Have Democrats leaped to an eleven-point registration advantage in the last five weeks? In early June, a CBS News poll showed a D/R/I sample of 30/30/40, which undersampled both parties slightly in favor of independents, even weighting it to slightly favor Republicans. In their latest poll today on the debt ceiling debate, CBS offers one of its most egregious poll samples in recent memory to pursue the “public blames the GOP” meme . . .
Read the whole thing. I will add only two points that I’ve made before about how polling data is often misinterpreted:
“Random adults” don’t matter in politics. Any poll on a political topic that surveys mere “adults” — as opposed to registered voters or, preferably, well-screened likely voters — is utterly worthless. People who don’t vote, don’t matter. Any poll that doesn’t make some attempt to screen out non-voters tells you nothing useful about the political landscape. And also, non-voters are more liberal than average.
Early polling is always deceptive. Public opinion of political issues in July of an off-year is a poor measure of where voter sentiment will be 16 months from now on Election Day 2012.
In the most recent election eight months ago, Republicans won a historic landslide and there is no reason to believe now, in mid-July, that Americans have suddenly shifted toward the Democrats. What CBS News did with that poll is as big a lie as RatherGate, and they should be ashamed of themselves for promoting dishonest propaganda while pretending to report the news.
The more you read about Fast and Furious, the more you wonder if the U.S. involvment in Afghanistan is about coaxing Afghanistan to be more like the U.S., or the reverse.
We’re past the benefit-of-the-doubt stage. This is about the integrity of the borders, the U.S. government, and the future of the country. Allen West speaks for me: we need a special prosector.
Fresh on the heels of the Mila Kunis invitation to the Marine Corps ball, a martial arts instructor at Quantico has put Justin Timberlake himself on the spot:Rumors of a 6’4″ female chief bo’s’n who is strong enough to moor an aircraft carrier by herself trying to invite Ladd Ehlinger to the Navy Ball could not be confirmed at press time.
WAYTOOHOTABAD, KUWAIT. A few hours sleep, a bit of bandwidth, and a real sense that my R&R leave and meeting the World’s Youngest Blogger may not be the most important things going on, at least outside my immediate family.
Via Instapundit, there is the Yahoo article about The Undefeated opening in some red meat districts, and doing some brisk business.
I very badly need to see this film. This means that people in markets where it opened on the 15th of July need to go see it. It’s about market signaling, people.
The Progressive project is predicated upon the notion that the American people are sheep. The American people have behaved sheepishly; let’s be honest. And here is a leader theatening the Progressive wolves with some honest shepherdly behavior. The river of dishonest bile from the usual liars is all you need to know.
This movie constitutes a 2012 straw poll. If you ever want to see a politician exhibit courage, Sarah Palin or otherwise, go see this flick. It may have strong associations with her, but, if this thing dies on the vine, you may as well plan to vote for a tool of the Romney ilk. Because that’s all that will be left. Or, WTF, just vote for BHO: as the ship sinks, you’ll have the satisfaction of noting that, by God, you were part owner of the capsizing.
Oh, look: a Twitter feed! A blog! A picture of our Ruling Class Overlords reacting!
I don’t care if movie theaters are not your thing. You can put off your cigarette long enough to sit through this flick. And then get on social media and get others to see it.
This is a deal of nearly Biden-esque proportions.
“According to Jim Messina, his campaign manager, through the second quarter of 2011, President Obama now has 552,000 contributors to his 2012 re-election campaign. And the Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that during the same two quarters, the U.S. economy generated 260,000 jobs. In other words, Obama attracted twice as many campaign donors as his economic policies created new jobs.”
— Mark Tapscott, Washington Examiner
EXCLUSIVE — Must credit TheOtherMcCain.com
During a private event Sunday with supporters in Bethesda, Maryland, Republican presidential candidate spoke frankly about his opposition to a proposed mosque in Murfreesboro, Tennessee. Cain said that one Tennessee attorney representing opponents of the mosque told him that the controversial project is being supported by the Muslim Brotherhood.
Cain’s public opposition to the proposed Tennessee mosque, as well as his March statement that he would not be comfortable appointing Muslims to his presidential cabinet, have been criticized by many liberals and also by some Republicans. However, the Atlanta businessman told his Maryland supporters during a question-and-answer session at a private home in suburban Montgomery County, he considers Islam not merely a religion, but also a political system that does not recognize separation of church and state. His remarks were greeted with applause.
About 80 supporters — including aides to two Republican members of the Maryland legislature — attended the Bethesda event. Maryland’s 2012 GOP primary is April 3, and Cain’s visit to the state could be seen as evidence that his campaign is planning a long-term nationwide strategy toward winning the Republican nomination. New party rules for 2012 have ended “winner take all” delegate apportionment in most states, which means that the GOP presidential primary campaign will likely continue well beyond the first round of early voting in Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.
UPDATE II: “Herman Cain gets it.” writes Pamela Geller at Atlas Shrugs. “He will be slammed by the leftist/Islamic machine as they continue to enforce Islamic blasphemy laws, bulldoze the American people and bulldoze individual rights. Any Republican candidate that hopes to win the nomination had better have the guts and political courage to speak to greatest threat facing our nation, foreign and domestic.”
Cain talks with Maryland businessman and GOP activist Jerry Cave.
A group of Cain supporters pose for a photo with the candidate.
Talking off-the-record with Cain campaign chief of staff Mark Block. Keen-eyed readers will notice that I’m drinking a Flying Dog ale. Since my negotiations for an endorsement deal with Corona have reached an impasse, I’m now open to offers from other brewers of quality beverages.
My 12-year-old son Jefferson poses with Herman Cain. Jeff is a huge fan of Mr. Cain and said of the Bethesda event that it was “awesome.” Jeff also sweet-talked one of the Cain campaign volunteers into selling him a $20 Cain-for-President T-shirt for $1.
Cain shares a laugh with a supporter while posing for photos.
Cain greets another supporter — there was a long line of Maryland Republicans lining up to get their photos taken with the candidate.
Jeff Brown, a member of the Maryland GOP state committee, listens patiently while I explain my plan for getting a lucrative endorsement deal from Flying Dog brewery.
The POH Diaries quickly linked to the scurrilous rumor that Mila Kunis would be standing up her date for the Marine Ball. Elsewhere, the Eye of Polyphemus lingered on Olivia Munn this week, while Fishersville Mike recognized the new Miss West Virginia, and Randy’s Roundtable spotlighted Katie Green and Daphne Joy. A View From The Beach’s Rule 5 theme this week was Women Who Sing, for reasonable approximations of the verb “to sing”. Serr8d’s Cutting Edge reminds us that in more ways than one, Marilyn Monroe remains larger than life.
