Follow Up On Commenters

by Smitty

To ‘Brianna’, with the yahoo email address formed by drumming two fingers of the right hand on the keyboard: it’s too late for the ‘concern troll’ nonsense. Like them or not, the candidates are the candidates. Yes, Arizona, John McCain merits support for the election, in addition to whatever constructive criticism you care to offer regarding policies the gentleman supports.
The notion that candidate X ‘hurts the Republican brand and image’ will be worthy of bringing up after the election.
But, until then, such remarks will be afforded the consideration proffered to the bug whose last thought was a sphincter Progressively crushing the back of its head, while its multi-faceted eyes do the Vulcan windshield meld, IYKWIMAITYD.
So, unlike the aforementioned suicide bug, hold the concern trolling and nuance fretting until you don’t appear a Lefty distractor.

An Email To My Congresstool, Jim Moran

by Smitty
Less the HTML, he’ll have this in his inbox for tomorrow. Are you supporting a financially disadvantaged race? Feel free to adapt this idea:

Dear Congressman Moran,
It’s a matter of public record that you’re a spread the wealth kind of guy:

It’s also a matter of FEC record that you’re in great shape in terms of funding, with $417,500 from your PAC, for example. It just occurred to me, as a purely private blogger, just scratching out a post here in the basement, that you’ve got a real opportunity on your hands to put your actions where your principles are and support the Patrick Murray campaign. What would really highlight your re-distributionist principles in action would be a twofer:

  • A right jolly blowout of a GOTV party around Halloween, and
  • Bringing in Ladd Ehlinger for a Murray campaign clip, while we still have time to get it some airtime.

Such a generous undertaking would highlight your philanthropic chops and commitment to remaining unencumbered with all that bad, bad capitol. $50k is not too small an amount to consider for this important undertaking.
Hoping to see you unemployed in January,
C. Smith
Alexandria, VA

PATRICK MURRAY for U.S. CONGRESS

Update: Another fine blogger in the ‘hood. Greetings, Cosmopolitan Conservative. Have you met just a conservative girl, one wonders?

NY-25 Prediction: Ann Marie Buerkle Will Score Landslide Victory Over Dan Maffei

HANCOCK, N.Y. — Pete Da Tech Guy and I were driving up Highway 17 toward Binghamton when we got the call from the Lonely Conservative, informing us that Ann Marie Buerkle’s victory is now a near-certainty. However, that’s not the headline in the Syracuse Post Standard:

Dan Maffei leads Anne Marie Buerkle
by 12 points in new poll

Why is this poll such a certain indicator of a Buerkle victory Nov. 2? Because the poll was conducted by Sienna College.

On Sept. 23 — the day before the New York primary — a Sienna poll showed Rick Lazio was leading Carl Paladino by a 57%-24% margin. The very next day, Paladino stomped Lazio 62%-38%. (SEE CORRECTION BELOW)

So the Sienna poll had a margin of error of . . . oh, somewhere in the neighborhood of umpteen gazillion. You could better predict an election by drawing numbers out of a hat.

Less than two weeks ago, a GOP-commissioned poll showed a dead heat in the 25th District, and if Sienna says Maffei’s leading, that can only mean Maffei’s going to be squished flat on Election Day.

Go give Buerkle $20. Pete and I just ate at McDonald’s and now we’re ready to get back on the road again.

UPDATE: The Lonely Conservative notes some suspicious anomalies in the Sienna poll. We have no demographic breakdown of the sample, and the same poll shows Mario Cuomo leading Paladino by 34 points in this district, which was represented by Republicans until 2008.

UPDATE II: Just realized I completely misread the Sienna poll of Sept. 23. But the point about Sienna’s inaccuracy is only slightly weaker. In August, Sienna had shown Lazio leading Paladino by 13 points — 37 points off the September result, where Paladino won by 24 points.

ANN MARIE BUERKLE for U.S. CONGRESS

Unnamed Senior Dems Admit Delaware Senate Race Will Be Close

by Smitty

Some more insight into why Obama Went Down To Delaware, courtesy of HillBuzz, emphasis mine:

Somehow, I turned the topic. . .to Christine O’Donnell’s Senate race in Delaware because the guy I was talking to did a lot of fundraising in New England during the 2008 campaign and I know he “gets” states up there better than I do, having never lived there.

He told me that Christine O’Donnell is going to get VERY, VERY CLOSE to winning in Delaware but he does not think she will win. But, he emphasized, “It’s going to be scary close for Coons”.

I then asked him if he thought Scott Brown would win in Massachusetts, and he said, “No, I was surprised. I thought Coakley would win but it would be close”.

So, I’m thinking Democrats are really very scared of O’Donnell.

They can’t make the mental leap to believe she could win. . .just like they couldn’t wrap their heads around Brown winning “the Kennedy Seat”. . .but they see that O’Donnell is “close” in the way Brown was “close” in his race against Coakley.

My gut tells me that “close” means O’Donnell will win this is support continues for her nationwide the way it did for Hottie McAwesome in his Senate race.

The Cocktail Party GOP establishment didn’t like Brown anymore than it likes O’Donnell. It’s doing about as much for O’Donnell as it did for Brown, which is pretty much jack squat.

I don’t have anything concrete on this, but my GUT tells me that if we keep working hard for her that she’ll win…and defeat not only Coons, but the Cocktail Party GOP establishment too.

Message to Cocktail Party GOP establishment: Progressivism is political disco, and if you want to go under the bus, just keep screwing in the vertical.

CHRISTINE O’DONNELL for U.S. SENATE

Rule 5 Sunday

by Smitty

Rule 5 Sunday is getting filed slightly early this week. Email me if you’re omitted, and we’ll queue you for next time.
Rule 5 notes with sadness the passing of Barbara Billingsley.

Alas, her health precluded applying her talents to translating the ObamaCare legislation into sane English.
And now, our regular show.

As The Tea Parties Provide The Change, So Must They Gather The Country

by Smitty

If you were edified by Night Sweats of a Small Businessman, you’ll enjoy the follow up, Liberals Are Not The Enemy. . .They’re Just Wrong:

So, what now? Where do we go from here? I wish I was that smart. The only piece of advice I can give is this: look to your fellow citizen for help. Agree on the facts as they are. Deliberate with the most liberal of them and try to get them off the talking points long enough to have a sincere dialog. Liberals are not the enemy, they are just wrong.
Irish Cicero, the head man at Washington Rebel, often screams at us to do just that, stop relying on bumper stickers to do our talking. Yes, dialog with a liberal sucks: they never stay on point; they want to blame Bush for everything and absolve Obama of exactly the same actions. Call it your “duty” to do so. It is for the republic.
Most of all, don’t look for this election to solve anything for you. The debt schedule is exactly the same, no matter who is in power. It doesn’t matter who the “general partner” is when the wheels come off, they have been loose for a long time.

Today I sent off a birthday card to someone I care for very deeply who drank the kool-aid, so this post hits home.
Thanks to the Internet, we continue the crawl out from under the Progressive thumb. We still have an election to support in a fortnight. But as you phonebank for your candidate, as you encounter those who subscribe to this raft of ideas that have failed, have compassion.
The number of actual evil masterminds on the left isn’t that great, I’d surmise. The bulk of them are people who may subscribe to their collectivist ideas.
Prediction: after the election, the Federal Reserve is going to go for another round of quantitative easing. That’s counterfeiting to you and me, and, unless you’re the one writing the laws, you’re going to find yourself outside the law for doing it. If you’re the lawmaker, you merely crash the economy.
With all of the other uncertainty in the world, this QE will prove disastrous. The Masters of the Universe will stand revealed as diabolical, or clowns, which difference will be academic in the wreckage. This will be our economic winter, as all of the closed shops do that business variation of José Feliciano: “For Lease Navidad”.
It’s going to suck, but I submit that no less teacher than suction will be of any use: we will have to get through Progressive Winter to reach the post-Progressive Spring. The only thing royal about this road is the PITA.
Just as the President really didn’t deliver on Hope and Change in any useful way, uniting the country has also been a wash.  But where that son of a Kenyan failed to bring us together, hardship will likely give us a solid compacting.
Also, I could be wrong, which is also not a bad thing.

LIVE AT FIVE – 10.17.10

TOP NEWS

As Democrats’ Message Lags, GOP Poised For Huge Wins

GOP Senate candidate Christine O'Donnell

Reminiscent of 1994? How about 1894? BE THE WAVE.

American Businessman Released By Iran After Two Years In Prison
Accused of giving financial aid to anti-government groups

Still Not Too Swift At Connecting Dots
FBI ignored tip from Mumbai terrorist’s wives 3 years before attack

Fed’s Evans: We’re In A Liquidity Trap
Recommends “strong measures” because he can’t bring himself to say “inflation”

Merkel Calls German Multiculturalism “A Failure”
Says Turks in Germany need to learn German

POLITICS

Palin Brings Folksiness, Ferocity To Anaheim Rally

Sarah Palin gives the keynote speech at RNC "Victory Rally" Saturday night

“There is nothing wrong with America that a good old fashioned election won’t fix”

GOP Senate Hopefuls Have $$$ Edge Over Democrats

Clinton Rallies California  Democrats In The Homestretch

President Urges Democrats Not To Get Discouraged

THE ECONOMY, STUPID

How Countrywide Papered Over The Cracks

Frozen Vegetables Recalled; May Contain Glass Fragments

Yahoo’s Last Hurrah?

Union On Strike At Hilton Hotels

SPORTS

This Time They’re For Real

Elvis Andrus steals home for the Rangers' first run

Rangers’ Bullpen Bounces Back, Holds Yankees At Bay in 7-2 Win

Unranked Texas Defeats #5 Nebraska 20-13

Badgers Upset #1 Buckeyes 31-18

Dodgers, Ted Lilly Agree To Three-Year Deal

FAMOUS FOR BEING FAMOUS

Barbara Billingsley Dies At 94

Barbara Billingsley as June Cleaver

Best known for playing June Cleaver on “Leave It To Beaver”, old lady who speaks jive on “Airplane”

Audrey Hepburn Stamps Fetch $606,000 For Charity

Jessica Simpson: I’m In Love

Christina Aguilera Takes A Breakup Vacation

FOREIGNERS

21 Dead, 16 Missing In PRC Mine Blast

Netanyahu Coalition Under Pressure From Left And Right

Philippines Braces For Typhoon Megi

Japan Times: Time To Let Neighbors Deal With the North Korea Problem

BLOGS & STUFF

Politico: Longshot Pelosi Opponent Raises $1.1 Million In 3rd Quarter

Iowahawk: Beltway Adventure

iOwnTheWorld: That’s Just How Progs’ll Do Ya

Don Surber: Did Obama Toss Manchin Under The Bus?

— compiled by Wombat-socho