Why Is Tim Pawlenty Losing?

Walter Shapiro at The New Republic:

But, midway through the interview, desperate for a headline-making morsel about his home-state rival, I asked Pawlenty to respond to the assessment that he was the establishment and [Michele] Bachmann was the outsider in Minnesota politics. To my surprise, Pawlenty sprang to life. He spent the next four minutes vehemently disputing my premise. “If you look at Minnesota, I don’t think you can define anything I did there as establishment,” he said, methodically ticking off his eight-year record as the militantly anti-tax governor of a state dominated by “a multigenerational, Humphrey-esque, liberal culture.” At times, a thin veneer of anger crept into his voice, even though all he would say about Bachmann, the original flashpoint of the question, was this: “She’s really an outsider, of course. I don’t think there’s much dispute about that.” . . .
With a weak GOP field, it is a mistake to write off Pawlenty more than six months before the Iowa caucuses. Yet it is also undeniable that the former Minnesota governor is in serious trouble. After a month on the Pawlenty beat — during which I spent time on the road with him in New Hampshire, toured his blue-collar hometown of South St. Paul, and delved into his Minnesota record — I came to appreciate the tragedy of his situation. . . . [R]ather than solidifying his position as the credible right-wing alternative to Mitt Romney, he finds himself distracted by thunder on his own right in the form of Bachmann. Why is it that Tim Pawlenty — for whom everything appeared perfect in theory — cannot seem to break through?

The most obvious answer comes far into Shapiro’s story:

Reelected by just 21,000 votes in November 2006, Pawlenty two months later made renewable energy one of the four cornerstones of his State of the State address to the legislature. “Minnesota can’t reverse global climate change by ourselves,” he declared. “But we can do our part and help lead the way. Our energy plan will significantly reduce the amount of carbon we put in the atmosphere. I look forward to working with the Democrats and the Republicans to pass and sign comprehensive historic renewable energy legislation this year.” Pawlenty endorsed cap-and-trade, and his far-reaching environmental agenda called for Minnesota to derive 25 percent of its electricity from wind power and solar energy by 2025.

Pawlenty tries to dimiss his embrace of global-warming theory as a silly mistake, but for him to have taken up a signature issue of liberalism after 2006 — i.e., after the disastrous mid-term election that made Nancy Pelosi Speaker of the House — looks an awful lot like opportunism.

Republicans were on the defensive, and Pawlenty grabbed hold of “renewable energy” as a way to appease liberals. Or that’s what it looks like, anyway, and Pawlenty has never given any explanation that would convince a skeptic it was anything else.

What adviser or consultant told Pawlenty that “climate change” was his ticket to success? It doesn’t matter. The consultant who gives bad advice collects a paycheck for doing so. The guy who pays for bad advice is just a chump.

Smitty is fond of T-Paw and I suppose he will resent this smack-around of his guy. My own feeling has always been that Pawlenty is simply too bland to match up against Obama. In the words of Vox Day, T-Paw has “has all the charisma of a corpse on quaaludes.”

Don’t worry, Smitty, Vox takes his shots at Herman Cain, too, but his real target is Rick Perry, whom he calls “the third Bush.” And I agree with Shapiro that it too early — six months before the Iowa caucuses — to write off Pawlenty or anyone else.

A Prediction Comes True?

When Michele Bachmann’s campaign caught fire last month after the New Hampshire CNN debate, I was pleasantly surprised. I had met Bachmann backstage at the Tax Day Tea Party rally in D.C., and was pleased to see a Tea Party-backed candidate doing well. My only caveat was that, historically, House members don’t win presidential campaigns.

Anyway, while I was working the phones over the Fourth of July weekend trying to get some background on Herman Cain’s staff changes in Iowa, I talked to a GOP operative (who is not currently working for any candidate) who predicted that the Bachmann campaign would “implode.” The operative specifically mentioned disgruntled ex-staffers who spoke ill of their former boss. So I wasn’t really shocked to see this story by Jonathan Strong today at the Daily Caller:

In late July 2010, Rep. Michele Bachmann’s then-communications director, Dave Dziok, told his boss that he planned to take a new job with the public relations firm Edelman.
Dziok had worked for Bachmann for two and a half years, a relatively long period by the standards of her office, and was leaving on good terms.
Staff turnover can frustrate any employer, but Bachmann responded more dramatically. Dziok’s departure triggered a debilitating medical episode that landed the congresswoman in urgent care.
“Within 24 hours she was in the hospital,” a former aide says.
Bachmann was admitted to a Washington, D.C. hospital on Friday, July 30, and released that same day. . . .
It was, according to three people who have worked closely with Bachmann, not an isolated event.
The Minnesota Republican frequently suffers from stress-induced medical episodes that she has characterized as severe headaches. These episodes, say witnesses, occur once a week on average and can “incapacitate” her for days at time. On at least three occasions, Bachmann has landed in the hospital as a result.

You can read the whole thing. My own feelings are mixed. On the one hand, it seems a fulfillment of my source’s prediction, so I could say I knew this was coming — although I never wrote anything about it at the time. Because I’ve been such an out-front supporter of Herman Cain, readers would have suspected bad motives if I had claimed to have inside negative information about one of his Republican rivals. Also, I very much like Bachmann and was genuinely pleased by her success.

On the other hand: Why does it seem that the Daily Caller always scores its exclusives at the expense of conservatives?

Was this why major GOP donor Foster Friess gave Tucker Carlson $3 million? Aren’t there some Democrats they could be investigating?

Just sayin’ . . .

UPDATE: Linked by Don Surber, Doug Mataconis, Political Byline, Bob Belvedere, The Lonely Conservative and Uncoverage — thanks!

Things go from bad to worse for Bachmann as her campaign security rough up Doug Ross of ABC News.

UPDATE II: Welcome, Instapundit readers!


Krikorian on Cain, Islam and Immigration

Mark Krikorian semi-disagrees with Herman Cain:

If a large and growing Muslim population represents a threat to liberty — and I believe, with Cain, that it does — then that’s yet another reason to reduce future immigration. But once you admit people, we’re bound to judge them individually, by the same yardstick we use for everyone else.

Fair criticism, I suppose. Yet Krikorian ought to acknowledge what few have noted about the 2012 GOP primary field: Herman Cain has the strongest conservative stance on immigration. I would ask Krikorian to talk to the candidate and see if he doesn’t agree that Herman Cain is closer to Tom Tancredo’s get-tough stance than anyone else in the Republican presidential campaign.

VIDEO: Herman Cain Talks Mosques, Sharia and the Muslim Brotherhood

EXCLUSIVE — Must credit TheOtherMcCain.com
During a private event Sunday with supporters in Bethesda, Maryland, Republican presidential candidate spoke frankly about his opposition to a proposed mosque in Murfreesboro, Tennessee. Cain said that one Tennessee attorney representing opponents of the mosque told him that the controversial project is being supported by the Muslim Brotherhood.

Cain’s public opposition to the proposed Tennessee mosque, as well as his March statement that he would not be comfortable appointing Muslims to his presidential cabinet, have been criticized by many liberals and also by some Republicans. However, the Atlanta businessman told his Maryland supporters during a question-and-answer session at a private home in suburban Montgomery County, he considers Islam not merely a religion, but also a political system that does not recognize separation of church and state. His remarks were greeted with applause.

About 80 supporters — including aides to two Republican members of the Maryland legislature — attended the Bethesda event. Maryland’s 2012 GOP primary is April 3, and Cain’s visit to the state could be seen as evidence that his campaign is planning a long-term nationwide strategy toward winning the Republican nomination. New party rules for 2012 have ended “winner take all” delegate apportionment in most states, which means that the GOP presidential primary campaign will likely continue well beyond the first round of early voting in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.

UPDATE: Linked by Jim at Anthropocon and by Conservatives for America — thanks!

UPDATE II: “Herman Cain gets it.” writes Pamela Geller at Atlas Shrugs. “He will be slammed by the leftist/Islamic machine as they continue to enforce Islamic blasphemy laws, bulldoze the American people and bulldoze individual rights. Any Republican candidate that hopes to win the nomination had better have the guts and political courage to speak to greatest threat facing our nation, foreign and domestic.”

UPDATE III: Cain discussed this issue on “Fox News Sunday.” (Via Memeorandum.)

UPDATE IV: Linked by Donald Douglas at American Power.

Cain talks with Maryland businessman and GOP activist Jerry Cave.

A group of Cain supporters pose for a photo with the candidate.

Talking off-the-record with Cain campaign chief of staff Mark Block. Keen-eyed readers will notice that I’m drinking a Flying Dog ale. Since my negotiations for an endorsement deal with Corona have reached an impasse, I’m now open to offers from other brewers of quality beverages.

My 12-year-old son Jefferson poses with Herman Cain. Jeff is a huge fan of Mr. Cain and said of the Bethesda event that it was “awesome.” Jeff also sweet-talked one of the Cain campaign volunteers into selling him a $20 Cain-for-President T-shirt for $1.

Cain shares a laugh with a supporter while posing for photos.

Cain greets another supporter — there was a long line of Maryland Republicans lining up to get their photos taken with the candidate.

Elicia Afton is Nevada state director for the Cain campaign. The last time I saw Elicia was at the March 2010 “Showdown in Searchlight” rally.

Jeff Brown, a member of the Maryland GOP state committee, listens patiently while I explain my plan for getting a lucrative endorsement deal from Flying Dog brewery.

UPDATE V: Linked by Unified Patriots — thanks!

UPDATE VI: Linked by Jane Jamison at Uncoverage — thanks!

The Vicious Jackals Are Planning to Screw Us Over (But You Already Knew That)

Sincerity in Washington, D.C., is as rare as chastity in a whorehouse, and the secret to understanding what’s really going on is complete cynicism:

President Barack Obama abruptly walked out of a stormy debt-limit meeting with congressional leaders Wednesday, a dramatic setback to the already shaky negotiations, according to GOP sources.

If you are taken in by such play-acting — “a dramatic setback”? Oh, no! — you are insufficiently cynical. All this drama is just hooplah for the chumps:

Lawmakers and the White House had what nearly every party is describing as a “tough” and “testy” meeting on the debt ceiling Wednesday afternoon, culminating in a stormy exchange between President Obama and House Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.). . . .
At issue was Cantor’s repeated push to do a short-term resolution and Obama’s insistence that he would not accept one.
“Eric, don’t call my bluff. I’m going to the American people on this,” the president said, according to both Cantor and another attendee. “This process is confirming what the American people think is the worst about Washington: that everyone is more interested in posturing, political positioning, and protecting their base, than in resolving real problems.”
Cantor, speaking to reporters after the meeting, said that the president “abruptly” walked off after offering his scolding.
“I know why he lost his temper. He’s frustrated. We’re all frustrated,” the Virginia Republican said.

If you’re a hopeless rube, you might get the idea that Obama was JFK and this was the Cuban Missile Crisis. In fact, the outcome is pre-ordained — a bipartisan budget “compromise” on the debt-ceiling will be reached, somehow — and people who voted Republican last fall will wake up feeling sore and ashamed.

POH Diaries writes that there was “quite a bit of debate about whether or not Mitch McConnell was just trying to snooker Obama into ‘owning’ the debt or if he’s really planning on being a spineless capitulator like a lot of us feared.” But there’s nothing to debate: Mitch is a spineless capitulator.

Like Trent Lott and Bob Dole before him, Mitch is the Senate Republican leader, and the job of the Senate Republican leader is to make conservative voters say to themselves: “What the hell is the point in voting for those worthless RINO douchebags? Might as well stay home on Election Day!”

It is a fact of history that no one has ever tried to assassinate a Senate Republican leader — not even the wildest madman would bother wasting ammunition on such worthless creatures.

Did somebody mention Lindsey Graham?

South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham conceded Wednesday that he and his fellow Republicans are now eating their own words as they try to convince the country they are working to stave off a federal default.
“Our problem is we made a big deal about this for three months. How many Republicans have been on TV saying, ‘I’m not going to raise the debt limit.’ You know, Mitch [McConnell] says, ‘I’m not going to raise the debt limit unless we talk about Medicare.’ And I’ve said I’m not going to raise the debt limit until we do something about spending and entitlements.’ So we’ve got nobody to blame but ourselves,” Graham told reporters after a GOP caucus lunch.
“We shouldn’t have said that if we didn’t mean it.”

What kind of fool expects Republican senators to mean what they say?

Let’s just hope someone will slip an earmark into the final bill to fund a grant from the National Institutes of Health for researchers to conduct a mental-health survey of South Carolina Republican voters. We need to prevent the spread of whatever dangerous insanity caused them to make Lindsey Graham a senator.

UPDATE: Welcome, Instapundit readers!

UPDATE II: Linked by Threedonia and the World’s Only Rational Man — thanks!


GOP Freshmen Will Call for Congressional Investigation of Planned Parenthood

Reacting to a new report about the taxpayer-funded activities of Planned Parenthood, Rep. Renee Ellmers has warned her House colleagues of “systemic fraud and abuse” by the nation’s largest abortion provider.

A first-term North Carolina Republican, Ellmers will be joined by fellow GOP freshmen Rep. Rep. Randy Hultgren of Illinois and Rep. Bill Huizenga of Michigan, as well as third-term Rep. Doug Lamborn (R-Colorado) at a Capitol Hill press conference Thursday to express their concerns about evidence of wrongdoing contained in The Case for Investigating Planned Parenthood, a new 181-page report by Americans United for Life.

In a letter to fellow Congress members, Ellmers wrote:

“I invite my colleagues to review the findings of this Report and to join us on Thursday as we voice our concerns about the issues raised by AUL’s Report and express our renewed commitment to seeking accountability for taxpayers and for investigating whether taxpayers are funding an organization that misuses government funding and violates state laws.
“I will be hosting a press conference on Thursday, July 14, 2011 together with Rep. Randy Hultgren to discuss the AUL Report’s extensive documentation of the systemic fraud and abuse inherent within Planned Parenthood and the need for Congress to investigate how Planned Parenthood is using federal money.”

Thursday’s noon press conference in room 2360 of the Rayburn House Office Building is expected to be the first step toward congressional hearings into taxpayer funding of Planned Parenthood.

UPDATE: Linked at The Conservatory — thanks!

UPDATE II: Linked at Maggie’s Notebook and by The Lonely Conservative — thanks!

Radtke Reports 2nd Quarter Fundraising Numbers for Virginia Senate Campaign

Jamie Radtke is the Tea Party candidate in next year’s Republican primary for the Virginia seat being vacated by the retirement of one-term Democratic Sen. Jim Webb. Her biggest obstacle is overcoming the GOP Establishment’s support for former Sen. George Allen. While many conservatives know and admire Allen personally, Radtke’s grassroots campaign offers an opportunity to carry forward into 2012 the Tea Party momentum that helped Republicans retake the House in 2010. Here’s the press release from Radtke HQ:

Radtke Releases Q2 Fundraising Totals

The Radtke for Senate campaign raised $92,153.43 in the months of April, May and June. This represents a significant increase in receipts from Q1 2011, and brings the total raised to nearly $250,000 for the campaign.
Unlike other candidates, all of the funds reported by Radtke so far are primary election funds; no general election contributions are included in these totals.
To date, all of Radtke’s contributions come from individuals; none of the funds are from PACs, special interest groups or personal loans from the candidate.
The campaign enters the third quarter of this electoral off-year with almost $46,000 cash on hand.
“We are pleased with the direction our fundraising efforts are going, and we are confident we will continue to see momentum throughout the rest of the year,” said campaign manager Dave Johnson. “Like the ultimately successful grassroots Tea Party campaigns of 2008, we never expected to compete this early with the candidates of the Washington establishment. George Allen and Tim Kaine are clearly the Establishment candidates in this election.
“Although George Allen tries to pretend to voters that he’s never driven across the 14th Street bridge before, his position as a United States Senator and his support from Mitch McConnell makes him the ultimate insider candidate.
“As Jamie Radtke’s message of sending a new generation of courageous, conservative leadership spreads across the Commonwealth, our fundraising will continue to grow.”
Johnson noted that the campaign had been engaged primarily in “organic” fundraising efforts through mid-May, until it contracted with the firm of Concentric Direct and brought on an experienced finance director. As a result, June was the most successful fundraising month the campaign has had in 2011.

Visit Radtke’s Senate campaign Web site for more information.

Debbie Wasserman-Schultz E-Mails Me

Once you sign up for any liberal e-mail list, you’re going to get e-mails from all of them, and this one came from the chairwoman of the Democratic National Committee:

Friend —
My first campaign made me an organizer.
Every day, through a hot Florida summer, I knocked on doors and asked my neighbors for their support. I had five opponents in that primary, but on Election Day, I beat every single one of them — with 53 percent of the vote.
Since that race, I’ve known exactly how important organizing can be. It taught me the principles I hope to bring to the Democratic Party as its Chair.
On my first day in this job, I recorded a short video to talk about my plans for our party. Watch it, then pledge to join us for some organizing on July 16th — when we’ll register voters and ask supporters to commit to help elect President Obama and Democrats up and down the ticket in 2012. . . .
We have big fights ahead, and I want to win them. In order to re-elect the President and win new majorities in Congress, we have to lay the groundwork for those victories now. That means getting started with good, old-fashioned organizing. That’s the message I’ve taken with me to supporters in the 15 states I’ve already visited as Chair.
But it also means embracing new ideas.
When I started, Patrick Gaspard brought me some suggestions that supporters like you submitted to help us make our party better.
I read feedback from people like Bill in Michigan who asked us to expand our organizing programs and Dick in Pennsylvania who said, “The message of all the good the President has done and accomplished must be communicated at the personal level by people in each community.”
I saw ideas from supporters like Kolman in Ohio and Alan in New York — who suggested that we deploy the power of charts, graphics, and striking multimedia to help win arguments and strengthen the facts of our case.
I heard from those like Vanessa in Colorado, who asked us to focus on research and messaging to push back against smears from our opponents, and Angela in North Carolina, who said, “Arm me with facts so I can counter the misinformation my friends seem to have on the tip of their tongues.”
This is exactly the kind of thinking — smart and supporter-driven — that I want to guide our work. That’s part of why I’m so excited about this job.
Are you ready to get to work with me? Join Democrats for our Day of Action on July 16th:

http://my.democrats.org/July-16-Day-Of-Action

Thanks,
Debbie
Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz
Chair
Democratic National Committee

Here’s her video promoting their July 16 “Day of Action”:

Republicans don’t believe in “action.” Republican believe in appointing their loser friends to help them lose the next election.