When It Rains, It Pours

Herman Cain Set to Win S.C. Debate
— headline, Wednesday, May 4

Things keep happening that nobody but me predicted, and predictions that were ignored when I made them are forgotten when they come true. A commenter on a previous post said, “The whining is unbecoming,” to which I replied, “An admission of failure is not ‘whining.’ ”

Just as nothing succeeds like success, nothing fails like failure, and when that first tiny snowball of fail starts rolling downhill, expect an avalanche.

It is not in the least surprising, therefore, to see my friend Sunshine State Sarah aggregating May headlines about Herman Cain, none of them as prescient as my pre-debate prediction of Cain’s victory in Greenville.

Obviously, my friend Sarah did not consciously set out to humiliate me. It is simply that the sources she cites — Erick Erickson at Red State, Patrick O’Connor at the Wall Street Journal, Tony Lee at Human Events — are respected, authoritative and influential, as I am not.

This is why the Massive Cosmic Bitch-Slap of 2:21 p.m. ET Sunday struck me with such overpowering force. If ever the universe reached out to tap me on the shoulder and say, “You’ve failed,” that was it. And failure has no educational value if you refuse to admit you’ve failed.

By God, I hate failure and I despise defeat. It gives me no pleasure to call attention to my public embarrassment, to advertise the fact of my professional failure. The psychic pain is so intense that my fingers tremble with rage to type these words, as I behold my entire career — everything I’ve ever accomplished in my life as a journalist — mocked and spurned as if it were a complete waste of time.

“Line up and look him in the eye and say, ‘I’m going to beat you today,’ and then knock him on his butt. Hit him as hard as you can, then come back on the next play and do it again. Just keep at it until you’ve got him beat.”

Tim Crunk calling plays in the huddle with tears in his eyes is the kind of lesson that’s hard to forget. I have failed, but I am not yet defeated.

Because I didn’t come this far to start losing now.


Looking Up From Here, It’s Barely Possible to See the Bottom of ‘Down’

BREAKING: South Carolina
to hold primary on January 21

A friend sent me that on Twitter and then, via Memeorandum, I saw this:

Nevada Republicans decided Saturday to move up the GOP presidential caucuses to January to preserve the state’s early voting spot, although it will cost the Silver State half its delegates at the national convention.
The GOP executive board voted to go ahead with plans to hold its caucuses on the Saturday following New Hampshire, once that state decides a new date. It will be after the traditional first-in-the-nation Iowa caucuses.

This just confirms what I wrote Friday at The American Spectator:

A Jan. 31 date for Florida’s primary would result in four other events on the presidential campaign calendar — the Iowa caucuses, the New Hampshire and South Carolina primaries, and the Nevada caucuses — also leap-frogging to January dates.

But nobody bothered to read what I wrote on Friday, and nothing I write about it now could possibly make any difference.

Because I don’t know nothing about no Florida primary.

PREVIOUSLY:

Unlike Alex Pappas …

. . . Mark Block never returns my phone calls:

The man who talked Herman Cain into running for president, and plotted a strategy that has the former Godfather’s Pizza CEO surging in the GOP presidential race, knows both highs and lows.
Mark Block was the first 18-year-old ever elected to office in Wisconsin when he was voted onto the Winnebago County Board of Supervisors in 1974.
Yet he was also banned from politics in Wisconsin for three years and forced to pay a $15,000 fine after being accused by the Wisconsin State Elections Board of violating election law in 1997 as campaign manager to state Supreme Court Justice Jon P. Wilcox. . . .
“Politics at times is ugly,” Block, who worked as an official at Americans for Prosperity before becoming Cain’s chief of staff and campaign manager this year, explained during an interview with The Daily Caller. . . .

An interview with the Daily Caller! Wow! But I’m sure Alex’s story is probably already linked elsewhere by now, so why bother commenting?

Because I don’t know nothing about no Herman Cain.

No Joy (McCann) in Mudville

Several commenters have been wondering why I haven’t blogged about Herman Cain’s victory in yesterday’s straw poll. Others have tried to bait me into writing about Rick Perry’s “N–rhead” hunting camp, or Cain’s comments about that controversy.

Short answer: Because there is no point in my doing so.

I’m not Michael Barone or Jennifer Rubin.

I’m not Byron York or John Podhoretz or Ann Althouse or Ed Morrissey.

Having somehow offended the god of the cargo cult, I’ve abandoned false hope and surrendered to reality: Nothing I write about politics matters and there is no point pretending it does. Rather than continue showing up at a party where I’m so obviously unwelcome, I’ve decided to heed the message and relieve the invited guests of my annoying presence.

Joy McCann knows everything about Texas and racism and Herman Cain, and she has lots of friends whose opinions she cares about.

Me? I don’t know nothing about no Herman Cain.

If you see John Frum, tell him I said hello.

Tuning Up the World’s Smallest Violin, Ready to Play ‘My Heart Bleeds for You’

“Little attention is being paid to the way our continuing economic crisis is hitting artists, intellectuals, musicians, and writers, [Scott] Timberg argues. And he suggests that the way those livings are collapsing has put the lie to the idea that the 21st century American economy would be pleasantly post-industrial, an interchange of valuable information by individuals set free by computers and technology to gather in cool places. Reality is harder, and poorer, he writes.”
— Ted Mann, “Is the Creative Class Evaporating?”

Wait a minute, while I think about all the real suffering in the world.

OK, there.

Now, wait a minute (or perhaps longer) while I try to work up some sympathy for members of the “creative class” whose fate Scott Timberg bemoans in what Mann calls a “provocative essay” at Salon:

“It’s sort of like job growth in Texas,” says Joe Donnelly, a former deputy editor at L.A. Weekly, laid off in 2008 and now pouring savings and the money he made from a home sale into a literary magazine. “Gov. Perry created thousands of jobs, but they’re all at McDonald’s. Now everyone has a chance to make 15 cents. People are just pecking, hunting, scratching the dirt for freelance work. Living week to week, month to month.” . . .
A fading creative class — experiencing real pain but less likely to end up in homeless shelters, at least so far, than the very poor — may not offer sufficient drama for novelists, songwriters or photographers.
But journalists themselves have also ignored the human story all around them. In fact, the media — businesses that have been decimated by the Internet and corporate consolidation — have been reticent at telling the tale of this erosion. Good newspapers offer responsible coverage of the mortgage meltdown and the political wars over taxes and the deficit. But it’s easier to find a story about a plucky worker who’s risen from layoff to an inspiring Plan B than it is the more typical stories: People who lose their livelihood, their homes, their marriages, their children’s schooling because of the hollowing-out of the creative class and the shredded social safety net. Meanwhile, luxury coverage of homes, fashions, watches and wine continue to be a big part of magazines and newspapers.

Timberg’s essay is “provocative” only if you consider laughably misguided to be an acceptable definition of “provocative.”

Stipulate that a bad economy is bad for musicians, artists, writers and other “creative” types. This is why we never speak of, say, a “world-acclaimed Eritrean novelist” or a “multimillionaire Cambodian rock star.” People in impoverished nations are too busy scratching out a bare subsistence to pursue careers as dancers, poets and sculptors, nor is there enough surplus wealth in such societies to support a “creative class.” Economic prosperity is therefore a prerequisite to the flourishing of a cultural elite.

Timberg references Richard Florida’s much-discussed theory about the “creative class,” which was supposed to be the driving force of a 21st-century economy, but fails to see what was wrong with Florida’s argument: The clustering of “creatives” in certain locales was an effect, not a cause. Artists and musicians flock to these places because they seek markets for their goods and services. Demand creates supply, and not the other way around. No matter how wonderful you are as a composer of sonnets, if nobody’s buying sonnets you will be poor.

So if young poetic types are writing rock lyrics instead of sonnets, this is because the customer is always right. Whether aspiring poets are writing sonnets, rock lyrics or advertising jingles, however, their ability to earn a living by their talents is dependent upon the economic success of those who pay for their services.

What Timberg offers is an appeal to the narcissistic self-pity of the “creative class” itself. The readership of Salon includes many such people, and once can imagine how Timberg’s chronicling of the woes of the “creative class” resonates with these readers: The would-be novelist working as a busboy, the aspiring artist who can’t sell his paintings, the young actor who didn’t get a callback after the last audition. Yes, these people’s dreams are being crushed, but they are not suffering worse than out-of-work carpenters and accountants. A fitting headline for Timberg’s article might be:

OBAMA’S ECONOMIC POLICIES FAIL;
ARTISTS, MUSICIANS HARDEST HIT

But that headline doesn’t fit the narrative that the “creative class” wants to hear, in which the plight of downtrodden playwrights and out-of-work ballerinas is blamed on corporate greed or some other familiar bogeyman. Timberg solicits our pity for these Victims of Society, as if there were something more tragic in the misfortune of a laid-off writer for L.A. Weekly than for a laid-off forklift driver.

So I’m trying to feel some sympathy here.

Trying really hard.

Just give me a few minutes and I’m sure I’ll get there . . .

Watch Me Go SoCon: Does Tiger Woods Really Affect My Social Life?

by Smitty

I’m going to chock this up to my thick-headed inability to understand, but I really don’t get this (emphasis original):

I’ve been shrieking this from the rooftops for years now: other women’s sexual choices affect my sexual and dating choices. Women who sleep around set an expectation for men, and then reinforce that expectation with the idea that anyone who doesn’t sleep around is a prude, repressed, or has hang-ups.

Maybe I’ve been some kind of mutant, but, even in my most wayward moments, I never considered sexuality outside of faith, for longer than the twinkling of an eye, wherein there is risk the eye offend.

Or maybe I have enough trailer-trash relatives in the extended family (one cousin was case forty-something on Judge Judy) that I knew any woman who’d consent to usage as a protein receptacle was more trouble than she’s worth.

So the fact that men exist who are merely dogs that bark in complete sentences has never bothered me. I’m not in that market. I watch them lead high-stress lives for all the trouble their hormones get them into, and feel Absolutely. No. Envy.

I don’t mind admitting that I met Mrs. Other Smitty on a site similar to this one, about 12 years ago. Whether it’s the same site or not is irrelevant. We were pen pals for several years before things became permanent. Does my experience map to the general case? Probably not.

And that’s where this post should conclude: quit fretting your existence with respect to the person on your left or right.

Be ultimately concerned with your existence with respect to the Almighty. Those other folks will take care of themselves, and, with patience, the Almighty will take care of you.

ADDENDUM (RSM): Permit me to add that (a) Smitty’s mystification is the result of his studying this problem from the perspective of morality, rather than economics, and (b) Roxeanne’s problem is that she doesn’t want to speak that fateful sentence, “Stacy McCain is exactly right“:

The old saying that a man will not “buy a cow if he’s getting the milk for free” – i.e., that promiscuous women undermine their marital prospects — expresses this supply-and-demand concept of sex. But the truth of this adage on an individual basis can also be extrapolated to the larger society: When women are generally promiscuous, men will be generally reluctant to marry.
This explains why, in every culture, sluts are stigmatized. The rational basis of what feminists derogate as misogynistic “slut-shaming” is seldom articulated, but it is this: Promiscuous women make it more difficult for all women — including chaste women — to get and keep a husband. . . .

You should read the whole thing, even if you’re a feminist. Because I’m exactly right, even if no one will ever say so.

LIVE AT FIVEEIGHT – 10.02.11

— compiled by Wombat-socho


TOP NEWS
Perry Bet Big On Grants To Subprime Lenders

Texas Governor Rick Perry

AP says Perry spent $35 million to bring Countrywide, Washington Mutual to Texas four years before the housing bubble popped

Vandals Torch Mosque In Israel
Security tightened; PM launches investigation

NYPD “White Shirts” Take Hands-On Approach With Protesters
Senior officers lead by example in dealing with “Occupy Wall Street” ne’er-do-wells



POLITICS
Anti-Capitalist Protests Spread To Boston, Elsewhere (Video)

NYPD commander addresses protesters on the Brooklyn Bridge

Hundreds arrested in New York; protests spread to other cities

Bachmann’s Campaign Sputtering In Iowa?

Governor Brown Signs Bill Prohibiting Circumcision Bans

Alabama Immigration Law’s Immediate Effect: Hispanic School Absences

Arguments Continue Over GOP-Backed Voting Law Changes

First Monday In October: Supremes Begin Term Expected To Be Dominated By Obamacare



THE ECONOMY, STUPID
Euro Drops To Eight-Month Low Against Dollar
Global Shares Slammed By Greek Default Fears
Tips & Tricks For Avoiding Bank Fees
Asian Shares End Sharply Lower
NYMEX Oil Falls Below $78/Barrel
Oracle Convention Engulfs San Francisco With Party Atmosphere
What To Expect From iPhone 5 Release Event
Will The Kindle Fire Impress The Consumer?
Massive Security Hole In HTC Android Phones
Verizon Sues To Halt FCC Net Neutrality News



SPORTS
Cliff Lee Coughs Up 4-0 Lead As Phillies Fall To Cardinals

Albert Pujols points to the Cards' dugout after stroking the game-winning hit last night

Cardinals’ pen saves the day after Carpenter only goes three

Weak-Hitting Yankees Head For Detroit And Verlander

Brewers In Beast Mode, Take 2-0 Lead Over Snakes




Will Rays’ Price Finally Be Right Against Rangers?

Once Swaggering, Jets Now Staggering

Lions Mount Huge Rally, Top Cowboys To Remain Undefeated

Manning Rallies NY Giants To 31-27 Win Over Arizona Cardinals



FAMOUS FOR BEING FAMOUS
Gene Simmons, Shannon Tweed Finally Tie The Knot

Shannon Tweed, Gene Simmons

KISS bass player finally marries longtime girlfriend

Netflix, Showtime Eye New “Arrested Development” Episodes, Movie

Liz Hurley’s Engaged!

Russell Brand Denied Entry To Canada

Tupac Sex Tape Surfaces

Melissa McCarthy Delivers Strong Ratings For “SNL”

Best “Glee” Performance Yet?



Demi, Ashton Reunite At Kabalah Center For First Time Since Cheating Allegations

Halle Berry Breaks Foot Chasing Goat

James Marsden’s Wife Files For Divorce

Murdoch’s Tablet Newspaper Showing Some Promise



FOREIGNERS
Amanda Knox Delivers Plea For Release To Italian Court
Haqqani Group Denies Hand IN Rabbani Murder, Ties To ISI, Blueness of Sky
Sirte Residents Queue To Leave City During Ceasefire
Philippine Flood Waters Begin To Recede
Thai PM Drops Twitter Account After Hacking



BLOGS & STUFF
Big Journalism: Bloomberg Markets Ruins Koch Brothers Conspiray Theory
Fran Tarkenton: What If The NFL Played By Teachers’ Rules?
Via Meadia: Uh-Oh – Greece To Miss New Austerity Targets
American Power: The Revolution Was Not About Wealth Redistribution
Lonely Conservative: Presidential Candidate Roseanne Barr Wants To Behead Bankers Who Won’t Surrender Wealth
Power Line: Dishonest. Divisive Democrats


No music today; sorry about the lateness, folks.

‘Partisan Koch-Brothers Style Attack’

The secret of punditry is to appear to know what you’re talking about. The most successful pundits are those who can utter incomprehensible gibberish with an air of certainty and authority.

So I woke up before 4 a.m. this morning, came down to the office and turned the TV on to MSNBC. They were re-airing Sunday’s Meet the Press and, as I worked, the chatter was a sort of background music, none of which made any real impression until I heard E.J. Dionne say the phrase quoted in the title:

“I agree with Peggy [Noonan] that the underlying and often unspoken issue here is worry about American decline, and will it still be America? But I just don’t see that Chris Christie speech as being this visionary thing. I mean the clip you showed, where he said Obama wants to diminish the success of others — as far as I can tell, rich people are richer today than they were when Barack Obama took office. That struck me as a partisan Koch brothers-style attack on his part, and as for Obama . . .”

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

“A partisan Koch brothers-style attack”? What the hell is E.J. talking about? Does he believe that no one ever criticized class-warfare rhetoric in politics before David and Charles Koch began funding free-market activism? And isn’t any Republican’s criticism of Democratic policy (or vice-versa) in some sense “partisan”? Dionne uttered this remarkable phrase in the process of pretending not to understand New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie’s Reagan Library speech. In that speech, Christie quoted Obama’s speech at the 2004 Democratic National Convention, in which Obama decried those who divide Americans. Then Christie said:

Now, seven years later, President Obama prepares to divide our nation to achieve re-election. This is not a leadership style, this is a re-election strategy. Telling those who are scared and struggling that the only way their lives can get better is to diminish the success of others. Trying to cynically convince those who are suffering that the American economic pie is no longer a growing one that can provide more prosperity for all who work hard. Insisting that we must tax and take and demonize those who have already achieved the American Dream. That may turn out to be a good re-election strategy for President Obama, but is a demoralizing message for America.

Christie here accuses Obama of engaging in class-warfare rhetoric — the president’s frequent speeches demonizing “millionaires and billionaires” who, he alleges, don’t “pay their fair share” of taxes — as part of a “re-election strategy.” What honest person can say that the president’s left-populist turn is not a re-election strategy?

It doesn’t matter, in evaluating Christie’s speech, whether or not you believe that the rich should pay more taxes. If Obama’s oratorical assaults on the rich are intended for the political purpose of helping him win re-election, then Christie’s analysis is correct.

Dionne does not engage Christie’s actual argument. Instead, Dionne pretends that he can refute Christie’s characterization of the president’s rhetoric by asking whether “rich people are richer today than they were when Barack Obama took office,” but this is a complete non sequitur.

The remark by Christie that Dionne cites is not directed at the policy Obama has hitherto pursued. Rather, Christie is criticizing the rhetoric by which Obama seeks support for the policy that Obama advocates now. Dionne attempts to change the subject by distracting us with a completely different issue, i.e., how the rich have prospered since January 2009, and then accusing Christie of “Koch brothers-style” partisanship — whatever that is supposed to mean, if anything.

Consider these two truth-claims:

  1. The rich have made out like bandits during the first 32 months of Obama’s presidency.
  2. Obama is now — “cynically,” as Christie says — demonizing the rich as part of his re-election strategy.

Both claims may be true and, indeed, there may be a relationship between these two claims: Obama never pushed for higher taxes on the rich during the two years when Democrats controlled Congress by overwhelming margins, and his newfound left-populist rhetoric about making the rich “pay their fair share” may be seen as an appeal to those members of the Democrat base disappointed by Obama’s previous failure to pursue such a policy. Neverthless, Chris Christie would be correct in accusing Obama of cynicism if the president’s recent advocacy of higher taxes on the rich is a matter of politics rather than policy. And there are many reasons to believe that Christie is correct about Obama’s motives.

All of this is ignored by E.J. Dionne, however, in his effort to negate any praise for Christie’s speech “as being this visionary thing.” E.J. therefore derogates Christie as having made a “partisan Koch-brothers style attack” and then tries to divert attention with a non sequitur (how the rich have fared under Obama’s policy to date) offered as if it were a self-evident refutation of Christie’s speech. Dionne’s allusion to the Koch brothers is a guilt-by-association attack, intended to tie Christie to pre-demonized scapegoats of the Left, and the word “partisan” is just E.J.’s way of saying that Christie is a Republican.

An intellectual’s job is to enlighten his audience by clarifying issues. E.J. Dionne seeks to obscure the issues in order to confuse his audience. And he thinks we’re too stupid to see what he’s doing.