S.C. GOP 2012 Presidential Debate UPDATE: HERMAN CAIN WINS!

UPDATE: “Hands down winner” says Jim Hoft at Gateway Pundit, who provides this video of the soon-to-be-famous Frank Luntz focus group on Fox News:

“We can stop right there!”

UPDATE — MIDNIGHT: Just got off the phone with Mr. Cain. “At least a few people know who I am now,” he said, laughing. I asked him if he thought his strong performance had repudiated the pundits who had dismissed him as a “second-tier” candidate.

“It was a wake-up call to the rest of the candidates, and all the political pundits, that this guy’s for real, because the American people immediately — from the focus group, as well as from the reaction here — are now saying, ‘We need to take a look at this guy,’ ” he said. “I don’t see it as a breakthrough victory. I see it as an awakening, which makes me feel very, very good that people are awakened now to the possibility of taking a closer look.”

Our interview had to be cut short, as Mr. Cain explained: “I’ve got some more media that are waiting outside . . . Right now, I’ve got to take care of the barbarians at the door.”

10:32 p.m. ET: WOW! Frank Luntz’s focus group just found: HERMAN CAIN WON!

Luntz says he has never seen anything like this: A previously unknown candidate winning over a focus group the way Cain did in South Carolina.

Of course, I had predicted a Cain victory yesterday, as did Steve Foley at Citizens for Cain:

I predict Cain will not only be recognized as the winner of tomorrows debate he’ll have taken a crucial step in improving his national name recognition along with putting an end to this ridiculous notion that he’s somehow a second tier candidate!

Isn’t it time you joined the online grassroots army at Citizens for Cain?

* * * PREVIOUSLY * * *

10:30 p.m. ET: Now closing statements. Tim Pawlenty and Gary Johnson stand out by remembering to plug their Web sites.

I’ll be back to round up the reactions and coverage.

10:27 p.m. ET: Gary Johnson asked if he had a reality show like Trump, what it would be. Doesn’t say Cheech and Chong.

10:24 p.m. ET: Perhaps Ron Paul’s joke about Michelle Bachmann got a bigger laugh.

10:23 p.m. ET: Herman Cain gets the biggest laugh of the night with a joke about Mitt Romney.

10:21 p.m. ET: Final commercial break. Next: Let’s all badmouth Newt, Mitt and Sarah!

10:16 p.m. ET: We’re now in “lightning round” part of the debate — 30 seconds for answers. Pawlenty runs overtime in his first answer.

10:14 p.m. ET: Chris Wallace asks Herman Cain, “Why do you think you have any chance?” Describes himself as a problem-solver.

10:13 p.m. ET: Gary Johnson asked about drugs. Does not admit he toked up before the debate.

10:11 p.m. ET: Ron Paul sticks hard to the libertarian position on First Amendment. Chris Wallace asks if he is suggesting “heroin and prostitution are an exercise of liberty.” Paul refuses to back down. Applause from Paulbots.

10:08 p.m. ET: Rick Santorum is the official candidate of National Offend a Feminist Week.

10:06 p.m. ET: Groan from audience over Pawlenty’s “green energy”/cap-and-trade ideas.

10:04 p.m. ET: Tim Pawlenty defends teaching of “intelligent design” theory. Then starts talking jobs and unions. Attempting to bore audience into stupor.

10:02 p.m. ET: On Boeing vs. NRLB, Herman Cain: “What the National Labor Relations Board did . . . is outrageous.” Applause.

10:00 p.m. ET: Rick Santorum defends staunch pro-life position in terms of Declaration of Independence. Applause.

9:59 p.m. ET: Tim Pawlenty on stem-cell research, emphasizes adult stem-cells. Defends Bush position. Long story short: “If you want a third term for GW Bush, vote Pawlenty.”

9:57 p.m. ET: Some boos for Gary Johnson’s moderate pro-choice stance.

9:56 p.m. ET: Herman Cain hits Obama for not defending DOMA.

9:54 p.m. ET: Ron Paul on gay marriage: Totally libertarian. Says that DOMA defends the rights of states.

9:50 p.m. ET: Gary Johnson rejects Trump call for protective tariffs. Some things are so obvious, even a dopehead can understand.

9:49 p.m. ET: Ron Paul talking Israel — big applause.

9:46 p.m. ET: Santorum says we need to “engage the Pakistanis,” invokes Bush “with us or against us” mantra. Wants to deliver an ultimatum to Pakistani on cutting off foreign aid.

9:45 p.m. ET: Tim Pawlenty wants to kill Moammar Qaddafi. Perhaps he could bore Qaddafi to death.

9:44 p.m. ET: Herman Cain criticizes Obama foreign policy as “unclear” and inconsistent.

9:42 p.m. ET: Gary Johnson outlines his plan for what is, in effect, a guest-worker amnesty.

9:40 p.m. ET: Rick Santorum invokes his Italian father in defense of English-only law.

9:39 p.m. ET: Herman Cain on immigration: Defends Arizona law. Lays out his 4-point plan for immigration, including “empowering states” to enforce laws. Applause.

9:38 p.m. ET: Now, Gary Johnson is asked to address Democrats’ “MediScare” tactics. Warns of impending federal bankruptcy.

9:35 p.m. ET: Gary Johnson just interrupted: “What about me?” It’s the drugs talking.

9:34 p.m. ET: Questioned by Chris Wallace, Herman Cain defends his support for Fair Tax: “With all due respect . . . your experts are dead wrong.”

9:32 p.m. ET: Ron Paul justifying his “Dr. No” record of opposing . . . well, everything. Wild cheers from Paulbots in audience.

9:30 p.m. ET: Santorum on debt limit and ObamaCare: “We are in a criticial time for our country.” Describes ObamaCare as a threat to American liberty. Stopping it is “the most important issue.”

9:26 p.m. ET: Getting ready for a commercial break.

9:24 p.m. ET: Santorum justifies his vote for Medicare prescription drug bill.

9:23 p.m. ET: Tim Pawlenty says he’s “not going to pick on” Mitt Romney, who “isn’t here to defend himself.” Hey, who’s fault is that, huh?

9:22 p.m. ET: Applause for Herman Cain who calls for “serious” energy policy.

9:20 p.m. ET: Tim Pawlenty gets applause for calling Obama policy “preposterous.”

9:18 p.m. ET: Gary Johnson calls for abolition of corporate income tax.

9:16 p.m. ET: Herman Cain name-checks Benjamin Netanhayu, gets applause for tough stance against terrorism.

9:15 p.m. ET: Applause for Pawlenty when he says first job of federal government is to protect American citizens.

9:13 p.m. ET: Ron Paul criticizes “secret prisons” for terrorist detainees.

9:12 p.m. ET: Rick Santorum: “There are many in the Muslim world” who want peace and modernity.

9:10 p.m. ET: Is Gary Johnson high? Just askin’ . . .

9:09 p.m. ET: Herman Cain says there’s no exit strategy in Afghanistan; would rely on advice of commanders.

9:05 p.m. ET: Rick Santorum gives Obama no credit, says on “strategic” questions, Obama “has gotten it wrong every time.”

9:04 p.m. ET: Show of hands: Herman Cain is the only candidate to oppose releasing death photo of Osama bin Laden.

9:03 p.m. ET: Tim Pawlenty gets the first question. Audience struggles to stay awake during his answer.

PREVIOUSLY: OK, the debate in Greenville, S.C., starts on Fox News at 9 p.m. Eastern and I’ll be updating frequently. Of course, I’ve already predicted a victory for Herman Cain, and the candidate was reportedly in a relaxed and cheerful mood today:

Herman Cain, former CEO of Godfather’s Pizza, told NRO he’s trying to focus on being “Happy Herman” to keep himself in the right frame of mind for the debate.
“If you go into an event like this with a positive attitude, you will end up with a positive result,” he said.
The field for tonight’s event, which will be aired by Fox News, includes Santorum and Cain, along with former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty, former New Mexico governor Gary Johnson, and Rep. Ron Paul (R., Texas). Many pundits have described Pawlenty as the top contender among the five.
But Cain takes exception to being labeled as a second-tier candidate and said he doesn’t think his lack of political experience will hurt him.
“You’re going to see in Herman Cain a real leader — someone who possesses real leadership ability and not just positionship,” he said. “There’s a big difference between leadership and positionship, and I think people are going to see that.”
Cain said Pres. Barack Obama’s failure to lead on positive economic reform has provided an opening for a strong GOP candidate.
“Oh, he is very vulnerable. He’s going to have to do more than kill one terrorist to pull this out,” Cain said. “One good decision doth not a presidency make.”

The CNN poll shows “no frontrunner” in the GOP 2012 field, so it’s still wide open. I had hoped to travel to Greenville and cover tonight’s debate in person, but haven’t yet recovered from pneumonia, so I’ll have to settle for watching it on TV.

UPDATE: Both the Associated Press and Reuters are boycotting the Greenville debate.

UPDATE II: Notice that Allahpundit doesn’t even so much as nod toward Herman Cain. He does, however, note that Fox has terminated its contracts with Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum, and also reportedly given an ultimatum to Mike Huckabee to make up his mind.

Pneumonia Update, Etc.

Three days since I went to the emergency room. I’m coughing less, but my chest is still sore. Everybody keeps telling me to drink lots of fluids and get plenty of rest. Which I do, but then news happens and I feel the need to blog it. Also, there are feminists who need to be offended . . .

Dave C at Point of a Gun writes:

Pneumonia Is Fun Until Someone Gets Hurt And Loses A Lung

As an excuse to take drugs, it’s as good as a Pink Floyd concert. So if you ask, “How are you feeling?” my answer is, better than bin Laden:

Thanks to those who have hit the tip jar for the “Get Well Fund,” including Joan in Georgia, Philip in Englewood, and Linda in Tucson. Just so you feel like you’re getting your money’s worth, here’s another vintage image that will offend the feminists: Continue reading Pneumonia Update, Etc. →

Herman Cain Set to Win S.C. Debate

Herman Cain appeared on the Neal Cavuto show Wednesday afternoon to talk about Thursday’s debate in Greenville, South Carolina. Asked about the presumed GOP 2012 candidates who are skipping the debate, Cain said: “I think they’re making a mistake by not being here.”

Indeed, the state’s new Republican governor says the same thing:

With the first 2012 GOP presidential debate Thursday in South Carolina, top Republicans in the Palmetto State are warning several hopefuls who have chosen to skip the event that it will hurt them.
“Anyone that discounts South Carolina is making a huge mistake,” said South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley.
South Carolina traditionally holds the first primary in the south. Since it began in 1980, no Republican has won the GOP presidential nomination without first winning the state. . . .
Gov. Haley believes skipping Thursday’s debate will put some of the candidates at odds with demanding Palmetto State voters eager to begin reviewing the candidates and their character.
“They’re gonna have to work twice as hard to prove that they’re in the game and while it is early, to show that you’re strong early makes an important difference in South Carolina,” Haley said. “So I would advise all of them get here, get here fast and make sure every part of the state notices you.”

Cain will be joined by Rep. Ron Paul, former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum and former New Mexico Gov. Gary Johnson in Thursday’s debate (9 p.m. ET). Dave Weigel runs down the lineup, and explains why the no-shows are no-shows. The latest news from the Mitt Romney campaign is intriguing; one of his top New Hampshire supporters has quit:

Romney’s wishy-washy political identity and inability to stake out firm, consistent positions as a candidate were the reasons for his decision to cut ties with Romney. “He struggled with that in the last campaign,” [Bruce] Keough explains, “and to some extent I think he’s still struggling with it.”

Jazz Shaw at Hot Air: “For Keough to not only decline Romney’s invitation to the 2012 dance, but immediately take to the pages of Mother Jones to trash his former boss’s bona fides is fairly remarkable.” Also fairly remarkable: The Quinnipiac Poll ignores Herman Cain.

Meanwhile, back to Thursday’s debate, Carl Cameron of Fox News observes: “Retail politics is key in South Carolina. The voters here insist on meeting the candidates and kicking the tire and figuring out what the candidates are all about.” Retail politics is where Cain says he’s strongest in early primary states. As he told Cavuto in Wednesday’s interview: “Start looking at some of the results we’re getting on the ground in Iowa and New Hampshire.”

Cain mentioned his straw-poll win after Friday’s debate in Manchester, N.H., sponsored by Americans for Prosperity. Also, a poll of Hot Air readers showed Cain in a virtual tie for second place with Mitt Romney, behind front-runner Sarah Palin. Here is a video profile of Herman Cain by Brett Baier of Fox News:

Isn’t it time you joined the online grassroots army at Citizens for Cain?

Moving On Up: Herman Cain Places Third in Patrick Ishmael’s ‘Hot Air Primary’

Sarah Palin was the runaway winner with 27%, while Mitt Romney (11.6%) edged out Herman Cain (11.3%) for second. It’s also interesting to see that all the hype for Tim Pawlenty couldn’t boost the former Minnesota governor past 6%, while Newt Gingrich didn’t crack 2%.

Of course, this isn’t a random-sample scientific poll, but it does indicate how competitive Cain is among conservative activists online.

Isn’t it time you joined the online grassroots army at Citizens for Cain?

Fun With Pneumonia Update: I’m Still Sick, But These Drugs Are Great!

Well, I was feeling pretty good yesterday, but now I realize that was just the Percocet talking. Woke up this morning feeling awful. The good news? Re-reading the directions on the Percocet, I saw that it says “take one or two every four to six hours.” The “or two” is definitely more fun. So while there is hope that I’ll recover from the pneumonia, I’m afraid I’ll be a total junkie by then.

Just kidding. But thanks to everyone who has hit the tip jar for the “Get Well fund” so far: John in Vienna, Michael in Ardmore, Nathan in Missouri, Joseph in Olympia, Joel in Hollister, Jon in Isle of Palms, Jeff in Walla Walla, Charlie in Oregon, Ronald in Oakland, Catherine in Alexandria, Gregory in Elmhurst, Rick in Huntsville, Chris in South Dakota, Peter in Jacksonville and Ladd Ehlinger.

If you haven’t contributed yet, what are you waiting for? Hit the freaking tip jar! And, to show my patriotic support for the Navy SEALs who took out Osama bin Laden — also to continue our celebration of National Offend a Feminist Week — here’s a tasty selection of vintage nautical-themed cheesecake: Continue reading Fun With Pneumonia Update: I’m Still Sick, But These Drugs Are Great! →

Rep. Allen West: End Aid to Pakistan

Congress should cut off foreign aid to Pakistan “unless we get a clear explanation” of whether the Pakistani government “was harboring Osama bin Laden,” Rep. Allen West (R-Florida) said in a letter sent Tuesday to the chairwoman of the House subcommittee that oversees foreign aid programs.

Click here to see a PDF of Rep. West’s letter to Rep. Kay Granger (R-Texas), chairwoman of the House Appropriations Committee’s Subcommittee on State, Foreign Operations, and Related Programs.

In the letter, West said that, “like many Americans,” he had believed bin Laden was hiding in northwest Pakistan’s tribal regions, where it would have been “very difficult to locate any individual, especially the most wanted terrorist in the world.”

“However, we now learn that Osama bin Laden was living in a million-dollar compound which was custom-built in 2005 in Abbotabad . . . The heavily fortified compound . . . is only a few hundred yards from the Pakistan Military Academy,” West wrote in the lettter to Granger. “It is not unreasonable for the American people to question if Osama bin Laden was located on government-controlled land, next to a military academy, and so close to the nation’s capital. What real assistance was the Pakistan Government providing for the last 10 years to locate the al-Qaeda leader and bring him to justice?”

West wrote: “I think it is quite clear that unless we get a clear explanation of what the Government of Pakistan knew abojut the whereabouts of Osama bin Laden, all foreign aid from American taxpayers to this nation needs to cease. We need to understand whether the Government of Pakistan was harboring Osama bin Laden all these years.”

West, a retired Army lieutenant-colonel, served in Iraq with the 4th Infantry Division. He was elected to Congress in Florida’s 22nd District last year with strong support from the Tea Party movement, and is a member of the House Armed Services Committee.

UPDATE: West’s suspicions about the Pakistani government’s relationship with bin Laden would appear justified by comments from CIA Director Leon Panetta. In an interview with Time magazine, Panetta said that U.S. officials ruled out informing Islamabad of their plans to get the al-Qaeda leader because “it was decided that any effort to work with the Pakistanis could jeopardize the mission. They might alert the targets.”

UPDATE II: Rep. Ted Poe (R-Texas) today announced plans to introduce the Pakistan Foreign Aid Accountability Act, which “would require the State Department to certify to Congress that Pakistan wasn’t giving a sanctuary to the former world’s most wanted terrorist,” the Houston Chronicle reports:

Poe noted that Congress has already appropriated $3 billion to Pakistan for the year, and said unless the State Department can show that the country wasn’t harboring bin Laden, it should not receive “one more cent of American aid.”
“This is exactly why we need to reevaluate the foreign aid that we send to countries that do not have America’s best interest in mind,” he said.

UPDATE III: Jeffrey Goldberg of the Atlantic has been catching heat for his defense of the U.S. alliance with Pakistan.

UPDATE IV: PJTV interviews Rep. West (click image to watch):

(Hat-tip: Instapundit.)

Just a Coincidence, I’m Sure

Aleister at American Glob:

September 11, 2009 – Obama Skips Ground Zero Memorial, Sends Joe Biden

September 11, 2010 – Obama Skips Ground Zero Memorial, Sends Joe Biden

May 5, 2011 – Obama to visit Ground Zero

And how convenient that he’s decided to visit Ground Zero on Thursday — same day as the South Carolina GOP debate. Just a coincidence.

Also a coincidence? Romney will skip the Carolina debate.

Also skipping: Newt Gingrich and Michelle Bachmann. It should be kept in mind that, since 1980, no Republican has won the nomination without winning the South Carolina primary. Georgia’s Herman Cain is practically on home turf there, and coming off a strong showing Friday in New Hampshire. Yeah, I know it’s early, but the key GOP activists in South Carolina will remember who dissed them by skipping this debate.

Isn’t it time you joined the online grassroots army at Citizens for Cain?

If I’d Known the Drugs Were Gonna Be This Good, I’d Have Gotten Sick Earlier

Sunday night, my wife took me to the emergency room. The pain in my ribs — like a knife every time I coughed — had gotten to the point where even I had to admit that I was really sick. They hooked me up to a saline drip, gave me 4 cc’s of morphine, gave me an X-ray and then did a CAT scan of my chest. This stuff costs money, so I’m asking readers to hit my tip jar. You can think of it as a “Get Well Soon” fund.

Cash: When You Care Enough to Send the Very Best!

I’ll make this post sticky at the top of the blog for a while, with new posts below and, by way of rewarding readers for their generosity, here’s a vintage pinup of a sexy nurse: Continue reading If I’d Known the Drugs Were Gonna Be This Good, I’d Have Gotten Sick Earlier →