Mark October 30 on Your Calendar: Democrat Panic Hits Pandemic Stage

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COLUMBUS, Ohio
This will be seen in retrospect as the day liberals began to realize that Obama was going to lose the election, the day The Great Wall of Denial (erected by Nate Silver and the Democrat Graveyard Whistling Choir) proved itself too weak to withstand an encounter with reality.

Yesterday, Jim Messina called the Romney super-PAC’s ad buy in Pennsylvania “desperate.”

Today? Yeah, Obama’s buying ads in Pennsylvania.

Does this mean Romney is going to win Pennsylvania? No, but it does mean that it’s close enough that Team Obama couldn’t afford to let Romney air ads unopposed in Pennsylvania. And this news, coming just four days after it was reported that Team Obama is buying ads in Minnesota, is the best indication that Democrat insiders know that the president’s re-election is seriously endangered.

Liberals may be stupid, but they’re not so stupid they can’t understand what John Nolte’s headline means:

GALLUP: Romney Up 52-45% Among Early Voters

Dude. If Romney’s leading by SEVEN FREAKING POINTS in the early vote — and also leading by six points among voters who tell Gallup they plan to vote on Election Day, Nov. 6 — there is no way that Nate Silver can continue gazing at his Magic Forecasting Model™ and seeing a 72.9% chance of Obama being re-elected. He may continue telling that to his readers, but Nate cannot actually believe that.

 

UPDATE: Who’s been telling you about the “War on Coal“? Yeah, and here’s the Romney ad in Pennsylvania:

Here’s Mark Halperin on MSNBC, grudgingly admitting what the situation in Pennsylvania really means:

If Obama was winning, he could afford to ignore the Romney play in Minnesota and Pennsylvania. But . . . Obama isn’t winning.

 




 

 

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48 comments

  9. “He may continue telling that to his readers, but Nate cannot actually believe that.”

    Why not? Liberalism is a quasi-religious faith, just because things are going to Hell doesn’t mean that one stops believing in Heaven…

  12. I’m sure Michael Mann really believes in global warming, too, even though he had to phony up the evidence for it. No religious faith is stronger than the belief some charlatans have in themselves.

    But with the interruption of much polling, Silver has his built-in excuses of a “late shift” and “hey, I said Romney had a 27.1% chance, and he hit the long shot!” Admitting error isn’t condoned at NYT.

  14. The ad buys are interesting news — but hardly predictive. Why all the false bravado and pseudo certainty about the ballot results? The campaigns are playing the cards they can play because outcomes in many states are highly unknowable. Let’s vote and see what happens.

  18. The Gallup number is even more interesting when you consider that, at least according to Josh Jordan, Romney’s GOTV is trying to move its low propensity voters toward early voting and Obama’s is trying to move all its voters, including high propensities, toward early voting.

  19. Yeah, I’ve concluded this is a suicide mission on Nate Silver’s part. He must know he’s wrong, but is taking one for the team to boost turnout as much as possible.

  20. I said it earlier in another thread – the “War on Coal” theme is a definite Repub winner in PA, OH, KY, & WV. That coupled with the increases in electrical rates here and announced plant closings are poison to Dems. I would like to see the Repubs hammer it home even harder here in Ohio. It would be absolutely awesome if we could pick off “Share-it” Brown too!!

    “Don’t get cocky, kid!”

  23. They better start buying in Oregon, they are slipping away. And i don’t know anyone in WA willing to waste a vote on Obama…….. Romney raises relief funds and Obama begs for money for his campaign, the difference between these men is stark and obvious now.

  26. […] Words are meaningless to this man. Empathy? Not a chance. It is amazing to watch this transformation. From Hope and Change to this, and obviously empty suit uttering empty rhetoric, and rather than bringing us together, dividing us as never before. The Obama Train looks to be derailing, and, as  RS McCain notes, the truth is very tough on the Obamabots […]

  27. 4 or 5 months ago, I caught a ration of shit here for supporting Romney.

    Santorum, Gingrich or Perry could not have done this good.

    Romney wasn’t my first choice but, if he gets the job done, he da man!!!!!!!!!!

  29. You deserved that ration. If, as it appears, Mr. Romney is elected, then that will be merely the end of the beginning. The next phase in our war to restore our freedoms and liberties begins on 07 November as we begin our battle against the GOP Establishment and fight to keep the new President from doing those anti-conservative things he has promised to do and to keep him from wimping out on those few conservative things he vowed to do.

  31. The problem is that Romney spends more on salaries for managers and uses volunteers at their professional direction, while Obama pays everybody, but less. No doubt the early-vote GOTV peeps are being paid by the voter, so they aren’t worrying about “low propensity” – it doesn’t affect their pay unless the person can’t be convinced to vote. So they target the easiest, which just shifts their sure votes from Election Day to an envelope.

  36. That’s just the sad and sorry truth. The record of the GOP establishment, while in power, is actually worse than the Dems ever were.

  42. The day of reckoning is here. It is now time for all of you to abandon your silly God(s) and bow down in deference to Nate Silver.

  47. 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS! 4 MORE YEARS!

    EAT IT CONSERVATIVE DOUCHEFAGS!

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