Nate Silver: ‘Hey, You Know, Maybe We Should Take Herman Cain Seriously’

The polling savant of the New York Times takes a look at the recent Gallup numbers and is intrigued:

I would not suggest that Mr. Cain is one of the leaders. But in a field where the three insider favorites to win the race — Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty, and Jon Huntsman — collectively poll at just 25 percent, and where some Republicans seem to be pining for an outsider (perhaps even outside-the-box) choice, he’s the freshest face.

Silver produces this very interesting graphic, illustrating the relative intensity of Cain’s support:

Which is impressive, any way you look at it. And as Caroline May reports, Democrats are now paying attention:

While conservative commentators Charles Krauthammer and Karl Rove might not see Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain as viable, the Democratic National Committee (DNC) is keeping an eye on the former Godfather’s Pizza CEO.
While the DNC has been barraging media and supporters with alerts criticizing Republican presidential hopefuls Tim Pawlenty, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, and Mitt Romney’s media appearances, Cain has largely been out of the mix. Last week, the DNC sent out more than 25 alerts attacking the aforementioned GOP frontrunners, not one mentioned Cain.
[Thursday], however, the committee ramped up its focus on Cain, issuing a “Rapid Response” attack against his morning “Fox and Friends” appearance, during which Cain praised the Paul Ryan budget.

What does this mean? Da Tech Guy thinks media liberals are now promoting Cain as a surreptitious way to submarine Sarah Palin.

That theory may attribute too much foresight and subtlety to the JournoList crowd. My own theory — insofar as any theory is needed to justify the overdue attention Cain is now getting — would be that political reporters are bored with the ho-hum GOP primary field and are looking for something new and exciting to write about. However you explain it, Herman Cain’s campaign has definitely gathered momentum in the past three weeks, whereas Tim Pawlenty . . . eh, not so much.

Alinsky as Rhetorical Dadaist

by Smitty (h/t Big Peace)

Andrew McCarthy in the National Review makes a perceptive point on our good President, noting how the duck-and-weave on Israel is straight out of the Saul Alinsky playbook. Also, that pattern is the same as what was used on ObamaCare. Emphasis mine:

Obama is an Alinskyite, though, a practical radical. Ineffective radicals are so blinded by ideology, so intoxicated by their own sense of righteousness, that they refuse to gauge the public sensibilities. Alinskyites are no less committed to their ideology; indeed, only a person who has completely bought into his ideology can maintain the patient discipline necessary to implement his utopia incrementally. That discipline is what makes the Alinskyite effective. Such an operator understands that you must always check the public pulse: Figure out how far you can push people, but never push so far that you lose political viability. Without power, radicalism is a dead end. The race is not to the swift but to the electable.
So Obama tweaked his health-care positions, pretending he’d never said the things he’d said, massaging his message depending on the sensibilities of his audience. He shrewdly banked on a press corps willing to be enlisted to his purposes, and on the natural tendency of decent people to give likeable politicians the benefit of the doubt, to assume they are not being lied to.

Sure, we like to treat people as innocent until proven guilty. Life is more efficient that way. However, technology is about to deliver a thorough spanking to the Alinsky’s collection of cunning stunts. In an era when having a politician verbally kick his own butt is as simple as splicing a series of YouTube clips together, politicians are going to have to be more forthright.

Shifts in policy opinions, e.g. RomneyCare, may be allowed, if there is a clear rationale. Wavering on something like the sanctity of human life will not do.

In BHO’s case, we’re going to see that his Alinsky tricks are like Dada: effective as long as not self-aware. Also, no one else is aware of the Alinskyisms. Now that there is an internet around, and WCFCYA, no politicians are going to get away with a 2008 triumph of style over substance again. No amount of propaganda is going to make mediocrity a big deal again. The seemingly incongruous selection of Joe ‘Effing’ Biden for VP was a tell: without the Alinskyism, the teleprompter, and the speech writers, there really isn’t much difference between BHO and Plugs.

Unfortunately, the spiritual void of Alinskyism means that there are no alternatives for BHO. When his only principle is pursuit of power, then run for President he must. He becomes the Über-lemming, driving off the cliff, all ahead full-tilt boogy, simply because he has nothing else to do with himself. It would be tragic, if it wasn’t so flipping expensive.

David Williams, Rand Paul and the Kentucky Tea Party Movement

Some interesting facts: Kentucky has a Democrat governor, Steve Beshear, who is up for re-election this fall in one of the most important off-year elections in the country. Beshear is vulnerable, and his vulnerability involves issues of national relevance.

Moody’s and Fitch have downgraded the state’s bond rating because Beshear and the Democrat-controlled state House of Representatives refuse to get serious about cutting spending, instead relying on gimmicks to balance the budget year-to-year. The pension system for state employees has unfunded liabilities, and Beshear has been accused of political shenanigans with the pension system.

Last week, state Senate president David Williams won the GOP primary, “clearing the way for an expensive, no-holds-barred brawl” with Beshear in the fall campaign, as the Lexington Herald-Leader reported.

Now the bad news: Tea Party activists in Kentucky, who backed Louisville businessman Phil Moffett in the Republican primary, are disgruntled — sufficiently so that they’re angry at Sen. Rand Paul, who they say failed them by not supporting Moffett in the primary. Kentuckian Lisa Graas reports:

I can also report that there has been talk that some in the current Tea Party movement in Kentucky will not support the conservative Republican David Williams in the general election because their candidate did not win the primary. I know of at least one Tea Party leader (not from the Bowling Green group) who threatened Kentucky Right to Life, in his organization’s name, that if they endorsed Williams, his group would not support Williams in the general election. That is important to note because it is an example of the refusal of the current Tea Party movement to build coalitions. Williams did win the primary, by the way, and Kentucky Right to Life did endorse him. They’re not swayed by threats.

Read the whole thing, especially where Lisa talks about how in 2009 the Tea Party movement attracted “people from all walks of life, across the political spectrum, most of whom had never really been active in politics.” Continue reading David Williams, Rand Paul and the Kentucky Tea Party Movement →

LIVE AT FIVE – 05.27.11

TOP NEWS
Serbian General Radko Mladic Appears In Serbian Court

Radko Mladic reassures a Serbian Muslim boy in Srebenica

Hearing will determine whether conditions for extradition to Hague War Crimes Tribunal have been met for general accused of massacre at Srebenica



House Votes To Approve Patriot Act Extension
Bill heads for White House, where the President is expected to sign it. Hope and change!

Libya’s PM Calls For Cease-Fire
White House immediately rejects offer as “not credible”



POLITICS
Romney Makes First Stop In Iowa After Huckabee Withdrawal

Can Romney win Iowa's socially conservative Republicans?

With Huckabee out, Romney could win the Iowa caucuses, where he was second in 2008

Supremes Uphold Arizona Sanctions Against Employers Hiring Illegals



Sarah Palin To Tour East Coast, Cause Furious Speculation On Whether She’s In Or Out

Wisconsin DOJ Accuses Judge Sumi Of Bias In Striking Down Collective Bargaining Act

Census Bureau: Hispanics Account For Half Of US Population Growth



THE ECONOMY, STUPID
Dollar Declines To Record Low Against Swiss Franc; 10-Year Treasuries Fall To Six-Month Low
US Markets Finish Slightly Higher Led By Telecom, Consumer Stocks
Gas Prices Ease A Bit, Still Up $1.15 Over Last Year
Former Nasdaq Manager Pleads Guilty To Insider Trading Scheme
Nikkei Edges Lower On Stronger Yen, Sony Earnings Fail
California PUC To Investigate AT&T/T-Mobile Merger
Russian, Ukrainian Wheat Exports Not Enough To Halt Rally
Google Wallet Mobile Payments To Debut In NYC, SanFran
PRC Prisoners Forced To Farm Gold In Online Games
Macs’ Supposed Immunity To Malware Threats Gone Forever



SPORTS
Heat Burns Out Bulls In Last-Quarter Rally

LeBron James drives to the basket

Heat will face Dallas in the finals

Buster Posey Injured In Home Plate Collision, May Be Out For Season

Ohio State Players Strike Back At Accuser Ray Small





NFL Coaches Side With Players, Urge Court To End Lockout

Mets Gain New Investor, Lose R.A. Dickey And The Game

Snakebit Rockies Lose Again To Arizona

Angels Sign Branyan, Place Kendrick On The DL



FAMOUS FOR BEING FAMOUS
What House Arrest Really Means For Lindsay

Gets house arrest due to good behavior, overcrowded prisons

For one thing, it means four weeks off from community service.

Jeff Conaway To Be Taken Off Life Support

January Jones Rocks The Lingerie As Emma Frost In “X-Men”

Child Protection Gestapo Visits Mariah Carey

Ex-WWE Star Chyna: I’m Getting Back Into Porn

John Cho Signs On For “Total Recall”

Zach Braff Joins “Oz The Great And Powerful”


Oprah Finale Draws Highest Ratings In 17 Years

Charlie Sheen Selling His Beverly Hills Mansion

Baena’s Daughter: All The Fuss Is Because Mom’s Hispanic



FOREIGNERS
CIA Teams Gain Access To Bin Laden’s Pakistan Compound
Japan PM Kan Faces No-Confidence Vote
Norks More Dependent On PRC As Sanctions Bite Harder
De-Baathification Official Assassinated In Baghdad
Two Die As Police Break Up Georgia Protest



BLOGS & STUFF
Lonely Conservative: DNC Chair Bashes GOP For Opposing GM/Chrysler Bailout – But Drives A Foreign Car, Herself
Pat Dollard: Game On?
Transterrestrial Musings: Barack Obama’s Middle East Mess
Jihad Watch: PMSH’s Renegade Middle East Views – He Supports Israel, Rejects Return To ’67 Borders

PJ Tatler: Congress Not Officially Adjourning For Weekend, Denies Obama More Recess Appointments
Don Surber: King Canute’s Kindergarten
AmSpecBlog: Pawlenty Says He’d Sign Ryan Budget
Weasel Zippers: Think Progress Commenters Call For Lynching Of Allen West And Family
Betsy’s Page: Using The NY-26 Election As A Salutary Lesson


— compiled by Wombat-socho

Holy Freaking Crap! High School Seniors Suspended, Accused of ‘White Supremacy’ for Wearing White T-Shirts to School

Stogie at Saberpoint calls attention to this bizarre example of political correctness run amok in California:

Students banned from a Central Coast school for wearing a white t-shirt. On Wednesday, Soquel High School suspended at least two students. The students say it’s because of allegations, they’re part of a white supremacist group. . . .
Soquel High Senior Mikey Donnelly wore a white t-shirt for his senior class photo Tuesday. About 10 of his friends did the same. That decision may seem harmless. But Soquel High suspended Donnelly for three days because of it. . . .
Soquel High Principal Ken Lawrence-Emanuel was very tight-lipped about it, saying students’ punishments are confidential. But told me the school got several complaints about a white pride group on campus.

Read the whole thing. This is insane. And the fact that one of the accused students is Asian sort of argues against that suspicion.

Lawyers: We Could ‘Gravely Undermine the Credibility’ of Strauss-Kahn Accuser

Accusing the prosecution of trying the case in the media, the defense takes its own shot at trying the case in the media:

Lawyers for Dominique Strauss-Kahn have contended that they possess information that they believe will undermine the credibility of the hotel housekeeper who has accused their client of sexual assault.
The suggestion, contained in a three-page letter from the lawyers to Cyrus R. Vance Jr., the Manhattan district attorney, was almost entirely devoted to the lawyers’ complaints about unauthorized disclosures of the case to the press. But it included a reference to unspecified information that they said would hurt the prosecution’s case.
In the letter, sent Wednesday and made public Thursday, the lawyers, William W. Taylor III and Benjamin Brafman, complained “that our client’s right to a fair trial is being compromised by the public disclosure of prejudicial material even before these materials have been disclosed to his counsel.”
“Indeed,” they added, “were we intent on improperly feeding the media frenzy, we could now release substantial information that in our view would seriously undermine the quality of this prosecution and also gravely undermine the credibility of the complainant in this case.”
The letter seemed to serve as a form of legal gamesmanship — allowing Mr. Strauss-Kahn’s lawyers to hint at damaging information about the housekeeper without revealing it.

That a wealthy and powerful French socialist could be brought to ruin by a Guinean immigrant hotel maid is one of those priceless ironies, isn’t it? Speaking of priceless ironies, how about this September 2009 photo of Strauss-Kahn leering at Michelle Obama?

“Some pictures say a thousand words. This one just says two: No Touching.”

BTW, when this photo was posted at AOSHQ, the Morons™ got so out of control that Ace deleted the post and took the night off.

UPDATE: Seriously, at comment #67, Ace says, “Last post ever on Michelle Obama. I don’t care if she murders someone.” Not sure exactly what the commenters said to inspire the deletion, but it seems that some people don’t find the First Lady attractive, and therefore made derogatory statements about her.

Good-Bye, Global Population Control!

And it’s certainly about time!

Spurred on by a public vote in which pro-life advocates said cutting funding for the pro-abortion UNFPA agency was their top desire, Congressional Republicans have filed legislation to yank millions from the UN organization. . . .
The vote at the popular YouCut web site makes it so the public will be able to track the progress of the legislation as it moves through the legislative process.
Rep. Renee Ellmers, of North Carolina, will be introducing legislation soon.
“This is going to save American taxpayers $400 million dollars over a 10 year period and it’s just another part of what we’re doing here in Washington to cut wasteful spending that we see happening,” she said in a new video introducing the bill. “And I am very excited to be part of this program and each week we will have more cuts coming forward.”

Here’s video of Rep. Ellmers making the announcement:

Rep. Ellmers’ Facebook page is here.