It’s kind of like the Instalanche, except Dan Collins of Piece of Work in Progress includes a photo of a naked woman named Kara DioGuardi.
I’d never heard of Kara DioGuardi before but . . . well, she’s apparently famous for being naked.
NTTAWWT.
"One should either write ruthlessly what one believes to be the truth, or else shut up." — Arthur Koestler
It’s kind of like the Instalanche, except Dan Collins of Piece of Work in Progress includes a photo of a naked woman named Kara DioGuardi.
I’d never heard of Kara DioGuardi before but . . . well, she’s apparently famous for being naked.
NTTAWWT.
HANCOCK, N.Y. — Pete Da Tech Guy and I were driving up Highway 17 toward Binghamton when we got the call from the Lonely Conservative, informing us that Ann Marie Buerkle’s victory is now a near-certainty. However, that’s not the headline in the Syracuse Post Standard:
Dan Maffei leads Anne Marie Buerkle
by 12 points in new poll
Why is this poll such a certain indicator of a Buerkle victory Nov. 2? Because the poll was conducted by Sienna College.
On Sept. 23 — the day before the New York primary — a Sienna poll showed Rick Lazio was leading Carl Paladino by a 57%-24% margin. The very next day, Paladino stomped Lazio 62%-38%. (SEE CORRECTION BELOW)
So the Sienna poll had a margin of error of . . . oh, somewhere in the neighborhood of umpteen gazillion. You could better predict an election by drawing numbers out of a hat.
Less than two weeks ago, a GOP-commissioned poll showed a dead heat in the 25th District, and if Sienna says Maffei’s leading, that can only mean Maffei’s going to be squished flat on Election Day.
Go give Buerkle $20. Pete and I just ate at McDonald’s and now we’re ready to get back on the road again.
UPDATE: The Lonely Conservative notes some suspicious anomalies in the Sienna poll. We have no demographic breakdown of the sample, and the same poll shows Mario Cuomo leading Paladino by 34 points in this district, which was represented by Republicans until 2008.
UPDATE II: Just realized I completely misread the Sienna poll of Sept. 23. But the point about Sienna’s inaccuracy is only slightly weaker. In August, Sienna had shown Lazio leading Paladino by 13 points — 37 points off the September result, where Paladino won by 24 points.
by Smitty
Some more insight into why Obama Went Down To Delaware, courtesy of HillBuzz, emphasis mine:
Somehow, I turned the topic. . .to Christine O’Donnell’s Senate race in Delaware because the guy I was talking to did a lot of fundraising in New England during the 2008 campaign and I know he “gets” states up there better than I do, having never lived there.
He told me that Christine O’Donnell is going to get VERY, VERY CLOSE to winning in Delaware but he does not think she will win. But, he emphasized, “It’s going to be scary close for Coons”.
I then asked him if he thought Scott Brown would win in Massachusetts, and he said, “No, I was surprised. I thought Coakley would win but it would be close”.
So, I’m thinking Democrats are really very scared of O’Donnell.
They can’t make the mental leap to believe she could win. . .just like they couldn’t wrap their heads around Brown winning “the Kennedy Seat”. . .but they see that O’Donnell is “close” in the way Brown was “close” in his race against Coakley.
My gut tells me that “close” means O’Donnell will win this is support continues for her nationwide the way it did for Hottie McAwesome in his Senate race.
The Cocktail Party GOP establishment didn’t like Brown anymore than it likes O’Donnell. It’s doing about as much for O’Donnell as it did for Brown, which is pretty much jack squat.
I don’t have anything concrete on this, but my GUT tells me that if we keep working hard for her that she’ll win…and defeat not only Coons, but the Cocktail Party GOP establishment too.
Message to Cocktail Party GOP establishment: Progressivism is political disco, and if you want to go under the bus, just keep screwing in the vertical.
by Smitty
Rule 5 Sunday is getting filed slightly early this week. Email me if you’re omitted, and we’ll queue you for next time.
Rule 5 notes with sadness the passing of Barbara Billingsley.
Alas, her health precluded applying her talents to translating the ObamaCare legislation into sane English.
And now, our regular show.
by Smitty
If you were edified by Night Sweats of a Small Businessman, you’ll enjoy the follow up, Liberals Are Not The Enemy. . .They’re Just Wrong:
So, what now? Where do we go from here? I wish I was that smart. The only piece of advice I can give is this: look to your fellow citizen for help. Agree on the facts as they are. Deliberate with the most liberal of them and try to get them off the talking points long enough to have a sincere dialog. Liberals are not the enemy, they are just wrong.
Irish Cicero, the head man at Washington Rebel, often screams at us to do just that, stop relying on bumper stickers to do our talking. Yes, dialog with a liberal sucks: they never stay on point; they want to blame Bush for everything and absolve Obama of exactly the same actions. Call it your “duty” to do so. It is for the republic.
Most of all, don’t look for this election to solve anything for you. The debt schedule is exactly the same, no matter who is in power. It doesn’t matter who the “general partner” is when the wheels come off, they have been loose for a long time.
Today I sent off a birthday card to someone I care for very deeply who drank the kool-aid, so this post hits home.
Thanks to the Internet, we continue the crawl out from under the Progressive thumb. We still have an election to support in a fortnight. But as you phonebank for your candidate, as you encounter those who subscribe to this raft of ideas that have failed, have compassion.
The number of actual evil masterminds on the left isn’t that great, I’d surmise. The bulk of them are people who may subscribe to their collectivist ideas.
Prediction: after the election, the Federal Reserve is going to go for another round of quantitative easing. That’s counterfeiting to you and me, and, unless you’re the one writing the laws, you’re going to find yourself outside the law for doing it. If you’re the lawmaker, you merely crash the economy.
With all of the other uncertainty in the world, this QE will prove disastrous. The Masters of the Universe will stand revealed as diabolical, or clowns, which difference will be academic in the wreckage. This will be our economic winter, as all of the closed shops do that business variation of José Feliciano: “For Lease Navidad”.
It’s going to suck, but I submit that no less teacher than suction will be of any use: we will have to get through Progressive Winter to reach the post-Progressive Spring. The only thing royal about this road is the PITA.
Just as the President really didn’t deliver on Hope and Change in any useful way, uniting the country has also been a wash. But where that son of a Kenyan failed to bring us together, hardship will likely give us a solid compacting.
Also, I could be wrong, which is also not a bad thing.
TOP NEWS
As Democrats’ Message Lags, GOP Poised For Huge Wins

Reminiscent of 1994? How about 1894? BE THE WAVE.
American Businessman Released By Iran After Two Years In Prison
Accused of giving financial aid to anti-government groups
Still Not Too Swift At Connecting Dots
FBI ignored tip from Mumbai terrorist’s wives 3 years before attack
Fed’s Evans: We’re In A Liquidity Trap
Recommends “strong measures” because he can’t bring himself to say “inflation”
Merkel Calls German Multiculturalism “A Failure”
Says Turks in Germany need to learn German
POLITICS
Palin Brings Folksiness, Ferocity To Anaheim Rally

“There is nothing wrong with America that a good old fashioned election won’t fix”
GOP Senate Hopefuls Have $$$ Edge Over Democrats
Clinton Rallies California Democrats In The Homestretch
President Urges Democrats Not To Get Discouraged
THE ECONOMY, STUPID
How Countrywide Papered Over The Cracks
Frozen Vegetables Recalled; May Contain Glass Fragments
Union On Strike At Hilton Hotels
SPORTS

Rangers’ Bullpen Bounces Back, Holds Yankees At Bay in 7-2 Win
Unranked Texas Defeats #5 Nebraska 20-13
Badgers Upset #1 Buckeyes 31-18
Dodgers, Ted Lilly Agree To Three-Year Deal
FAMOUS FOR BEING FAMOUS
Barbara Billingsley Dies At 94

Best known for playing June Cleaver on “Leave It To Beaver”, old lady who speaks jive on “Airplane”
Audrey Hepburn Stamps Fetch $606,000 For Charity
Christina Aguilera Takes A Breakup Vacation
FOREIGNERS
21 Dead, 16 Missing In PRC Mine Blast
Netanyahu Coalition Under Pressure From Left And Right
Philippines Braces For Typhoon Megi
Japan Times: Time To Let Neighbors Deal With the North Korea Problem
BLOGS & STUFF
Politico: Longshot Pelosi Opponent Raises $1.1 Million In 3rd Quarter
iOwnTheWorld: That’s Just How Progs’ll Do Ya
Don Surber: Did Obama Toss Manchin Under The Bus?
— compiled by Wombat-socho
NEWTON, Mass. — Here at Sean Bielat campaign headquarters on a Saturday afternoon, Ace of Spades and several of his readers are running the phone banks: “Hey, my name’s Ace. Would you like Sean Bielat to build you a robot?”
The big news today is that Sean Bielat is the top fundraiser in Massachusetts:
In a sign that he has caught the attention of Republicans in Massachusetts and beyond, GOP congressional hopeful Sean Bielat outraised every congressional candidate in the state in the latest reporting period — including his opponent, longtime US Representative Barney Frank — according to newly released campaign finance filings in most races.
Buoyed by repeated appearances on national television and conservative talk radio, Bielat, of Brookline, raised $379,000 between Aug. 25 and the end of September, exceeding the $317,000 raised by Frank, a 15-term incumbent, Federal Election Commission records show. . . .
Which goes to show the power of conservative New Media. It wasn’t the GOP Establishment or “secret foreign donors” who turned the Bielat campaign into a nationwide crusade. It was bloggers and their readers who struck the spark, and the excitement is now a wildfire.
Now it’s time to spread the fire. Pete Da Tech Guy and I are leaving this evening for a road trip across New York state and Pennsylvania down to Maryland. We’ll be stopping along the way to cover several congressional campaigns. Pete’s still about $250 short of his fundraising goal for the trip, so please go hit Da Tip Jar.
Pete was just downtown for President Obama’s rally with Deval Patrick, and I just got word that the streets of downtown Newton have been blocked off by police, which means Obama is coming here.
UPDATE: Obama is having a private fundraiser at the West Newton home of Ralph de la Torre. Da Tech Guy tells me Obama drew about 8,000 in downtown Boston, which is substantially less than the average crowd for Sarah Palin.
UPDATE II: There was a rally for Sean Bielat with Howie Carr today in Foxboro:
UPDATE III: OK, I’ve mapped out the first day of our trip. We’ll be in NY-22 Sunday morning for a pancake breakfast with George Phillips, then swing by Phillips HQ near Binghamton before making a trip up to the vicinity of Syracuse for an evening event with NY-25 candidate Ann Marie Buerkle. After that, we’ll hit the road three hours south to Pennsylvania.
Now we’re about to hit the road. Pete insists we must stop by his house in Fitchburg to enjoy some traditional Sicilian cuisine. Good-bye from Boston. If you can’t hit Pete’s tip-jar, feel free to hit mine.
UPDATE IV: Last update from Boston, where Obama spoke today:
“The reason I came today isn’t just because Deval has been there for me as a friend, but because he continues to inspire me as a leader at a time when too many folks bow to the politics of the moment,” Obama said at a campaign rally for Patrick in Boston. “He represents the politics of conscience and conviction in an age of too much cynicism.”
Obama admitted that he’s sometimes on his Blackberry backstage when he attends events for candidates, but “when Deval speaks, I listen.”
Obviously, Deval has been telling Obama to destroy the American Dream — and Obama listened!
by Smitty
Great time at the local campaign office last night. The place was packed. The phones were manned, and the workspace was fairly well crammed with volunteers who blew through the raw material for approximately 10k yard signs. The numbers don’t lie: it’s a tough race, but it’s only lost if this country has reverted to aristocracy.
Double down, grind out these last few weeks until the election. Then double down again, so the GOP doesn’t get a case of Alzheimer’s.
MA-6 Update: Democrat John Tierney Tries to Distance Himself From His Wife
EXCLUSIVE: Christine O’Donnell Hits Democrat Chris Coons on Taxes Again
Democrats, Unions Bankroll 527 Group Attacking Massachusetts Republican
HOLY COW! Republican AZ-7 Challenger McClung Now in ‘Dead Heat’ with Grijalva
McClung to Grijalva “You obviously don’t read my website, like you don’t read the bills you vote on in Congress”
WRKO ‘Debate’: Barney Frank Interrupts Himself to Complain About Interruptions
Republican Pulls Ahead in New AZ-7 Poll: Ruth McClung 39%, Raul Grijalva 37%
Sarah Palin Endorses McKinney (GA-12), McClung (AZ-7), Benishek (MI-1), More
Where He’s Building Ace a Robot: Inside Sean Bielat’s Campaign Headquarters
VIDEO: Barney Frank ‘Debates’ Bielat
Barney Frank’s Pals Fannie and Freddie Helped Cause the Foreclosure Crisis
‘We’ve Got Grijalva Scared to Death’
Barney Frank’s Self-Created Problem
MA-10 GOP Candidate Jeff Perry Talks About Democrat ‘Smear and Fear’ Attacks
VIDEO: Republican John Dennis Wonders Why Nancy Pelosi Won’t Debate Him
Just Watched Christine O’Donnell And That Other Dude Debate
Massachusetts Democrat Jim McGovern Says, ‘I Think the Constitution Is Wrong’
Democrat Jim McGovern: ‘Silly’ to Blame Him for ‘Constitution Is Wrong’ Gaffe
Pelosi: Raising Money for Democrats More Important Than Her Voters
TwitterGate Update: Neal Rauhauser Switches Account to ‘Protected’ Status
Is Ladd Ehlinger Irresistible?
Axis Of Fedora’s Relentless Blogoversal Onslaught
Do Interns Fret Around You, Billy? Of Course Conservatives Want A Restrained Federal Government
The Greatness Of America Is Not The Buffoons In Office
Libby the Liar: Mitchell Laughed at ‘Terrorist’ Joke Against President Bush
If You Have Materially Supported Candidate(s), You Can Watch This
Reporting News That Liberals Want You to Ignore? ‘Right-Wing Attack Site’!
Props to Trog for shamelessly including me on a favorite quotes roundup.