsylvania results, you’re going to be in hours of agony Tuesday waiting for them to count votes in Philadelphia. Ohio? No early decision there — Cuyahoga County will still be counting votes past midnight. Georgia? Fulton County won’t finish counting before Wednesday afternoon, if that soon. But there’s nothing like Atlanta or Cleveland in New Hampshire. Most of the state is still fairly rural, and even in Manchester, they’re usually pretty quick with the vote-counting. So by 10 p.m. ET, we can expect that 90% of the vote will be counted in New Hampshire, which will give us a good idea of whether Dan Bolduc has pulled an upset victory — which, I believe, will be the biggest early indicator of whether this is going to be a real “Red Wave” year.

Some of the commenters at Instapundit, however, didn’t seem to get my point, which either means (a) they’re dumb or (b) I’m wrong.

But maybe it’s just too close to call . . .




 

Category: Election

Rule 5 Sunday: HMS Eskimo

Posted on | November 6, 2022 | Comments Off on Rule 5 Sunday: HMS Eskimo

— compiled by Wombat-socho

HMS Eskimo, survivor of Narvik, dressed for the season.

Because I am a man of my word, as suitable recompense for all the whining last week about Tom Brady’s ex-wife, you people will get a British shipgirl to start No Nut November, and you’ll like it! However, because I am occasionally merciful, pity this poor Phillies fan, who discovered his favorite supermodel was sitting right behind him – cheering for the Other Guys.
Ceterum autem censeo Silicon Valley esse delendam.

NINETY MILES FROM TYRANNY: Hot Pick of the Late Night, The 90 Miles Mystery Box Episode #1890, Morning Mistress, and Girls With Guns. 

ANIMAL MAGNETISM: Rule Five Barn Burner Friday and the Saturday Gingermageddon. 

EBL: MAGA Midterm Meltdown, “Remember, Remember, The Fifth Of November”, Bond Girls – The Spy Who Loved Me, The Man With The Golden Gun, Live & Let Die, On Her Majesty’s Secret Service, and You Only Live Twice, Don Bolduc For NH, That Time Of Year Again, RIP Jerry Lee Lewis, and Vintage Halloween.

A VIEW FROM THE BEACH: Melissa O’Neil – the Other Rookie, Get a Goat, Fish Pic Friday – Reel Lynn, Tattoo Thursday, The Wednesday Wetness, Trick or Treat!, Gypsy Speaks, Pelosi Narrative Crashes and Burns, Monday Morning Stimulus – Halloween Edition, Sunday Sunrise and Alaska Has a Crab Problem

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Category: Rule 5

FMJRA 2.0: Minuet

Posted on | November 6, 2022 | Comments Off on FMJRA 2.0: Minuet

— compiled by Wombat-socho

Not a good week for my Senators. Got swept by the Giants in a two-game series, then lost two of three to the Tribe at home. We get to play the Giants again on Tuesday, and I’m not looking forward to that.
The second album in Klaus Schulze’s La Vie Electronique series is good solid classical music played on synthesizers. Relaxing.
Ceterum autem censeo Silicon Valley esse delendam.

This week in Senators baseball…

Dana Pico Schools Jen Rubin (But Trump Derangement Syndrome Is Incurable)
First Street Journal
The DaleyGator
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
EBL
Proof Positive

Democrats and Media (But I Repeat Myself) Begin Midterm Pre-Mortems
Hogewash
The DaleyGator
Venture Capitalist
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
EBL

Deranged Canadian Nudist Breaks Into Nancy Pelosi’s SF Mansion and Attacks Her Husband With Hammer
The Pirate’s Cove
First Street Journal
American Free News Network
357 Magnum
EBL

Is It #FreeStacy Time Yet?
The DaleyGator
357 Magnum
The Political Hat
EBL

FMJRA 2.0: Keep On Rocking In The Free World
A View From The Beach
EBL

Rule 5 Sunday: Gisele Bundchen
Animal Magnetism
Ninety Miles From Tyranny
A View From The Beach
EBL

Real-Life Horror Story: ‘Demonic Possession, Exorcism and Blood Rituals’
357 Magnum
EBL

In The Mailbox: 10.31.22
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
EBL
Proof Positive

Red Wave Hits New Hampshire?
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
EBL

In The Mailbox: 11.01.22
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
EBL
Proof Positive

‘President of United Earth’ Stacey Abrams Insults Georgia Sheriffs in TV Debate
The DaleyGator
357 Magnum
EBL

In The Mailbox: 11.03.22
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
EBL
Proof Positive

In The Mailbox: 11.03.22 (Evening Edition)
A View From The Beach
357 Magnum
EBL
Proof Positive

‘Unexpectedly’!
357 Magnum
EBL
Proof Positive

In The Mailbox: 11.04.22
357 Magnum
A View From The Beach
EBL
Proof Positive

Top linkers for the week ending October 4:

  1.  EBL (15)
  2.  357 Magnum (13)
  3.  A View From The Beach (10)
  4.  Proof Positive (7)

Thanks to everyone for all the links!

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Category: FMJRA Award
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