BLACK MONDAY? Obama’s Debt-Ceiling Crisis Strategy Could Sink Wall Street

Let’s be clear: President Obama has orchestrated this unnecessary drama for the specific political purpose of causing a crisis that he — with the willing assistance of the liberal media — hopes to blame on Republicans.

Yet while Obama, the Democrats and the media (but I repeat myself) are scripting a kabuki dance, economic reality threatens to intervene:

U.S. stock futures fell, indicating the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index will drop after rallying within 1.4 percent of a three-year high, as President Barack Obama and Congress failed to reach an agreement on raising the federal debt limit, intensifying concern the nation will default.
S&P 500 futures expiring in September declined 1.1 percent to 1,326 at 12:13 p.m. in Tokyo. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures lost 133 points, or 1.1 percent, to 12,488.

The Japanese Nikkei index lost 82 points. The Chinese Hang Seng was down 175 points. Meanwhile, Harry Reid — who has been worse than useless in this phony crisis — now says he has a plan:

The Senate’s top Democrat rolled out a plan Sunday night to raise the nation’s debt limit – in a way he said even Republicans could not refuse.
Senate Democratic boss Harry Reid proposed slashing $2.7 trillion in spending and raising the debt ceiling through 2012 to avoid a market meltdown.
The offer “meets Republicans’ two major criteria: It will include enough spending cuts to meet or exceed the amount of a debt ceiling raise through the end of 2012, and it will not include revenues,” Reid said in a statement.
“We hope [House] Speaker [John] Boehner will abandon his ‘my way or the highway’ approach, and join us in forging a bipartisan compromise along these lines,” Reid said.

The accusation that Boehner is the obstacle to a “bipartisan compromise” is laughable. The GOP leadership very much wants a deal, but Obama and Harry Reid’s Democrat majority in the Senate refuse to play ball.

For two years, Obama, Reid and Nancy Pelosi acted as if they could spend infinite money with no regard whatsoever to the effects of deficit spending. Now — with Obama looking for something he can score a “win” against the GOP — suddenly they’re all about the balanced approach.

Lying bastards.

John Hayward at Human Events rakes Obama over the coals for his dishonest rhetoric.

Meanwhile, John Boehner lays it on the line:

It boils down to this: The president wants his $2.4 trillion debt limit increase all at once, without any guarantees that we’re going to cut more than $2.4 trillion in spending. The administration says they have to have it all upfront so we don’t have to deal with this again until after the next election. You heard the president say that himself on TV the other night.
We’ve seen this coming all year long. But here’s the challenge: To stop him, we need a vehicle that can pass in both houses. . . .
The White House has never gotten serious about tackling the serious issues our nation faces — not without tax hikes — and I don’t think they ever will. . . .

So today, everyone will be watching Wall Street. And if you’ve got your 401(k) or other retirement investments in stocks . . . well, see, what happens to your money is of no interest to the Democrats. All they care about is politics.

Obama Fears Losing Reelection More Than Default. And meanwhile, here’s a kick in the head:

Gold hit a record high above $1,620 an ounce on Monday . . . over fears of a possible U.S. debt default as the debt ceiling talks in Washington stalled.

Yeah. You should have listened to Glenn Beck.

UPDATE: Welcome, Instapundit readers!

PREVIOUSLY:


All You Need To Know About Why McConnell’s Plan Is A Soup Sandwich

by Smitty (h/t Memeorandum)

Harry Reid thinks it’s swell.

“He spent a great deal of time working on this. I commend him for his thoughtful and unique proposal, something that we have to look at very closely,” Reid, a Nevada Democrat, said on the Senate floor. “I’m heartened by what I read. This is a serious proposal, and I commend the Republican leader for coming forward with it.”

That’s like having Jack Kevorkian endorse your funeral arrangements.
In defense of McConnell, he can no longer be said to have failed to provide a suggestion.
I can get a little stronger: maybe he’s just trolling. Throwing out a little bait to see what the blowback is like in the dextrosphere. In that case, one hopes that the napalm shower is sufficient for all the GOP to realize that this is the time, this is the place to stick a fork in this Progressive beast.

The Ryan Budget

I’m tempted to call it “The Savage Young Ryan Budget,” but seriously, folks: House Republicans did the smart thing yesterday, and don’t let worry-wart Allahpundit tell you any different.

Not a single Democrat voted for it, and DCCC Chairman Steve Israel’s boast that this will help Democrats recapture the House is nonsense. Let the Democrats spend the next 18 months trying to demagogue entitlement reform all they want — the pressure is now actually on Senate Democrats for 2012.

The willingness of the House GOP to lay down a marker — take a vote on a definite proposal for fixing the entitlement mess — shows they’ve learned the lessons of 2005-06, when Republicans botched the entitlement-reform debate.

Here’s what most people miss about that: The Republicans controlled the House, and Tom Delay could have rammed through any proposal that the White House wanted. But the GOP wanted to play defense, so it was decided that the thing to do was (a) to send Bush out giving a lot of speeches about entitlement reform, and (b) let the Senate do a lot of debating about entitlement reform.

Talk, talk, talk — and the Senate never passed anything, so there was never any specific plan on the table, with numbers and stuff, that people could look at see what was actually being proposed. Democrats got an opportunity to do their usual demagoguery — “Those evil Republicans want to take away Granny’s Social Security check!” — without ever being forced to vote up-or-down on anything.

The House vote to approve the Ryan budget changes that. Now the Democrats who control the Senate have before them a specific plan, already approved by the House, upon which they can now be pressured to act. And with Democrats defending lots of vulnerable Senate seats in 2012, the question becomes: Where’s Harry Reid’s budget?

No more “talk, talk, talk,” you see. Reid can’t just kick the can down the road like he did last year, when he and Nancy Pelosi decided not even to pass an FY 2011 budget, because they wanted to play politics instead. Paul Ryan and the House GOP just called Harry’s bluff.

Obama’s gimmicky and unrealistic “framework” for deficit-reduction won’t work as actual legislation. Harry Reid and the Democrat-controlled Senate are going to have to come up with an honest-to-goodness budget, and the House is going to be sending over appropriations bills that will require senators to take votes, if the federal government is to be funded for FY2012.

Actual legislation. Actual votes.

The fun-and-games of just talk, talk, talking is over. And I’m convinced that Harry Reid can’t match the determination of the House Republicans, so there’s no way the Democrats can “win” this part of the process.

The American people aren’t as stupid as Democrats think.

Democrats Draw the Line, Will Shut Down Government Over Planned Parenthood

In her 2006 book, Godless, Ann Coulter called abortion “the holiest sacrament” in the religion of liberalism. Democrats would rather shut down the federal government than de-fund Planned Parenthood:

Congressional budget negotiations broke up before dawn on Friday without an agreement, putting the government on a path to a shutdown when financing for federal agencies runs out at midnight. . . .
Democratic officials familiar with the negotiations said that proposed restrictions on money for Planned Parenthood remained the chief sticking point, and that attempts to resolve the disagreement through alternatives like allowing a separate floor vote on the issue had not been successful. . . .
Senator Harry Reid of Nevada, the majority leader, told reporters in an exchange broadcast on CNN Friday morning that “this all deals with women’s health” and that other issues had been resolved. . . .

Why is Harry so fanatically committed to baby-killing?

UPDATE: “Priorities: Obama’s commitment to funding abortion more important than paying military at war.”

Linked by Da Tech Guy — thanks!

UPDATE II: The following video was approved by the Democrat/MSM Talking-Point Coordination Committee:

Via Doug Ross who has a great “Shutdown Friday” roundup at Michelle Malkin’s site.

UPDATE III: This morning there was a brief flurry of “we have a deal” rumors, before it became clear that Democrats are insisting on a shutdown — so they can blame it on Republicans. Here is video of House Speaker John Boehner’s brief press statement today:

Via Ed Morrissey at Hot Air, who points out:

Here’s an idea: The Senate can pass a bill funding Planned Parenthood separately, so that federal subsidies for abortion mills don’t create a government shutdown, and let the House debate it straight up. Reid won’t do that because PP funding is not popular and such a rider might not even pass in the Senate.

Frankly, Harry Reid looks desperate. His strategy –making the shutdown about “women’s health” — is very transparently a strategy, based on Democratic Party electoral interests.

Democrat Sen. Joe Manchin Prevents Repeal of ‘Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell’

Of course, that’s not the Associated Press lede:

Republicans blocked a last-ditch effort in the Senate to lift the military’s ban on openly gay troops on Thursday, dealing a major blow to gay rights groups and making it unlikely Congress could repeal “don’t ask, don’t tell” any time soon.
The 57-40 vote fell three short of the 60 needed to overcome procedural hurdles to lift the 17-year-old ban. Sen. Susan Collins of Maine was the lone Republican voting to advance the bill, and Sen. Joe Manchin of West Virginia was the only Democrat to vote against it.

If Manchin had been willing to vote “yes” — and if Democrat Sen. Blanche Lincoln hadn’t been MIA — it could have passed, but that doesn’t fit the media’s Republicans-as-hatemongers template, so the West Virginia Democrat’s vote — a stunning triumph of bitter-clinger bigotry! — is treated as an afterthought. Speaking of overlooked facts, Jim Hoft calls to our attention exactly who was originally responsible for this policy:

Senate Blocks Repeal of Bill Clinton’s
“Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell” Policy

Also unnoticed: Harry Reid is the Fred Phelps of the Senate. He intentionally brought DADT repeal bill to a vote in violation of a prior agreement with key Senate Republicans not to move any legislation until the tax bill had been passed, thereby providing certain liberal Republicans a (non-homophobic) reason to vote “no,” and preventing passage.

The Washington Post’s Greg Sargent goes out of his way to give Harry Reid CYA assistance, but the bottom line is still that Reid and Manchin were the key actors here.

Of course, fanatics can’t see that reality: “This really means that John McCain’s filibuster is what is killing repeal. Astonishing what one man’s bitter soul can do to American democracy.”

Andrew: You’re not an American. But we’ll gladly grant your expertise on men with bitter souls.

Much more analysis at Hot Air, and vast quantities of info at Memeorandum.

Everything You Need to Know
About ‘Tax Cuts for the Rich’ . . .

. . . was written more than 200 years ago:

“The characteristic essence of property, formed out of the combined principles of acquisition and conservation, is to be unequal. The great masses therefore which excite envy, and tempt rapacity, must be put out of the possibility of danger. Then they form a natural rampart about the lesser properties in all their gradations. The same quantity of property, which is by the natural course of things divided among many, has not the same operation. Its defensive power is weakened as it is diffused. In this diffusion each man’s portion is less than what, in the eagerness of his desires, he may flatter himself to obtain by dissipating the accumulations of others. The plunder of the few would indeed give but a share inconceivably small in the distribution to the many. But the many are not capable of making this calculation; and those who lead them to rapine never intend this distribution.”
— Edmund Burke, Reflections on the Revolution in France (1790)

There is a world of wisdom in those 150 words, beginning with the blunt statement that inequality of wealth is inherent and inescapable. Nothing government can do will abolish inequalities of wealth (or income), simply because people vary in their abilities of “acquisition and conservation.”

We can therefore discard at the outset of our considerations of political economy any notion that redistributionist policies aimed at achieving “social justice” (which Hayek called a “mirage”) would bring about an egalitarian utopia.

“Inequality” is not a synonym for injustice.

Not until we have grasped that concept, and eschewed the fallacy of thinking we can bring about an ideal condition of “fairness,” can we meaningfully discuss economic policy. Idiots who want to go chasing after egalitarian will-o’-th’-wisps are free to do so, but we must refuse their invitation to join them on The Great Social Justice Snipe Hunt.

It was as true in the 18th century as it is today that the rich — those with “great masses” of wealth — were the objects of envy, and that irresponsible demagogues prey upon the ignorant, to “lead them to rapine,” promising a fairer “distribution” of the wealth of others. 

When our latter-day Jacobins rail on about the need to raise taxes on the “top 2 percent” (“wealthy Americans . . . who take far more from America than they give back,” to quote Frank Rich) they fail to overcome the obvious problem that the “plunder of the few” would do no good for anyone else, who would receive from this thievery “but a share inconceivably small” — if, indeed, they get anything at all out of it.

Burke’s criticism of French radicalism is equally applicable to today’s debates about tax policies, yet his insight is ignored not merely by commentators, but even by those who report the news:

Senate Republicans blocked two Democratic measures Saturday that would have eliminated the Bush-era tax cuts for the wealthy, forcing both parties back to the negotiating table if they want to avert a tax hike next year for all Americans.

It’s like listening to a trained parrot: “Squawk! Tax cuts for the rich! Tax cuts for the rich! Squawk! Blame Bush! Blame Bush! Squawk!”

Let’s see if we can recast that lede, eh?

Senate Republicans blocked two Democratic measures Saturday that would have raised taxes on people with higher incomes, forcing both parties back to the negotiating table if they want to avert a tax hike next year for all Americans.

Regardless of the fact that current tax policy was enacted during the Bush presidency, the discussion in Congress now is over legislative proposals either to continue the current policy — which Republicans propose — or to increase taxes, which is what the Democrats propose (as they always do). What is being debated is a tax increase, not “tax cuts for the wealthy.” Republicans are not proposing further reductions in the taxes paid by the rich. Democrats are proposing a return to the higher tax rates of pre-2001.

It is worth asking: What were the pre-2001 rates for the “rich”? What exactly are the “Bush-era tax cuts” that Democrats propose to repeal?

The 2001 legislation reduced the rate for the top income bracket (which currently applies to households earning $373,651 or more) from 38.6% to 35%, and reduced the rate for the next-highest bracket (which kicks in at $209,251 for a married couple filing jointly) from 36% to 33%.

What is important to note here, then, is that the reductions which Politico‘s Carrie Budoff Brown and Shira Toeplitz tendentiously call the “Bush-era tax cuts for the wealthy” weren’t enormous — a rate reduction of 3.6% for the top bracket and 3% for the next bracket — and yet look how Harry Reid demagogues the issue:

“The majority of the Senate like the majority of the country believes the middle class deserve . . . tax cuts,” Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) said. “The minority of the Senate, against all evidence to the contrary that millionaires, billionaires and these big CEOs who ship jobs overseas deserve this giveaway.”

This is but a repetition of the message communicated in tens of millions of dollars’ worth of Democratic Party attack ads, which were employed against Republican candidates everywhere, that the GOP is in favor of tax cuts for companies that “ship jobs overseas.” So wedded were Democrats to this message that they even used it here in my hometown against a Republican candidate for the Maryland state legislature, as if national tax policy were decided in Annapolis.

That message was overwhelmingly rejected by voters on Nov. 2. Not only did my local GOP candidate, Neil Parrott, decisively “rout” his Democrat opponent by a 62%-38% margin, but nationwide Republicans scored their biggest congressional gains since 1938, picking up 63 seats to achieve their largest House majority (242 seats) since 1949.

Given how relentlessly Democrats attacked Republicans on this “tax cuts for the rich” theme during the 2010 campaign, they cannot claim “We Didn’t Get Our Message Out” (which is No. 2 on Jay Haug’s list of “Liberal Excuses for Conservative Victory”). The Democratic message was heard loud and clear, and decisively rejected.

Democrats have lost the argument, and Harry Reid’s attempt to claim that “the majority of the country” supports his party’s position is nothing but a damned lie. Perhaps this is why, as Brian O’Connor notes at Red Dog Report, opposition to the economics of envy seems to be increasingly bipartisan:

Voting nearly identically, the Senate twice failed to meet a 60-vote threshold necessary to move forward on both proposals. Meeting in a rare Saturday session after agreements fell through for a Friday vote, the results were widely expected. They were also somewhat premature, as the White House is still negotiating with congressional leaders on an alternative compromise proposal.
The first proposal by Finance Committee Chairman Max Baucus (D-Mont.) would have extended the cuts only for individuals with incomes of up to $200,000 and families with incomes of up to $250,000. That failed by a vote of 53-36, with all GOP senators in opposition as well as Democrats Russ Feingold (Wis.), Joe Manchin (W.V.), Ben Nelson (Neb.) and Jim Webb (Va.) and Independent Joe Lieberman (Conn.).

Feingold got beat in November, and Manchin won by distancing himself from Democrats. Nelson, Webb and Lieberman all face re-election campaigns in 2012.

Amazingly, it seems Democrats have managed to prove Edmund Burke wrong. Whereas Burke believed that “the many are not capable of making this calculation” — i.e., most people in 1790 didn’t recognize the fallacy of redistributionist policy — in fact, American voters in 2010 overwhelmingly rejected the class-warfare arguments of the Left.

Someone should break this news to Harry Reid, whose economic ignorance is so complete that he can’t figure out why the Democrats’ neo-Keynesian stimulus-and-bailout policies of massive deficit spending couldn’t stop unemployment from rising to 9.8% — or why 1,800 Democratic congressional staffers will soon be unemployed in the worst U.S. job market in 30 years.

Emergency! Democrats Trying to Shove DREAM Amnesty Through Lame-Duck

Forget the TSA gropers at the airport. Forget Dancing With the Stars. Forget everything and focus on this:

During his re-election campaign in Nevada, [Harry] Reid said he would try again to pass the legislation, known as the Dream Act. And in a Twitter message on Wednesday evening, his office said he would try to do so in the current session as a stand-alone bill.
The House speaker, Nancy Pelosi of California, has been discussing the immigration measure with Democratic colleagues but has not yet scheduled a vote on it, a spokesman said.
The legislation would give legal residency to immigrants who arrived in the United States before age 16 and resided here for at least five years . . .

Call it the Million Anchor Baby Amnesty Act, or call it the Abolition of American Sovereignty Act. Whatever you call the bill, the important thing is to call you senators and congressmen and tell them to stop this damned legislative monstrosity.

This is especially urgent for residents of Arizona, Maine, Alaska, Kansas, Texas and Florida, because Michelle Malkin says you’ve got Republican senators who haven’t spoken out against the DREAM Act: 

ARIZONA
SEN. JOHN MCCAIN
202-224-2235 or 480-897-6289

MAINE
SEN. OLYMPIA SNOWE
202-224-5344 or 207-874-0883

SEN. SUSAN COLLINS
202-224-2523 or 207-945-0417

ALASKA
SEN. LISA MURKOWSKI
202-224-6665 or 907-271-3735

KANSAS
SEN. SAM BROWNBACK
202-224-6521 or 785-233-2503

TEXAS
SEN. KAY BAILEY HUTCHISON
202-224-5922 or 214-361-3500

FLORIDA
SEN. GEORGE LEMIEUX
202-224-3041 or 904-398-8586

So if you live in those states, it’s urgent that you call those senators now and give them an earful — a polite and civil earful, but still an earful — about the need to oppose this bill.

Ace of Spades has a list of “Ten Things You Need To Know About S.3827, The DREAM Act.”

Harry Reid to Gays: ‘I Really Want Your Votes. But First You Will Blow Me.’

Or words to that effect, as the imperiled Senate Majority Leader — who’s losing ground to Sharron Angle in Nevada — was one of three Democrats to vote against repealing the military’s “Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell”  policy:

All Senate Republicans and three Democrats voted to block debate on the bill after Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) said he would attach several leadership priorities, including an immigration-related provision, to the defense bill. Reid also attempted to limit the amendments offered by the GOP.
Reid was one of the three Democrats — the other two were Arkansas Sens. Blanche Lincoln and Mark Pryor — who voted to block debate. Reid’s vote allows him to bring up the bill at a later time.

Isn’t that special? It would have taken 60 votes to pass the repeal, and Harry could only get 59, so he told Blanche Lincoln — who is trailing by 25 points in her own re-election bid — that she could have a free vote to try to appeal to backward hillbilly yokels independent swing voters back home in Arkansas.

And this “allows him to bring up the bill at a later time.”

Feel the love, gay Democrats.

Honestly, wouldn’t you be better off voting Republican? What’s not to like about lower taxes and a foreign policy that’s all about kicking terrorist ass?

Sure, Republicans don’t support your pet issues, but at least they’re honest about it. Whereas, with Democrats, you’re like the slutty cheerleader who puts out to all the guys on the football team: The Democrats always get what they want from you — your votes and money — but they’re never gonna take you to the prom.

Maybe “at a later time,” huh?

HELP DEFEAT DIRTY HARRY REID!