by Smitty
| State |
Delegates |
Closing EST |
Pri./Cauc. |
Called |
| Georgia |
76 |
7:00 pm |
P |
Newt |
| Vermont |
17 |
7:00 pm |
P |
Mitt |
| Virginia |
46 |
7:00 pm |
P |
Mitt |
| Ohio |
63 |
7:30 pm |
P |
Rick? |
| Massachusetts |
38 |
8:00 pm |
P |
Mitt |
| Tennessee |
55 |
8:00 pm |
P |
Rick |
| Oklahoma |
40 |
8:00 pm |
P |
Rick |
| North Dakota |
25 |
9:00 pm |
C |
Rick? |
| Idaho |
32 |
9:00 pm |
C |
Mitt? |
| Alaska |
24 |
Midnight |
C |
|
An additional 21 RNC superdelegates from the states are not bound by the voting result.
10:55 EST As I’m about to get some rest, Santorum clings to a ~2,500 vote margin. However, the message here is this: Americans love an underdog. Rick Santorum’s clear, genuine communication hearkens back to George W. Bush’s unfeigned character. Just about everything Romney has said thus far this campaign has seemed feigned. Maybe fellow Mormon Glenn Beck could give Mitt some authenticity lessons.
10:10 EST Karl Rove won’t let Fox call Ohio for Santorum, due to large counties that are not fully in. Santorum has a 12K buffer. Anticipate Romney to close, but not clear he’ll close enough.
10:07 EST Gov. Palin on Fox. She points out that Romney’s just not generating voter enthusiasm. However, conservatives are going to fall in behind the nominee. Gingrich is welcome, according to Palin. Competition is good. “Boo hoo” on those arguing for less competition, she says. It doesn’t make sense for anyone to drop out, she thinks.
9:45 EST Mrs. Romney speaking on Fox. She has three dimensions, compared to Mitt’s two.
9:42 EST Stacy called. Santorum saw campaign manager Mike Biundo right after Santorum’s speech ended. Told Mike that Stacy was watching totals. Lead grew from 5k to 15k over the course of the speech. Stacy says “I think you’ve got this locked. Did you see my column today?” Biundo: “Yes, I did.”
9:32 EST Santorum on Fox. Santorum just said that Romney is not truthful with the American public on the Romney health care record. Ouch.
9:29 EST Santorum on Fox. Talking the bottom-up version of economy favored by conservatives, vs. the top-down model of Obama. Sounding nearly libertarian, he is.
9:25 EST Santorum on Fox. On about Federal dependency. Liberty. Santorum speaks it.
9:22 EST Santorum on Fox. Allows that Ohio is still too close to call. But at least he’s chipper at the moment.
9:21 EST Santorum on Fox.Touting his wife’s vast acumen.
9:19 EST Santorum on Fox. Introducing clan. “This campaign is about the towns that have been left behind and the families who made those towns great.”
9:17 EST Santorum on Fox. Fresh from war-room/high school weight room. Sounding populist note on being among his roots.
9:16 EST Rove sounds a note of caution, as the biggest counties in Ohio have only reported the absentee ballots, not their final counts.
9:12 EST Fox has Santorum by 3% in Ohio. Keep going.
9:03 EST Google has Santorum up in Ohio by an eyelash. I predict at least three more flips of leader.
8:53 EST Newt Gingrich makes the cogent point on Fox that you can’t expect to outspend an incumbent President by 5-to-1 on negative ads.
8:42 EST Don Surber calls it ‘Super Snoozeday‘. Come on, man: pretend like this is interesting.
8:38 EST Laura Ingram on Fox just made the astute point that Santorum and Gingrich are canceling each other out. Tennessee called for Santorum.
8:25 EST Rove on Fox floats the point that second place is significant in states where the delegates are proportional. What of Newt Gingrich?
VT 4th, 7.9%
VA no run, 0%
MA 4th, 4%
OK 3rd, 22.8%
8:21 EST Exit polling in Ohio, per Fox News, shows Santorum picking up Tea Partiers, Independents and Evangelicals. Romney has double digits with single women.
8:05 EST Romney got nearly 60% in VA, mocking my sad little protest vote.
8:00 EST Fox calls OK for Rick Santorum.
7:51 EST Stacy reports from Steubenville, Ohio, the hometown of Dean Martin, at the Santorum event, where he just interviewed Santorum aide John Brabender. Brabender said that the Romney campaign’s “worst nightmare” is for the campaign to come down to a Santorum-Romney match. He spoke of an “enthusiasm gap” with Romney, who has outspent Santorum 6-to-1 in advertising in Ohio, and yet Romney will count himself lucky to win narrowly in Ohio. Brabender said it is important not only to look at who wins, but who places second. He suggested that outside of Georgia, Gingrich is unlikely to win anywhere else tonight, and will place third in many states. They are playing Dean Martin’s music in the gym.
7:41 EST Fox News has Ron Paul in North Dakota leading an End the Fed cheer from an hour ago.
7:36 EST FiverThirtyEight is confident on GA, VA, And MA. Fox corroborates. Ohio too close to call. Memorandum links The Hill with BHO telling Mitt ‘Good luck tonight‘ during his campaign speechpress conference today.