Democrats Learn a Useful Lesson

Never trust Lindsey Graham:

Sen. Lindsey Graham’s (R-S.C.) decision to walk away from Senate talks on climate change and energy legislation  – at least for now – has prompted the measure’s remaining architects to scuttle Monday’s planned unveiling of the bill.
[Sen. John] Kerry praised Graham’s work on the climate effort and expressed hope that he would rejoin the initiative “once the politics of immigration are resolved,” but vowed to press ahead one way or the other.

Liberals though they could count on Graham because he has backstabbed conservatives so often. They’ve now discovered to their chagrin that he’s a bipartisan backstabber.

(Hat-tip: Memeorandum.)

The Coffee Party: It’s About Hate

Newsweek does a feature story about Annabelle Park, who started the liberal answer to the Tea Party movement and discovered an unfortunate truth:

They were angry. They hated the Tea Party, and the Republican Party. They wanted to get even. One audience member said America was under the thumb of oligarchs and denounced “moneyed interests.” A few people hissed when Sarah Palin’s name was mentioned. . . . A man representing Code Pink, the left-wing protest group, said that “racism was the basis for everything that’s going on right now.” He also seemed to have a real problem with “fear-based rhetoric” and Northrop Grumman. . . .
[W]hen someone asked how many people in the room were Republicans, all 80 hands remained down. “I like the civility idea, but I hate the Tea Party people,” said attendee Karen Anderson.

I believe this is what Julian Sanchez would call “epistemic closure.”

(Hat-tip: Hot Air Headlines.) Also, via Instapundit, Jim Hoft observes: “It looks like caffeine and raving liberalism is a violent mix.”

UPDATE: Annabelle Park’s experience reminds me of the 2002-06 era of liberal impotence, when the general consensus within the left-wing blogosphere was that Democrats were losing elections because they weren’t angry enough or, alternatively, they weren’t liberal enough. This was the impetus, for example, of the doomed Ned Lamont campaign.

This is the obverse of Sanchez’s “epistemic closure” thesis, you see. Michael Brendan Dougherty has noted a tendency of conservatives to argue, “If it were more like me, the Republican Party would be better off. It’s failing because it’s like you.” Yet I think no reasonable observer can deny that what has become known as “Dougherty’s Law” is equally applicable to the Left. The activist grassroots of both partisan coalitions are comprised of True Believers, who want leadership that shares not only their specific policy preferences, but also the vehement certainty of their beliefs.

The Coffee Party attendees who rail against “moneyed interests” and Northrop Grumman want to have their beliefs validated by leaders who give articulate expression to their beliefs. In a two-party political system, there is always a gap between the seething passion of the True Believer and the carefully calculated rhetoric of successful politicians, who must win the support of a great many voters who are not True Believers.

What we may call the Belief Gap in politics causes problems in two ways: When the party is losing elections, True Believers demand that the party double-down on its defining ideological principles, the passions that excite the grassroots “base” of the party. When the party wins elections, on the other hand, True Believers quickly become disillusioned and complain that they’ve been sold out by the party.

As an ex-Democrat, I’ve seen this pattern on both sides of the aisle. I well remember how liberals, disappointed at Walter Mondale’s failure to defeat Reagan in 1984, convinced themselves that Michael Dukakis was a sure-fire winner for 1988. And no sooner had I become a conservative in the mid-1990s than I found myself horrified that the GOP had nominated Bob Dole, the “Senator From Archer Daniels Midland” whom Newt Gingrich famously called “the tax collector for the Welfare State.” (I voted for Libertarian Harry Browne in ’96.)

While there are parallels between Left and Right, however, it is an error to assume that Left and Right are perfectly analogous. The most successful Republican president of the 20th century was Ronald Reagan, who was accepted by conservative True Believers as one of their own. And the worst Republican presidents of the 20th century were Herbert Hoover and Richard Nixon, both of whom embraced liberal policies to the consternation of True Believers. Meanwhile, the most successful Democratic president of the past 50 years, Bill Clinton, succeeded only because he was willing to abandon many of the liberal policies favored by his party’s True Believers.

The passions of True Believers are necessary to, but are not sufficient for, political success. Obviously, it helps if the True Believers believe in things that are actually true. An irrational hostility to “moneyed interests,” pursued as a matter of principle and policy, can never result in economic prosperity. Nor will Code Pink-style pacifism result in sound foreign policy.

 Beyond the question of whether True Believers are committed to genuine truths, however, success in politics depends on many factors that have nothing to do with correct ideology. For example, there is the matter of backing the right candidate. As I’ve often said, good candidates win elections and bad candidates lose.

The True Believers who recruited Ned Lamont learned that lesson the hard way, as did the Republicans who chose John McCain as their 2008 presidential candidate. (See my American Spectator articles, “How John McCain Lost” and “You Did Not Lose.”)

Ronald Reagan did not succeed merely because he was conservative, but because he possessed in abundance the attributes of a successful politician. I am pro-Sarah Palin and would prefer her as the 2012 Republican nominee over any of the other names currently being bandied about. And yet, when some of our readers asked me to condemn Quin Hillyer’s criticism of Palin, I didn’t do it. I disagree with much of what Hillyer said, but thought some of his criticism was both valid and constructive.

And Hillyer’s criticism of Palin calls attention to another key to political success that True Believers routinely neglect, namely the importance of organizational competence.

Having spent a lot of time doing close-range coverage of political campaigns at every level, I find it impossible to overemphasize this point: You can have a great candidate who is 100% right on all the issues and still lose, if the campaign doesn’t have a team of competent operatives and advisers.

Say what you will about Barack Obama, his campaign team was astoundingly competent, running a “ground game” that impressed me when I got a chance to see them in action in the May 2008 West Virginia primary. Their commitment to Obama’s “organize everywhere” philosophy was why they were ultimately able to win in states like North Carolina and Indiana that some had considered terra incognita for liberal Democrats. Team Obama made strategic mistakes — I still say his July ’08 European tour was a blunder — but their tactical superiority was inarguable. And when the economic meltdown of September 2008 arrived, it was Team Maverick that hit the panic button, committing the strategic blunder that proved decisive in the election.

The rising anxieties of the grassroots Left, as exemplified by the angry expressions at this Coffee Party meeting reported by Newsweek, are at one level the usual antics of True Believers, impatient to see their party move more rapidly to implement policies favored by core constituency groups. But there’s more to it than that.

The Democratic Party’s True Believers have watched the rise of the conservative Tea Party movement, which has shown the same capacity to organize discontent that characterized Team Obama in 2008. Given that kind of fired-up grassroots enthusiasm to work with, if the Republican Party can field attractive candidates, supported by competent campaign teams, the era of Hope and Change will suffer a serious setback in November.

At some level, the Coffee Party people sense this impending disaster, and it fills their hearts with Fear and Loathing.

UPDATE II: Now a Memeorandum thread. I’m grateful for the linkage from Da Tech Guy, Midnight Blue, Virginia Right and the Tiger on Politics. And I’m amused by the utter cluelessness of Thomas Friedman. Tom: Nothing prevents you from attending a Tea Party and actually talking to the people involved. It’s called “reporting.”

VIDEO: Hate Crime Caught on Camera!

Be prepared for stomach-churning nausea if you click the “play” button on what Fark.com has quite accurately described as “The worst version of ‘Sweet Home Alabama’ in the entire history of ever.” A genuinely vicious desecration of a great song:

That’s so unspeakably wrong, I did some research in an attempt to understand why anyone would put it on the Internet. According to the Web site of Blaze Records:

Champagne Dream has been chosen to participate in the Blaze Records USA “Build a Star 2010” program. She have also been cast as an extra in the upcoming video remake of Ozzy Osbourn’s hit “Crazy Train” being performed by Blaze Records USA Artist Renae. She has also been selected to be the official Model for Something Brutal Apparel. This is going to be an exciting year and the launch of a new career in the Music Industry is sure to keep her busy. In the next few weeks she will be recording with Blaze Records USA and looking forward to this new and exciting opening in to the world of music.

There must be some explanation, right? Certainly I’m not alone in guessing that somebody at Blaze Records got the hots for a 19-year-old stripper and said, “Yeah, baby, I’ll make you a star . . .” Or, as one of the Fark commenters put it, “I hope somebody at least got a BJ out of that.”

Memo to Steven L. Taylor: You Can’t Drive If You Can’t Read the Road Signs

Frankly, I was stunned to see my fellow JSU alumnus Dr. James Joyner endorse this bit of antinomian nonsense:

[I]f you actually want people who are not fully proficient in English to have demonstrated their capacity to drive, then you probably want to give the test in a way that will make sure that they understand it.  And while it is ideal that those living in Alabama speak English, the bottom line is that if you don’t have tests that your residents can understand, they aren’t going to wait to learn English before they can take a driver’s license test, rather they are simply going to drive without a license.

That’s an argument we’re supposed to take seriously? If someone is driving without a license, they’ll be arrested as soon as they’re pulled over for speeding or running a red light, thus curtailing their career as a traffic menace.

You might as well say there’s no point setting 16 as the minimum age for a driver’s license, because some 15 year olds will just drive without a license anyway. For that matter, why bother suspending the licenses of DUI offenders? They’ll just drive drunk anyway.

Tim James is right: If you want a drivers license, you need to pass the test in English, primarily because the road signs are written in English.

Dr. Joyner, who lives in the D.C. area, really ought to get this point. Since moving to the D.C. area in 1997, I’ve been astonished by the atrocious driving habits of Washingtonians. And one of the biggest problems is that the region is home to a lot of foreigners (including the ones with diplomatic tags on their cars) who can’t read the freaking road signs!

Anybody who’s spent much time driving D.C.-area freeways learns to recognize the telltale habits of the confused foreigner, poking along in the middle lane, desperately trying to figure out where he should exit because he can’t read the freaking road signs!

God knows at least 1 out of 5 drivers — both foreign and domestic — on Washington-area roads are self-evidently incapable of comprehending what is meant by, “Right Lane Closed 1 Mile Ahead. Merge Left.” Basic driving concepts like “merge” and “yield” and “slow traffic keep right” clearly have no meaning to these people, and the nightmarish experience of driving in D.C. has convinced me that illiteracy is a greater menace to automotive safety than drunk driving. I’d gladly bet $100 that I could drive better with an .08 blood-alcohol level than the average Washingtonian could drive cold sober.

If you can’t read the road signs, you’re not qualified to drive, period. You can take the bus or call a cab, but whatever you do, please stay the hell out of my way!

(This message has been brought to you by the R.S. McCain School of International Relations. Our motto: “Don’t Take It Personal, Amigo. We Hate Canadians Even Worse.”)

UPDATE: Taylor has responded at his blog, which only allows registered commenters, so I’ll reply here:

Steven, let’s hypothetically suppose that 15% of adults in the U.S. are either illiterate or otherwise incapable of passing a written driver’s exam in English. Now, subtract 15% of the traffic volume from rush hour. Isn’t that a beautiful hypothetical?
Furthermore, if we stipulate that illiterates and non-English-proficient immigrants are worse drivers than people who can actually read the signs– and I think simple logic would suggest that this is the case — the requirement of passing a written test subtracts from traffic some of the worst drivers on the road. Ergo, fewer accidents, lower insurance rates and fewer traffic jams caused by accidents.
Where’s the downside of Tim James’ proposal, Steve? There is none, except perhaps a bit of extra hassle for the illiterates who are forced to ride the bus instead of driving — and given the dangerous way foreigners drive, making them ride the bus might save their lives.

But I suppose Taylor doesn’t care how many foreigners kill themselves in traffic accidents because they can’t read signs that say “no left turn” or “yield.” Hater!

UPDATE II: Katherine Mangu-Ward is also offended by the Tim James ad.  I consider her a friend, but she’s a Yale graduate which automatically makes her one of those pointy-heads who can’t even park their bicycles straight. And she wouldn’t know Junior Johnson from Ned Jarrett.

Arizona: The Fourth Reich?

You might think so if you buy into all the media sturm und drang generated by the state’s new law permitting law enforcement to ascertain legal residency. USA Today made sure to get the word “controversial” in their headline — as did Allahpundit, for some reason — and the New York Times plays up the “discrimination” angle:

PHOENIX — Gov. Jan Brewer of Arizona signed the nation’s toughest bill on illegal immigration into law on Friday. Its aim is to identify, prosecute and deport illegal immigrants.
The move unleashed immediate protests and reignited the divisive battle over immigration reform nationally. . . .
The law . . . would make the failure to carry immigration documents a crime and give the police broad power to detain anyone suspected of being in the country illegally. Opponents have called it an open invitation for harassment and discrimination against Hispanics regardless of their citizenship status.

Kristallnacht for Hispanics, in other words, the moment it was signed into law and before even one example of “harassment” could take place. Which is to say, the MSM coverage serves to prejudice the reader into accepting the viewpoint of the law’s opponents, that the new measure effectively turns Arizona law-enforcement into a sort of Gestapo to round up brown people.

Three words: Get a grip.

Let’s begin by invoking what I call the Sonny Bono Principle. The California Republican lawmaker (the brainier half of “Sonny and Cher”) was once asked to debate illegal immigration and memorably responded, “What’s to debate? It’s illegal.”

For at least 15 years, the open-borders lobby has striven (a) to blur the distinction between legal and illegal immigrants, and (b) to create the impression that everyone who is concerned about illegal immigration is motivated by anti-Latino prejudice. Goal (a) is obviously necessary to goal (b), because while most Americans disapprove of prejudice, most Americans also disapprove of crime — and it is a crime to enter the United States without lawful permission.

Teddy’s Law and the Brimelow Rule

People who have not studied the history of American immigration (see Peter Brimelow’s 1996 bestseller Alien Nation for an excellent in-depth examination) may be under the impression that U.S. immigration laws are unfairly harsh. In fact, the basic law — the Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 — is a liberal measure passed at the height of LBJ’s “Great Society” and personally shepherded through the Senate by Ted Kennedy. And every subsequent revision of the law has been in the direction of greater leniency, with the exception of imposing more severe fines on companies that employ illegal workers (a provision that is even less rigorously enforced than the rest of the immigration laws).

Yet we are constantly told that the anybody who calls for stricter enforcement our Ted Kennedy-sponsored liberal immigration laws is a dangerous right-wing extremist — and probably a racist, to boot. (This phenomenon gave rise to what has become known as The Peter Brimelow Rule, which defines racist as “anyone who is winning an argument with a liberal.”) All of which is nonsense, of course, and utterly ignores the horrifying impact that non-enforcement has on states like Arizona, which has been nearly overwhelmed by a tsunami of illegal immigration.

Just to see how the new law is playing in Arizona, I called our Phoenix friend Barbara Espinosa, who told me she had posted the entire text of the law on her American Freedom blog, and proceeded to given me a detailed lecture about the situation in her state. Just a week ago, for example, federal authorities raided shuttle companies that had been smuggling illegals through Arizona:

An elaborate human-smuggling network that ferried tens of thousands of illegal immigrants into Arizona using shuttle vans was broken up Thursday during a series of raids, federal authorities said.
In what officials called the biggest operation of its kind targeting illegal-immigrant smuggling, 47 people were arrested at five companies in Phoenix, Tucson and Nogales during sweeps involving more than 800 federal agents and local police. . . .
Owners and employees at the shuttle-van companies are accused of bringing illegal immigrants from Mexico into Arizona, where they often were placed in drophouses and later transported to other U.S. cities.
The organization targeted in the raids is accused of illegally transporting more than 80,000 immigrants into the U.S. in the past 10 years. They brought daily van loads of undocumented migrants into the country, using Phoenix as a primary hub.

That’s just the tip of a very large iceberg, folks, and Arizona residents like Barbara have long since grown tired of the criminal violence and other problems resulting from the non-enforcement of immigration laws. Yet when Arizonans try to do something to increase enforcement, they’re denounced for “irresponsibility” and accused of violating “basic notions of fairness” by the President of the United States! Which brings us around to the bipartisan nature of our open-borders problem, as highlighted by John Hinderaker at Power Line:

Whenever President Bush talked about immigration, his approval ratings went down. It was like clockwork: liberals never understood that the fatal decline in Bush’s popularity during his second term had at least as much to do with his advocacy of “comprehensive immigration reform” as with war-weariness.

Amen and hallelujah, Brother John! I’m so glad someone has boiled down to two sentences what I’ve been saying since 2006. Having Republicans pushing for “comprehensive reform” — the politically correct term for amnesty — not only undermined the GOP in the 2006 and 2008 election cycles, it undermined public confidence in the democratic process.

Soccer Moms and ‘Compassionate’ Nonsense

Every time Americans have gotten a chance at an up-or-down vote on immigration, they’ve supported stricter enforcement, and yet politicians — especially Republican politicians — have gone out of their way to avoid framing the issue of illegal immigration in the kind of clear terms that would allow voters a chance to vote for what the majority really want: Strict enforcement of current law, enhanced border security, and aggressive measures to deport those now here illegally.

Why this avoidance strategy? Beyond mere cowardice, there is a political factor well-known to GOP pollsters and strategists, namely that so-called “swing” voters — especially affluent suburban white women — react negatively to harsh rhetoric about immigration. (In fact, these women, whom political demographers first identified as “soccer moms” in the 1990s, respond negatively to most conservative messages, which is what gave rise to Bush’s “compassionate conservative” style of rhetoric.) This is the answer to a question often expressed by mystified conservatives during the 2006-07 amnesty debate: “Why are Republicans pandering to Hispanics?” In fact, the GOP push for amnesty had less to do with winning Hispanic votes than it did with convincing soccer moms that Republicans aren’t a bunch of racist meanies.

Yet for every soccer mom (or upscale urban metrosexual guy) lured into the Big Tent by this kind of amnesty sweet-talk, the GOP loses ground with the far more numerous blue-collar independent voters (a/k/a “Reagan Democrats”) who are vital to Republican electoral success. And this is where Bush’s war policy and his amnesty policy were so disastrously at odds with each other. Reagan Democrats generally support a  strong defense, but they have a common-sense skepticism that during the Bush era expressed itself in a question I sometimes heard from talk-radio callers: “Why are we sending American boys to die in a foreign country, when we won’t even defend our own borders against a foreign invasion?”

It’s a good question, and when you combine that with the problem of out-of-control deficit spending, you arrive at Steve Sailer’s memorable summary of Bush-era U.S. policy: “Invade the world, invite the world, in hock to the world.”

Arizona über alles?

So now we are being treated to  über the spectacle the media demonizing Arizona as a fascist tyranny merely for putting into law the Sonny Bono Principle that illegal immigration is illegal. And we can expect to see many Republicans running for cover to avoid being asked whether they approve or disapprove of Arizona’s approach to border security. (Expect Jon Stewart at Comedy Center and the Olbermann/Maddow axis at MSNBC to play the Nazi card, complete with German accents as they repeat the phrase, “Where are your papers?“)

Republicans can stop running scared now, however, because Democratic control of the White House and Congress means that fixing our immigration problem is — at least until January 2011 — the job of Democrats. As with so much else during this new era of Hope and Change, there is no need for the GOP to outline any specific policy of their own. All Republicans have to do is to speak the truth: Namely that Barack Obama, Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid have made an utter botch of border security, and to oppose whatever liberal legislation they might propose to enact.

As opposed to campaign rhetoric — where the media lets Democrats get away with nebulous promises and glittering generalities — the devil is in the details when it comes to actually crafting laws, as the health-care debate showed.

Whatever immigration law Democrats may attempt to ram through Congress is sure to contain some elements that will be opposed by a majority of voters. The GOP strategy will be to focus the debate those elements to which Democrats are firmly committed (as sops to ethnic-grievance interest groups) but which are unpopular with independent “swing” voters.

And if the Democrats decide to punt the issue until after the election? Then the Republicans get to accuse Democrats of doing nothing to address the problem.

Immigration is now a win-win for Republicans, you see. As for the Arizona law, the GOP message is (a) that the citizens of Arizona have the right to do what they feel is necessary to preserve public safety, (b) that the federal courts will determine if the Arizona law is constitutional, and most of all (c) that the Arizona law wouldn’t be necessary if the Obama administration would get serious about protecting the border.

As for the MSM’s insinuation that Arizona is now a totalitarian dictatorship with genocidal ambitions, there’s this advice from Professor Glenn Reynolds:

Were I representing Arizona, I’d argue that the federal government is in default on its “protection against invasion” responsibility, and that this empowers the state to resort to self-help.

Sieg Heh.

Enoch Root’s Triple Bid for Rule 5 Link

For the benefit of newbies, Rule 5 of “How to Get a Million Hits on Your Blog” postulates that “Everybody Loves a Pretty Girl,” and Enoch Root of Piece of Work in Progress obviously can get behind that idea.

Bloggers who wish their recent posts to be included in our weekly Rule 5 Sunday round-up should remember that PG-13 is the limit — we’re about cheesecake, not the kind of sleazy stuff overpaid government bureaucrats download at the Securities and Exchange Commission — and send the URLs to Smitty.

Flaky Markup: Javelins Revealing Animosity?

by Smitty

So, if there are no accidents in Chicago politics, are the peek-a-boo revelations in the Blagojevich investigation pointing at the POTUS

      An unprecedented screw-up of beyond ‘blame Bush’ badness?
      A means of controlling the news cycle away, a re-directing attention away from even stupider activities?
      An indication that internal discipline is rapidly eroding within the Obama Regime?

Would there was less at stake in all this. Continue reading Flaky Markup: Javelins Revealing Animosity? →

Chubby Chick in Sexy Underwear Gets Text Message: ‘Meet Dan for Lunch’

Could this be a reference to notorious chubby-chaser Dan Collins? Never mind. Frankly, we like ladies somewhere in the range between “a little more to love” and “never missed a biscuit.” More to love and all that.

So we were pleased to see that when it came time to post a scandalous plus-size lingerie video, our friend Donald Douglas thought of us:

This commercial is so sexy, two networks refused to air it:

It appears that ABC and Fox have made the decision to define beauty for you by denying our new, groundbreaking Cacique commercial from airing freely on their networks.
ABC refused to show the commercial during “Dancing with the Stars” without restricting our airtime to the final moments of the show. Fox demanded excessive re-edits and rebuffed it three times before relenting to air it during the final 10 minutes of “American Idol,” but only after we threatened to pull the ad buy.
Yes, these are the same networks that have scantily-clad housewives so desperate they seduce every man on the block, and don’t forget Bart Simpson, who has shown us the moon more often than NASA, all during what they call “prime time.”

That’s OK. The Old Media monopoly can’t stop an Army of Davids who dig those Goliath-sized beauties, somewhere in the range between more-cushion-for-the-pushin’ and roll-her-in-flour-and-look-for-the-wet-spot.

UPDATE: We should have expected Bob Belvedere to beat us to this big beauty, whom he identifies as Ashley Graham, with coverage from the New York Post. Ah, but I found this video interview with Ashley’s reaction to being banned:

She’s got a very sexy voice, too.